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gabrielmathy.bsky.social
Economist and Economic Historian at American University. Macroeconomics, Economic History, Green Transition, International, Finance, Labor Markets, lots more.
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PhD students, if you want to learn LaTeX, I'll sponsor five students for this upcoming webinar. Message me your information to claim your spot (email is fine if you don't want to use DMs) First come, first served, slava Ukraini. sites.google.com/view/dariia-...

Pritzker: "We're talking about the death of a constitutional republic. That's what happened in Germany in 1933, 1934. And we're seeing today that we've got an administration in Washington that's ignoring court orders."

If you look at the top decile of the US disposable income distribution, their capital income alone (proprietors' income, rents, and all receipts on assets incl dividends, interest, etc) was $4.4trn in 2023, and two-thirds of the total. 5 percentage points of that is $220bn per year!

This is an INCREDIBLY serious story for Washington, DC. There is one prosecutor for DC: the federal/DOJ US Attorney for DC. That's a Trump-appointed position now. The Trump appointee is corrupt, venal, MAGA. Here the DC police wanted to prosecute a crime, and the Trump USAO SAID NO. 1/

If I were a Democrat, and I saw Trump do a purge of high-level generals who were women and people of color and wouldn't be "yes men," I wouldn't vote to advance JD Vance's college friend for Secretary of the Army. And yet....16 Democrats just did so

John Ganz on the Hitler salute:

Fast trains catalyze EV adoption: "By alleviating range anxiety, the expansion of high-speed rail can account for up to 1/3 of the increase in EV market share and EV sales in China [from 2010-23]." www.nber.org/papers/w33489

The Saudis pushing for Ukrainian representation and the US objecting, incredible.

This was an open question for me, but the data is in and I'm fairly convinced - consumers were anticipating the tariffs in November and December and went on an auto and durable spending spree. This means businesses are anticipating price increase too. /1 mikekonczal.substack.com/p/racing-the...

This Odd Lots series on the Eurodollar market is unbelievably good. You need to read a lot to make sense of it, and Josh and Lev have read it all. At the climactic 1974 Herstatt moment, they give a shout-out to our RIPE paper. What did we find in the Bank for International Settlements archive? 1/5

*PRESIDENT DONALD TRUMP SPEAKS TO REPORTERS IN THE OVAL OFFICE *TRUMP: 25% TARIFFS ON CANADA AND MEXICO *TRUMP:TO ANNOUNCE CANADA, MEXICO TARIFFS BECAUSE OF FENTANYL

What happens when women are denied a wanted abortion? ... ... ... In the short run, their risk of death rises. In the long run, they have... -more health issues, -lower education/labor-force participation, and -higher rates of single motherhood, poverty, and reliance on government assistance

**REMINDER** **CALL FOR SUBMISSIONS** Applications for the 1500 Penn Prize are due by 11:59 pm ET on February 15, 2025. See the link below for details!!

Deindustrialisation angst grips Germany. In a new study, Brad Setser and I unpack how badly Germany's trading relationship with China has backfired, and how its industry might weather the second China shock. With terrific accompanying reporting in Handelsblatt/FT. 1/ www.cer.eu/publications...

Quick someone tell university admins

Jimmy Carter lived through 40% of the entire time the United States has existed.

138 found so far buenosairesherald.com/human-rights...

nobody is prepared for what this is about to do to our students and faculty next semester.

Excited to see this video showcasing evidence around the role of a graduation model program in buffering households from drought in 🇪🇹 #econsky youtu.be/9xs1fi9jeDE?fe… Paper is here ebrary.ifpri.org/digital/collec���

New book alert! 🚨 In 'Promise to Pay', Katie Moore explores the rise of paper money in colonial America. Showing how, through monetary innovation, colonial governments reshaped social ties and power structures, the book is an insightful study of money as a governance mechanism. 📖💸 Check it out!👇

Universities use monopsony power to push down wages: ASSA research focus | Research Highlights | Upjohn Institute www.upjohn.org/research-hig...

The US has ~100GW of nuclear power & ~150GW each of wind & solar. In 2023 EIA projected that wind & solar at 18% generation would almost match nuclear with 19% in 2025. But EMBER data shows US wind & solar did match nuclear in 2024 at ~17.4%. 🧪🔌💡☀️💨🔋 +...

It’s impossible not to know what’s happening in Gaza. Article by two prominent Israeli economists Motty Perry and Ariel Rubinstein www.haaretz.com/opinion/2024...

Economists like to say that Christmas gift giving is inefficient- I think that's wrong. A defense of Christmas from a Keynesian perspective: comments welcome! gabrielmathy.weebly.com/uploads/7/3/...

In economics, editors, referees, and authors often behave as if a published paper should reflect some kind of authoritative consensus. As a result, valuable debate happens in secret, and the resulting paper is an opaque compromise with anonymous co-authors called referees. 1/

This is great from @gabrielmathy.bsky.social Well worth 10 minutes of your time. In our first Christmas Special we discuss Scroogeonomics quite a bit and this is a great counter to those arguments. If we ever do another Christmas Special, this will feature. #EconSky open.spotify.com/episode/4GPo...

Maybe we should move Christmas to August 15. Not much work getting done then.

almost like it could have just been an 8-team playoff

I swear to god, Curtis Yarvin has nine lives, and the fact that he continues to be this relevant well into 2024 somewhat astounds me still. Anyway glad @jasonaw.bsky.social covered his influence on the incoming administration. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2024...

I love @gabrielmathy.bsky.social and his work, and I particularly love this paper of his!

Economists like to say that Christmas gift giving is inefficient- I think that's wrong. A defense of Christmas from a Keynesian perspective: comments welcome! gabrielmathy.weebly.com/uploads/7/3/...

The grade related emails I’m getting are making me flash back to when I was in college. If you wanted to know your grade on the final you needed to go to the student store before the final, buy a grade card (a pre-stamped post card the professor would fill out and mail) & turn it in with your final.