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florianfoos.bsky.social
Associate Professor in Political Behaviour at the LSE. I like campaigns and do experiments. http://www.florianfoos.net
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Why Dean Karlan, Chief Economist of USAID resigned yesterday: "I was ready to rebuild from wherever we ended up to identify the most effective programs, figure out how to get them back in place, and to recommend new awards. But I received no response. Zero engagement." www.npr.org/sections/goa...

submitted 1 day ago • 2 comments

I think there is a good chance US is taking on more than they can chew. Trade is the EU‘s raison d‘etre and they are also pretty good at it. It’s not Canada or the UK.

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

Yea famously the EU was formed to destroy the United States…

submitted 1 day ago • 2 comments

Strategic geniuses. EU will retaliate like for like. Guess who will sell many fewer cars in the EU sometime soon?

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

Ich dachte ja, es sei alles gesagt zu Wahlrecht... aber der Thread von @moritzroedle.bsky.social zeigt, dass das vllt doch nicht der Fall ist... Also: - GroKo hatte vereinbart: 280 Wahlkreise, 3 unausgeglichene Überhangmandante, interne Kompensation (Überhangmandate in einem Bundesland werden ...

submitted 1 day ago • 2 comments

🧵 Who enters politics? Are politicians different from the general population? In our @jeeanews.bsky.social paper (M. Jokela, @jannetukiainen.bsky.social, Å. von Schoultz), we study Finnish politicians’ cognitive and personality traits using military conscription test data. 📊

submitted 2 days ago • 4 comments

No matter how you slice it, US police officers are safer on the job and paid way more than other countries' police The critical question isn't more police vs. less police. It's why are US police paid so much while doing such little police work? From my paper w/ Mickey & Ziblatt

submitted 2 days ago • 20 comments

There are issues with how money is spent on foreign aid, but none of those are solved by 40% haircuts. I’m in favour of increasing military spending. More deficit spending (tricky after the Truss mini budget) or raising revenues seems a better way fwd.Why are we not raising the digital services tax?

submitted 2 days ago • 2 comments

Ich muss es so hart sagen: ich dachte, ich lese eine kleine Anfrage der AfD, aber sie stammt von der Union. 551 (!) Fragen zu Organisationen, Hintergrund seien „Proteste gegen die CDU“, darunter die „Omas gegen Rechts“ und andere. Bin ehrlich entsetzt. dserver.bundestag.de/btd/20/150/2...

submitted 2 days ago • 402 comments

Me on the return of Yalta — notion that large states can impose their will on smaller states — and what this means for Europe. iep.unibocconi.eu/back-yalta

submitted 2 days ago • 1 comment

Remarkable: Merz wants to discuss reforming debt brake in the *outgoing* Bundestag, where CDU/CSU+SPD+Greens still have over 2/3 of seats, before new Bundestag is constituted by 25 March. Greens already signalled willingness this morning.

submitted 3 days ago • 24 comments

With Habeck stepping down from frontline politics, what remains of positives next to many disappointments? Most of all his ironclad support for Ukraine. Someone who was clear-sighted when most other German politicians hesitated (or worse).

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

"Was von Lindners letzten Wochen in der Politik bleibt, ist der »D-Day«. Die gemeinsame Abstimmung mit der AfD. Seine Forderung, ein klein bisschen mehr Musk und Milei zu wagen. Die Aufweichung des Klimaziels. So tritt der Mann ab, der die ehrwürdige FDP länger geführt hat als jeder andere."

submitted 4 days ago • 9 comments

Just in: Habeck won’t be playing any role in Green leadership going forward. Baerbock is rumored to be standing. Makes sense.

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

Yes. Probably a lesson in there for Blue Labour revivalists here in Britain..🤔

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

Overall, these results mean that Germany will be (as) stable (as possible in current circumstances) in the coming years. Strong Green/die Linke opposition should keep Social Democrats in coalition in check. All not very enjoyable for Putin. Many challenges towards ‘28 but that’s better than tomorrow

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

One winner last night were the pollsters (both pre-election polls and exit polls). They got the story right, picked up on the Linke surge and got the smaller parties approximately right as well. Not easy to do.

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

Good thread 🧵 👇

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

The Greens and especially Habeck will not like this result either. They lost a few points and are out of government. I’m not sure he will want to lead the parliamentary party in opposition or the party wants to be led by him. He’s probably too young to retire and write children’s books though..

submitted 3 days ago • 2 comments

One word regarding the FDP. With Lindner gone and the FDP out of the Bundestag and most state parliaments, the party needs to decide whether it wants to elect a leader with a more comprehensive understanding of what liberalism means.

submitted 3 days ago • 3 comments

Merz will likely be chancellor in a CDU-SPD coalition. Good news for Ukraine since both Scholz and Mützenich (the dovish SPD parliamentary leader) resign their roles. Popular Minister of Defence Pistorius likely to lead the SPD into coalition.

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

Wagenknecht’s BSW fails to enter parliament by a whisker while her old party die Linke, on a new, clear leftwing progressive platform, gets in on their best result since 2009. Quite a story and devastating for Wagenknecht who is dammed to political irrelevance.

submitted 3 days ago • 6 comments

If BSW got in and FDP didn’t (still a real possibility), then Merz has a very very tricky coalition game at his hands, entirely of his own making. “All in” - or nothing, as they say.

submitted 4 days ago • 1 comment