drdahlberg.bsky.social
Societal security scholar. Born and raised in Denmark, currently based in Abu Dhabi. Writes about #crises, #disasters and #resilience. Opinions are my own.
56 posts
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353 following
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😳
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Læs det fremragende interview med Ingrid Carlberg om desinformation, propaganda og påvirkningsoperationer fra Lenin til i dag. Det blev bragt i i sidste uges @weekendavisen.dk. Citatet stammer herfra - og fra hendes bog. (2/2)
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Og naturligvis 1. Fynske Brunsvigerbrigade - ikke også, @marchenneel.bsky.social?
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Hvis jeg også bliver inviteret på et tidspunkt, tager jeg Tom Clancy's "Red Storm Rising" og Sir Richard Shirreff's "War with Russia" med under armen
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Done. Igen-igen.
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Had to look that word up. But I concur.
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Det er de mest pinefulde fem minutter i mit liv siden ... siden jeg engang i begyndelsen af 1980'erne overværede en bekendt spørge min mor, hvornår hun skulle nedkomme. Hun var ikke gravid.
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Genrejsningen af et dansk totalforsvar, tak
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Vigtigt!
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😳😳😳
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😑😑😑
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😳😳😳
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Up again
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Yes
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Also unavailable from 🇦🇪 with/without Pure VPN
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Note that Køge is often used for NATO HNS exercises and operations. Excellent location for use as SPOE towards the Baltic. An MMO (temporary military area) was established at the port last time in mid-December.
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*Breitspuhrbahn 🙄
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Deterrence by resilience er en komponent i deterrence by denial - afskrækkelse gennem nægtelse af fjendens muligheder for at påføre skade på samfundet. NATO og EU har siden 2014 haft et stadig stærkere fokus på resiliens, og borgernes hjemmeberedskab spiller en væsentlig rolle heri.
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Pronoun should be “he”. Ships in Russian are male. Appropriate.
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Hørt!! Og de kan for så vidt bemandes til en vis grad med civil besætning ligesom i den norske kystvagt.
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At a military studies conference in Hungary some years ago, a presenter fron Romania spent his entire panel slot showing slides (not ppoint, real slides) with tourist photographs from Bucharest. Possibly a tourist board mole. Nice pictures, but rather awkward.
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FFS 🙄
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Rapport: www.rigsrevisionen.dk/Media/638693...
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m.youtube.com/watch?v=rTpp...
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All of this is extremely uncertain and based on unverified data, so handle with care and proceed with caution. I was merely interested in trying to apply a layman's Bayesian framework to unpack the Baltic case. Please comment! (3/3)
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Results: a priori annual probability of a subsea cable being disrupted in the Baltic: 6-8%. Probability of cuts being intentional: 35%. First cut: P of intentional action drops from 35% to 24% as an anchor being used was probable. But the second cut changes P of intentional action to 82%. (2/3)