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joshsack.bsky.social
Econ PhD Candidate at American University. Frequently an opposition researcher for democrats. Runner, and Liverpool fan. #julialang enthusiast. Joshsack.xyz
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this guy wrote a book defending waterboarding and worked for convicted felon Manafort

Turing v cool. I love Stan, but I think it sometimes suffers not being embedded in a larger language. A while back @gdalle.bsky.social made an HMM library, and it was stupidly easy to just toss his code into a Turing model to get efficient HMMs in Turing for free. gist.github.com/JasonPekos/8...

Again, the richest man in human history personally individually directed this

Bill Huizenga told a domestic violence shelter nonprofit that he supports Medicaid, and then went on to vote to slash it. #misen #mi04 www.moodyonthemarket.com/caring-conne...

The overlap are full of it. Mo Salah is clearly the best player in premier league history

Breaking stuff in tech world is not the same as breaking government programs where you can get people killed.

An incisive lesson in how smart people from the tech sector, when they jettison domain specific knowledge, and end up doing a whole lot of nothing for a hole lot of cost. www.wsj.com/tech/larry-e...

B of A: “.. the termination of #USAID will .. result in fewer crop purchases from US farmers. In 2024, USAID purchased $2 billion in U.S. grown corn, soybeans, wheat, vegetable oil, and peas from farmers, representing 1-2% of annual exports ..”

Reeducation camps but we teach overlapping generations models

From a purely economics standpoint, if we funded 99 useless studies on catheter infections and 1 good study that improved prevention / treatment, it'd still be totally worth it. ... but instead everything's frozen, and they won't even say why. They hate science and they resent scientists.

“Now that you’ve unfairly called us Nazis I have no choice but to do a Sieg Heil” is really where we’re going with this. Do not relent. The public is not on their side. “It was an accident” is not the same thing as “I’m doing it intentionally but ironically.”

I would just like to point out this company with <$3.6 mil> in 2024 revenues just paid the top 3 executives <$90 mil> in compensation for that same year. A top ten all time grift. Hagw!

Another six-byline alarm on DOGE’s specious accounting. “That contract wasn’t canceled by DOGE or anyone else,” he said. “If they took credit for canceling the contract, they’re lying.” @nytimes.com www.nytimes.com/2025/02/21/u...

www.rollingstone.com/politics/pol...

Week 5 🇺🇸

This is why he is pushing DOGE dividend checks, and with congressional republicans in thrall to him, they may borrow to send them out. Branding is everything to this administration

Less than a carton of eggs

Add up the claimed savings on the DOGE website and (right now )you get $7.19b from contract savings, and $0.14b from real estate, for a total of $7.3b, or $21.47 per American. Trump is talking about giving a "DOGE dividend" of 20% of these savings. Enjoy your $4.29.

I think today’s odd lots is a good example of how, as economists, we sometimes struggle to comprehend how high incompetent people can rise in complicated industries exposed to long tail risks.

It is surprisingly satisfying to correctly execute a right join on the first try without looking up any documentation

Controversial take, but I kind of like the new look of FRED. That being said, if you download an image, it should go back to the old style.

"Why aren't people nicer to me as I give faux scholarly cover to a political movement to strip children of their American citizenship?" There's a total lack of awareness about the gravity of what they're doing, besides the sloppy work.

They're dismantling the agency that can, if it did robust enforcement, fill the deficit. For every $1 it spends on enforcement it generates $5-$9 in revenue. We lose ~1 trillion dollars each year to tax fraud, mostly from the rich. Musk paid no income tax in 2021 www.propublica.org/article/the-...

lmfao do you know how unpopular you have to be to poll 4 points behind international aid and 12 points behind the IRS here

25% tariff on cars, trying to cancel congestion pricing/California high speed rail, whatever Elon is doing at the FAA, 25% tariff on steel and aluminum for domestic vehicles, the Trump administrations transportation plan just seems to be “walk”

And here’s another, in David Valadao’s CA-22. Another seat we flipped in 2018, another pickup opportunity. You are not powerless in this moment. Mad respect to the people turning out and showing up

This is PA-7, a seat we flipped with Susan Wild in 2018, then lost in one of the closest congressional elections in the country last year. It’s a prime pickup opportunity to flip the House and if you are asking “what can I do to help,” helping create more scenes and stories like this is very good

REVEALED: we identified the operator of an overtly racist X account, "GlomarResponder," as ICE Assistant Chief Counsel James Rodden, based on an overwhelming number of biographical details matched through publicly available documents, other social media activity, and courtroom observation.

Maybe Gabe Evans should focus more on protecting his constituents from the radical cuts Musk and Trump want to use for their own tax cuts, and less on making people scared to go to church.

I’m surprised fewer people have brought up Tesla’s disastrous record of customer data stewardship in discussions of how Musk and his ilk will treat our tax records. www.reuters.com/technology/t...

A sign that the Trump admin is taking your egg price concerns very seriously www.nbcnews.com/politics/dog...

A goal of the Trump/Musk purges seems to be to create an opening to build a civil service analogous to the one in “Yes Minister,” but with big balls as sir Humphrey

Why tidycensus' default output is anything other than wide is beyond me

How are R environment variables this bad?

There is a simpler explanation. Rubio is a vile human being with very few core beliefs, who has mostly benefitted in his career by being compared to even worse people. www.politico.com/news/magazin...

This is deeply concerning. I’m unaware of any instance of political appointees at Treasury or IRS having access to this database. I didn’t and the political appointees on my team did not. 1/3 www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

Job cuts at Medicare have begun. If you're the type of person reading bluesky on a Sunday, that means it's your job to make sure the low information low engagement voters in your life hear about it. www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

looks to me like the street being very careful not to look at this DOGE stuff too closely

There you have it. The Economic Policy Uncertainty Index (www.policyuncertainty.com) just hit an all-time high, surpassing its previous high from May 2020 - the teeth of the #COVID pandemic. Consequences: worse investment climate, higher risk premia, (likely) higher interest rates...

WORLD RECORD!!! Jacob Kiplimo takes back his half marathon world record in a bananas 56.41 (unofficial) taking c. 49s off the previous record of 57.30!!! London Marathon is going to be crazy!

I think that there is a pretty strong case that crypto broke Silicon Valley

The termination of 850 Indian Health Service physicians, nurses, and dentists will have a grave impact on access to care for millions of Native Americans. Upholding our treaty obligations is not optional.

The newly created vacancies in the DOJ and at the FBI will be quickly filed by people who will no longer simply look the other way but will be eager to help Musk accomplish his goals. The threat to those trying to resist these efforts or hold them accountable will grow over time.

stuff like this is obvious as soon as you spend any time with a dataset, for what it's worth

This comment on r/fednews really stood out to me. Trump and Musk want people to think they're firing do-nothing "bureaucrats," but they're really getting rid of people dedicated to serving this country and keeping it operational. I hope these stories get told.

A weak confederation will always have a hard time approaching the effectiveness that would be expected from the sum of its parts. The European Union should become something more akin to a United States of Europe if it wants to succeed on the world stage

Following her disastrous reversal on congestion pricing, I have felt that gov Hochul should be primaried. If she fails to remove Adams, as she is technically allowed to, that feeling will be much stronger.