hansenratings.bsky.social
Husband & father
Waukee HS OLB Coach
Wartburg alum
Engineer
#D3FB digital Ouija board creator
Insta/threads: @hansenratings
Twitter: @loghanratings
Team ratings & game predictions in the link
https://hansenratings.github.io/
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Additional award winners
Region 6
OPOY: Brody Bantolina, RB, Pacific
OL: John Pekar, OL, UW-Whitewater
OC: Colin Duling, Bethel
DL: Caden DeWall, DL, Bethel
LB: Gage Timm, LB, UW-River Falls
DC: Aric Williams, Willamette
hansenratings.github.io/2024%20Regio...
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2024 Hansen Ratings Analytical All Region Teams
Region 6
Off MVP: Aaron Syverson, QB, St. John's
Def MVP: Matt Jung, DB, Bethel
Sp Tms MVP: Andrew O'Dell, KO, Linfield
Coach of the Year: Joseph Smith, Linfield
hansenratings.github.io/2024%20Regio...
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Additional award winners
Region 5
OPOY: Collin Brunstein, WR, Ill. College
Co-OL: Jeske Maples & Sam Pryor, OL, North Central
OC: Drew Chance, Ill. College
LB: Reid Pakkebier, LB, Central
DB: Brett Boelkow, DB, St. Norbert
DC: Ben Hodges, Central
hansenratings.github.io/2024%20Regio...
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2024 Hansen Ratings Analytical All Region Teams
Region 5
Off MVP: Luke Lehnen, QB, North Central (Ill.)
Def MVP: Peter Johanik, DL, Wheaton (Ill.)
Sp Tms MVP: Andre Casas, K, North Central (Ill.)
Coach of the Year: Brad Spencer, North Central (Ill.)
hansenratings.github.io/2024%20Regio...
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Additional award winners
Region 4
OPOY: Tyler Echeverry, RB, Mount Union
OL: Giovanni Kennedy, OL, Mount Union
OC: Mason Espinosa, DePauw
DL: Chance Knight, DL, Marietta
DB: Brady Panucci, DB, Marietta
DC: Ken Delgado, Kenyon
hansenratings.github.io/2024%20Regio...
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2024 Hansen Ratings Analytical All Region Teams
Region 4
Off MVP: Nathan McCahill, QB, DePauw
Def MVP: Rossy Moore, LB, Mount Union
Sp Tms MVP: Daniel Cunningham, K/P, Denison
Coach of the Year: Peter Stuursma, Hope
hansenratings.github.io/2024%20Regio...
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Additional award winners
Region 3
OPOY: Gus Charles, WR, Howard Payne
OL: Khalil Spivey, OL, Hardin-Simmons
OC: Ryan Smith, ETBU
DL: Mason Cavness, DL, Mary Hardin-Baylor
DB: Timothy Leatherman, DB, McMurry
DC: Julian Jean-Baptiste, Millsaps
hansenratings.github.io/2024%20Regio...
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2024 Hansen Ratings Analytical All Region Teams
Region 3
Off MVP: Kaden Brown, QB, East Texas Baptist
Def MVP: Durand Hill, LB, Mary Hardin-Baylor
Sp Tms MVP: Tyler Huettel, K/P, Trinity (Texas)
Coach of the Year: Jesse Burleson, Hardin-Simmons
hansenratings.github.io/2024%20Regio...
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Additional award winners
Region 2
OPOY: Rahshan LaMons, RB, Susquehanna
OL: Tre Price, OL, Salisbury
OC: Ryan Fleetwood, Salisbury
DL: Dawson Dietz, DL, Washington and Jefferson
DB: Carson Bourdo, DB, Johns Hopkins
DC: BJ Hill, Johns Hopkins
hansenratings.github.io/2024%20Regio...
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2024 Hansen Ratings Analytical All Region Teams
Region 2
Off MVP: Zac Boyes, QB, Cortland
Def MVP: Ben Bladel, LB, Grove City
Sp Tms MVP: Mike Baloga, K/P, Cortland
Coach of the Year: Sherman Wood, Salisbury
hansenratings.github.io/2024%20Regio...
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Additional award winners
Region 1
OPOY: Montie Quinn, RB, Curry
OL: Grady Roadman, OL, Springfield
OC: Ryan Struthers, Mass-Dartmouth
LB: Ben Carbeau, LB, Wesleyan
DB: Luke Harmon, DB, Amherst
DC: Kevin Bracken, Endicott
hansenratings.github.io/2024%20Regio...
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Fixed
bsky.app/profile/hans...
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Advanced Stats Preview
#D3FB Semifinals
Mount Union (-9.5) vs. Johns Hopkins
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Ahh shoot. Thanks.
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A&M for sure
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In summation:
- This season falls within historical trends
- More parity at the top of the rankings than ever before
- This era may be more similar to the "UMU dominant w/ rotating challengers" era than it is with the "the same 5 or 6 teams seem to make the semis every year" era
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And if we look at the average ratings & rankings of quarterfinalists this season compared to previous years, the rating is slightly lower/ranking slightly higher than the previous ~15 years, but if we include the decade before that, this is not an outlier season at all.
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It's fairly common for a Top 4 team like SJU or Linfield to miss the quarterfinals. It's happened 26 times in the last 27 tournaments, and the distribution between teams ranked between #2 and #10 this season was the tightest its ever been.
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A two-point advantage works out to about a 55% win expectancy, and 3 points is about 58%. That's pretty close to a coin flip, but I think it would also be fair to say that there's a clear favorite in those two games, especially when each of the 6 predictive models has the same team favored.
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Advanced Stats Previews for the #d3fb quarterfinals.
North Central (-24.5) vs. Springfield
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Advanced Stats Previews for the #d3fb quarterfinals.
Johns Hopkins (-9.0) vs. Mary Hardin-Baylor
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Advanced Stats Previews for the #d3fb quarterfinals.
Salisbury (+6.0) vs. Mount Union
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You're not the first person to ask me that. I have not, but I'll probably take a gander and crunch the numbers at some point.
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If you enjoyed these previews, feel free to show your appreciation using the link below.
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#D3FB Playoff Round 3 Advanced Stats Previews
DePauw (-14.0) vs. Johns Hopkins
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#D3FB Playoff Round 3 Advanced Stats Previews
Cortland (-11.0) vs. Springfield
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#D3FB Playoff Round 3 Advanced Stats Previews
North Central Ill. (-21.5) vs. Hope
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#D3FB Playoff Round 3 Advanced Stats Previews
St. John's (-13.0) vs. Susquehanna
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#D3FB Playoff Round 3 Advanced Stats Previews
Mount Union (-9.0) vs. Carnegie Mellon
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#D3FB Playoff Round 3 Advanced Stats Previews
Salisbury (+0.5) vs. Randolph-Macon
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#D3FB Playoff Round 3 Advanced Stats Previews
Linfield (-11.0) vs. Mary Hardin-Baylor
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Not the most likely outcome, but with both of them playing on the road, it's not overly surprising, either.
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Susquehanna is #6 in the d3football Top 25. I bet most folks outside the Midwest would be surprised it's as big of a line as it is.
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15. Hope 35.6
16. Wartburg 34.2
17. CMU 33.7
18. Susquehanna 33.3
20. RMC 30.9
24. Salisbury 29.2
27. Springfield 27.7
29. JHU 27.0