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inveniam.bsky.social
Senior Advisor for Geopolitics & Technology at Arcano Partners | Visiting Professor IE University | Visiting Research Fellow at the Oxford Changing Character of War Centre | Member IISS | Former Officer USMC
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Prolific Poster

Kelly: When I was flying in combat over Iraq during the first Gulf War, I didn’t expect that there was a 10-year-old kid sitting in South Africa who would one day become the richest guy in the world and call me a traitor for doing my job. Now, he kind of acts like a 12-year-old kid

Rembrandt to Picasso: Five ways to spot a fake masterpiece

What We've Lost In Ukraine

Day 1111 of my 3 day war. It's going so well that last night Moscow had the heaviest bombing since WW2 I remain a master strategist.

Taiwan on Trump-Zelenskyy, Getting Nukes, TSMC Deal buff.ly/L038ce5 #Geopolitics #Taiwan #China #MAGA #Russia #Ukraine

Ukrainian journalist Victoria Roshchyna died after savage torture and extreme emaciation in Russian captivity The 27yo journalist, who lived for her work, had travelled to occupied Zaporizhzhia oblast in order to find out about Russia’s torture prisons on occupied territory khpg.org/en/1608814479

One very niche thing about Mark Carney that I find interesting: he will be one of the few—the only?—non-British heads of government to have previously been a consumer of British intelligence product, in his capacity as governor of the Bank of England.

🕵️Russia's SVR spy chief Sergey Naryshkin met Robert Fico's close ally in Moscow—something even Orbán’s people avoid. 🇸🇰Here’s a quick update from Slovakia, where many back Fico’s pro-Russia stance, but he’s struggling in the polls. 🔗Read more on @vsquare.bsky.social: vsquare.org/orbans-secre...

Thank you @shekhovtsov.bsky.social Europe does have friends in the US - and we need our friends in Europe right now more than ever

🇪🇺 A Europe without the will to defend itself is a Europe that’s vulnerable to authoritarianism. Click to read @gbuldioski.bsky.social and @wojciechprzybylski.bsky.social 's COMMENTARY ⤵️

1/6 There is too much focus on tariffs as the sole tool of trade intervention when, in reality, there are many ways countries can intervene in trade, and often far more effectively. www.ft.com/content/32bd... via @ft

Good morning, Moscow. "It's what anybody would do!" Слава Україні! www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...

Cartel spy drones monitoring US Border Patrol agents

Spies and scandal: How Credit Suisse went out of business

Trump unfazed as Russia, China warships enter Iranian waters for drills

After publishing our article, Ordo Iuris made their full study public: ordoiuris.pl/sites/defaul...

Is China inventing big important things? More thoughts on a great civilization at its peak.

"Puppets on a Kremlin String?" - Marsh Family adaptation of Coldplay's "Viva la Vida" on Trump/Vance

Europe weighs Trump risk to its US weapons systems: Allies feel buyers’ remorse over hardware dependent on Washington support "When US foreign policy abruptly changes, the aircraft remain — but contractors, spare parts and badly needed software updates suddenly disappear."

"Sing, Muse, of the huge DOGE cost saving..." U.S. Intel Shows Russia and China Are Attempting to Recruit Disgruntled Federal Employees

No, Western companies aren’t rushing back to Russia

Russia Experiences Reverse Industrialization as Economy Deteriorates

Spy-satellite-grade images could soon become available to everyone: The key is to fly very low indeed

He’s About to Co-Lead the FBI—But First, a Word From His MAGA Show Sponsors: Dan Bongino is hawking prepper products and paranoia en route to the FBI. #FBI

Chinese warships circumnavigate another island: Australia: An ominous new display of long-range naval power

"American security guarantees?" After this repulsive farce, and numerous, "We won't care about a security treaty if you don't pay your 'bills'," statements by Trump, what good would they be, anyway? MAGA is torching our global alliance system: Americans will end up paying in blood for this folly!

How China came to dominate the world in renewable energy: China now eclipses every other country in the world — including the United States — in the green technologies of the future. Here’s how it achieved this lead.

Podcast - U.S., China, and Economic Warfare: A Conversation with Mr. Edward Fishman

Fewer than three months into the new administration, Trump 2.0 reminds me more and more of the Fyre Festival. #Trump #MAGA

Why Donald Trump Can’t Have Peace In Ukraine and Gaza

The Moral Cost of Murdering Ukraine #MAGA #Trump #Vance #Ukraine

In a recent column, Niall Ferguson made the case that Trump is selling out Ukraine to try and engineer a split between Russia and China (what Edward Luttwak calls a "Reverse Nixon"). But as Ferguson himself points out, "It’s not as if Nixon brilliantly created the Sino-Soviet split.

The Kremlin's Balancing Act: The War's Impact on Regional Power Dynamics

For the numerate among you: Ukraine military aid as a percentage of GDP.

US approves Russia’s new ambassador, ending long-vacant post: The United States has officially approved the appointment of Alexander Darchiev as Russia's new ambassador, filling a diplomatic vacancy that has persisted for several months in Washington.

China trade surge poses challenge for Trump's South America influence

The Trump-Putin Pact Already Exists, and We Should Act Accordingly

As Trump pivots to Russia, allies weigh sharing less intel with U.S. Members of the so-called Five Eyes spy alliance, as well as Israeli and Saudi officials, fear the identities of foreign assets could inadvertently be shared with Moscow.

#Tariffs

Can Germany Find a Better China Strategy? Under Merkel and Scholz, Germany was criticized as being soft on China. Three new books explain the backstory to Berlin’s relationship with Beijing, and how — with a new Chancellor incoming — the prospect for change has never been so great,

Repulsive. Thanks #MAGA As US stops sharing intel, Russia hits Zelenskyy’s hometown, killing 4. Trump administration has halted all intelligence sharing with Ukraine in a move to push Kyiv to negotiate a peace deal on U.S. terms.

#Tarriffs

How Not to End the War in Ukraine: Past Failures Make Clear That an Imposed Peace Won’t Last

When I reflect calmly and carefully on the actions of Trump, Vance & Musk since inauguration, Occam's Razor carries me towards some profoundly disturbing conclusions. #Trump #Vance #Musk #MAGA #Logic #Geopolitics #China #Russia #Putin #XiJinping

Spotted somewhere in Calgary, Canada: “There is no enemy like a friend betrayed”

Xi Jinping’s moment of truth: After completing his political ascent, President Xi must now confront his greatest challenge yet: transforming China's deteriorating economy without loosening the Communist Party's grip on power.

Russia Smuggling US Plane Parts As Sanctions Ground Airliners, Jeopardizing Civil Aviation #Sanctions #Corruption #Smuggling #FlighttimeEnterprises