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forallhumanity.bsky.social
Human conflict, progress and achievement. Things often get worse so they can become better. So-called “analyst”.
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Not entirely.
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They’re not allies. It’s an “enemy of my enemy” situation. Ukraine isn’t a huge fan of jihadists, but they like people who kill Russians. They’ve got some contact with HTS I am sure. But nothing dramatic.
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This is Mosul-tier.
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Depends on what resources the Russians dispatch. There’s a lot of assets that the Russians have that are of dubious use in Ukraine that can have an outsized impact in Syria. Stuff like Su-25s and helicopters.
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It wouldn’t be the first time. They’ve been waiting for an opportunity like this for years now. It should be expected.
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Jolani is also a salafist jihadist lol. He was in AQ after all.
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Yes. Jolani is making efforts to moderate HTS, but the rank and file are still salafist jihadists. More moderate than the Taliban I would say, but still holding a lot of worrisome beliefs.
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The regime is consolidating in parts of the eastern neighborhoods and at Nayrab. There is still some fighting to be done.
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They’re right though. This is the worst performance that the SAA has put on in a decade. It’s a complete catastrophe.
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The Chechens in this group also have guys fighting in Ukraine under their leader.
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The Syrian Air Force’s primary CAS aircraft is the L-39. Which has no countermeasures. At least the ones in their inventory.
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They’re possibly talking about the established foreign fighter populations in Idlib. In particular there are hundreds of fighters from Central Asia who have lived there for a decade now. But I’ve also seen the Ukrainian claims hahaha
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The failure of reconstruction and its consequences have been a disaster for the United States of America. One of the most depressing “what ifs”.
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They tried a decade ago. A major part of the Russian intervention was forcing the rebel factions away from the coast. It’s a slog.
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No thanks! Ukraine, Myanmar, Ethiopia and Syria is where I’ll stay. Though I doubt I’d garner much of an audience, so I’m not going to live post about developments really. There’s just no one to tell.
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I got blocked by someone who was talking about Al Nusra in 2024!
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I meant *go* read the wiki. Typo! It’s a good little summary on things.
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Nah to read the wiki man
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Buddy, respectfully, you don’t understand the intricacies of inter-jihadist schisms and I’m not going to bother responding to you anymore.
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Rebels can be terrorists. It’s not mutually exclusive.
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Yes, I am aware that Jolani is a terrorist and that HTS is a terrorist organization. My contention is when you said that JaN still exists and that Jolani was in ISIS. That’s not true.
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This is how it normally goes. SAA’s front line gets smashed and they rout. Then the lines slowly stabilize and they launch a protracted counteroffensive under the cover of extremely heavy artillery and air strikes. There’s only a few reliable units in the whole army.
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When he fought to overthrow the country he’s a citizen of? You can be a terrorist and a rebel at the same time.
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HTS, which I spoke of, is not Jabhat Al Nusra. A bunch of guys from Jabhat Al Nusra are a part of HTS, but HTS itself comes from a merger of multiple Islamist groups.
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Yes I am aware of that. The Islamic State of Iraq was not ISIS, but its precursor. ISIS split from AQ quite famously. Jolani is a terrorist and was formerly extremely prominent in AQ.
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They’re apparently fighting hard around Saraqib. Aleppo defenses got totally smashed though. Don’t expect lines to stabilize for a bit. Defenses are being set up inside the city but the countryside is a total mess!
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Al Nusra hasn’t existed in nearly a decade, HTS is a coalition of Islamist groups which formed in 2017. Jolani was never in ISIS. ISIS famously split from Al Qaeda, which Jolani didn’t begin to disavow until around 2015, finishing in 2016.
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Second map is weird with the HRE’s territory but it’s not the highlight so whatever.
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I think originally, but it was used by a bunch of different groups. It was super popular during Fatah Halab.