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kirabojackson.bsky.social
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Grateful to be a new NBER Faculty Research Fellow! Thank you to those who nominated me and helped get me here

FYI: The Spencer Foundation, Kapor Foundation, The William T. Grant Foundation, and the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation have collaborated to offer $25K rapid response grants. "This rapid response bridge funding opportunity is for scholars and teams whose grants have recently been cancelled by NSF."

Economist @kirabojackson.bsky.social tells Marketplace the “bathtub model” helps explain the labor market: job openings fill the tub, layoffs drain it. New data shows it’s draining faster than it’s filling-unemployment may rise. More: ➡️ http://spr.ly/633292xuXF #LaborMarket #Economy

Enjoyed explaining the bathtub model and how it helps economists interpret JOLTS and consumer reports on @marketplace.org. Measures of job-finding difficulty can give us clues about where the unemployment rate is headed. www.marketplace.org/story/2025/0...

One of my favorite papers!

Q: In estimating the effects of a non-random treatment (an on switch) on achievement, we often control for lagged scores. For period 1 this is fine, but for subsequent periods, lagged scores are affected by treatment (hence biased). Has anyone formalized this or proposed a solution?

The devil is in the details on high graduate student loan borrowing. Learn more in our recent report from @jdmatsudaira.bsky.social! www.american.edu/spa/peer/upl...

This is a very insightful thread 🧵

The federal government collects tons of data across agencies that are critical to understanding the effects of policies and quantify the scale of our nation's problems. Eliminating divisions which collect these data and publish them will leave us flying blind. www.propublica.org/article/trum...

Reminder: Arnold Ventures has research funding available. We have an open RFP for causal research related to crime/criminal justice in the US, and can consider other topics as well. (This includes "last mile" funding for high-quality projects with cancelled government grants.)

I AM VERY PROUD OF MY SCHOOL NGL

A key point about promoting inclusion being positive sum so that there are no losses and therefore no discrimination. 👏

I've been getting a lotta (positive!) feedback on this interview with PBS News Hour. It was sort of weird: Each question was of the form: "okay, but what about this argument for the Trump tariffs"? I just tried to use it as a teaching opportunity.

I do budget policy because I believe what I'm fighting for has real tangible effects on people and that the people I'm fighting against would do real harm to people I love and people I'll never know. But this is the stuff that keeps me up at night.

I truly think a ton of people can't fathom being horrendously abused by the government. I'm glad for them that they were able to live in such a protected bubble. But it just takes knowing a single person who has seen state oppression to know how terrifying, dangerous, and monstrously unfair this is.

I argue that the slow growth and decline in K12 spending after the great recession have affected scores ever since...a form of scarring. The Pandemic Is Not the Only Reason U.S. Students Are Losing Ground www.nytimes.com/2025/04/07/u...

My friend Brent Neiman is doing God's work to show that these tariffs are ridiculous, even within the terms of the stated goals of the policy -- which are also ridiculous. www.nytimes.com/2025/04/07/o...

This feels dangerously close to an "end justifies means" argument. I expect to see a lot of those in the coming years....

Wow! Three scholars at Columbia, Michigan, & Maryland just introduced a measure of the partisan leanings of employers in the U.S. The data is constructed by linking voter registrations to online worker profiles. VRscores capture the political affiliations of 21.8M workers across 2.6M employers.

Funny.... Not funny.

George Lucas right now is hunched over a Wayback Machine mirror of a bunch of 1999 fan forums going wild over how no one wants to hear about trade policy, sipping wine from his California wine farm, just giggling

The detail that jumped out at me is BOTH kids going to bed voluntarily. You are winning!!

From 2010 to 2016 (latest data I have ), NIH research contributed to EVERY drug approved by the FDA

Every single one of them.

NBER SI Deadline is this Thursday! www.nber.org/calls-papers...

This is so obviously the case.

Interesting!

More high-quality evidence that the world is not blind to race... absent intervention, there is not equality of opportunity. academic.oup.com/qje/article-...

This article proves how incredibly consequential the choice to resist instead of rolling over can be. These brave people are helping everyone, far beyond their own agency’s reach. Let’s all learn this lesson (Article also does a good job contextualizing Trump/Musk lies every time they’re relevant)

🚨 Thrilled that our 🆕 paper “Age and Cognitive Skills: Use It or Lose It” just came out in #ScienceAdvances @science.org 💡 Longitudinal evidence: age pattern of literacy+numeracy not as bleak as cross-section suggests + strongly differs by skill usage www.science.org/doi/full/10.... 🧵A thread 1/7

Every dollar spent on the IRS yields about 3 in tax revenue. If one is serious about deficit reduction, you don't do this.

Unless we all wake up from this collective tariffs nightmare, the reality is recession. Recession with inflation, which is called stagflation. It's the worst kind of recession, because people lose their jobs and prices stay high along with interest rates.

my post just went viral

Trump’s Sec of Agriculture Brooke Rollins says the solution to high egg prices for Americans is to get some chickens and raise them in your backyard.

Also worth noting that the public consistently overestimates spending for some of these things, such as foreign aid. If you tell them what percentage is actually spend, they tend to adjust their opinions.