meredithlilly.bsky.social
International trade professor, NAFTA/USMCA, Canada-US relations, sanctions, G7.
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Here’s our 2022 paper published prior to the CBAM roll-out, predicting it would be an administrative nightmare (of questionable benefit). New potential Trump reciprocal tariffs have a different focus, but many lessons will be the same. www.fcf-ctf.ca/common/Uploa...
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While reciprocity is central to Cdn FTAs & trade with other developed countries, we have unilaterally eliminated tariffs on most imports from least developed countries. Policy rationale: it is good for those countries & Canadian consumers. canada.ca/en/departmen...
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There’s plenty of work for Canada in that agenda, and lots of opportunities for Can-US engagement and collaboration. This doesn't touch NATO 2% or borders, both needed. Cdn media, political leaders and commentators who continue to breathlessly focus on the tariff threat are helping Trump. 5/fin.
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EO to pause all IRA spending including on Electric Vehicles. Canada’s EV investments are directly linked to the ongoing operation of the IRA, and this EO puts those contracts in jeopardy 4/.
www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...
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US withdrawal from OECD Global Tax Deal, and scrutiny of foreign taxes targeting or applying extraterritorial tax commitments on Americans. For Canada: This puts Canada’s Digital Services Tax in the crosshairs, plus the Online Streaming Act 3/. www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...
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USMCA implementation and review, plus unfair trade practices and trade imbalances. Lots in there, good and bad. For Canada: dairy TRQs; digital taxes; shared auto supply chain; Chinese investment in CUSMA countries; Buy American; softwood lumber 2/.
www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...
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Now a backbencher, she does not need to worry about the blowback or work constructively with US counterparts. So she’s counting on fighting with Trump to deliver her a win with Liberals.
Link to book chapter here outlining the US. v Cdn narratives: www.routledge.com/Internationa...
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As I wrote in 2022, her opening ‘win-win-win’ narrative flopped with Cdn voters. When she finally pivoted to ‘Standing up for Canadians’, she gained traction and popularity at home.
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Chapter link here: utppublishing.com/doi/book/10..... If your institution doesn’t have access, DM me for a copy. (4/4)
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Trudeau govt approach was all carrots, no sticks (2016 onward). This imperiled the program and Canada’s longstanding consensus on immigration in the process. (3/4)
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Ironically, it is Canada’s position that has changed since my 2021 chapter, after Trudeau govt failed to correctly balance the carrots and sticks of Harper-era reforms (2013-15)…(2/4).
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ICYMI . . CBS Sunday Morning did a primer on tariffs where David Pogue and I discuss "who pays," Smoot-Hawley, and may other things . . .
www.cbsnews.com/video/trumps...
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I look forward to reading this Sarah. Congratulations.
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Link to paywalled article. DM for a copy if unable to access. www.emerald.com/insight/cont...
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But rich countries do not use FTAs to seek to bind themselves to greater improvements or higher obligations than exist domestically. 3/3
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Similarly, our research on 25 years of Canada’s labour provisions in FTAs clearly demonstrates that rich countries use labour chapters to compel and bind poor countries to raise their standards to equivalent levels.2/3