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msantalucia.bsky.social
I'm a political professional working "down ballot", helping candidates and causes raise money, and building the future of opinion research with AI. Doing cool things at www.MFStrategies.com and www.TwigIntel.com
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There is a kind of "recency bias" around AI within silicon valley money. AIs 70 year history is rooted in university/gov. grants. But private enterprise has driven a lot of the recent jumps, specifically LLMs. They've gotten so high on their own supply they forgot the shoulders they're standing on

Recently a powerful bully called me crazy (among other things) when I stood up to them. This is why I did it though. While bullies can hurt you in real ways, working "with" them only produces opportunities for them to inflict more pain.

AI in public policy is so dangerous because the "impartial machine" is a myth. There is anecdotal evidence that Musk's systems are working as intended. But even without bad actors, AI is trained on data and data is bias. We're letting a Twitter-based Frankenstein rip through the federal government

Regardless of who these people are (or are not), they are people. And every American should know what is being done in their names, and with their money, to create human rights black holes and lay the foundations for whatever is next. time.com/7269604/el-s...

This is the correct alignment for Trump II. We don't have the luxury of party disputes; it is only about whether the other person supports democratic values and the rule of law. We can figure out the rest later.

I regularly have to tell myself: do not try to apply rational frameworks to irrational behaviors. What does that say about my life? There is no way of knowing.

I pull out this classic once a year

Kid Rock has to be pumped

If you've worked at a government agency at even a middle level, you know exactly how many hours you've spent in meetings with lawyers talking about what the agency can or cannot statutorily do.

Fun fact: In the US, courts have more consistently ruled that phones locked by passcodes are legally more secure from law enforcement than those locked with biometrics.

Schumer's position is indefensible.

The fallout from @schumer.senate.gov folding to the GOP will hit all Dems as supporters take out frustration on candidates—even those who oppose what he's doing. He’s not just enabling an authoritarian administration; he's crippling those who can stop it.

Welp

Seems like a good time for this discussion from last week with Signal's Meredith Whittaker about privacy, data, and AI. If you are personally or professionally engaging in activity that contradicts or could disrupt Trump's agenda, this is a(nother) warning shot. www.youtube.com/watch?v=AyH7...

Reminder: When a person or institution you hate is targeted for illiberal persecution by an aspiring authoritarian, you have to defend them EVEN IF you don't like them. It doesn't matter if you don't like campus protestors or Columbia or the law firms. We must defend them or we're all at risk next.

In 2024 Democrats argued, essentially, that the economic pain of rising prices needed to be put aside for larger ideological concerns (democracy). And that famously worked super well.

Electing people to government who hate government has been one of the most baffling trends of the last 40 years. If I get on an airplane and the pilot is in the corner muttering about how evil airplanes are I'm going to have some reasonable questions.

Here's the first targeted attack on an organization I've worked with directly. If you are in Democratic politics it is only a matter of time before you or someone near you is targeted.

Democratic electeds, and I say this with love, if you're not up to the task -- and it is a big one -- of taking bold steps to stand up for our constitutional order, then please get out of the way for someone who is. If you've run your race, congratulations, now please pass the baton.

Oh. This is exactly what is happening. www.youtube.com/watch?v=NcSi...

This is a real question that I'm very curious about - My understanding of other authoritarians (Hitler, Putin, Stalin, etc.) is that they consolidated power under the cover of (real/perceived) economic prosperity. People let democratic values slip if they thought they were better off. What's this?

I have worked with bullies and Trump is just that. The only response to a bully is to hit back because they never stop, but even then they create situations with no winners. Everyday, it's sad that so many people just wanting to live their lives are the collateral damage Trump has chosen.

American manufacturing is back, baby!

Our national infrastructure just isn't very good and hasn't been for my whole career. Orgs like the DCCC are built to raise money and spend it on their friends while voters gift Dems occasional majorities when the GOP has gone too far. I have little faith they can meet this moment.

I read story after story like this and I can't help but think of the handful of Trump supporters I know and wonder if they're happy that at least the group they've chosen to hate will get hurt too.

I'm glad our political ideal has moved past "Run the government like a business" and is now in its "run the government like an unviable startup" era

I've assumed the strategy was to corner the market with cheap VC-funded compute and then jack the price up. That makes a product like Llama or DeepSeek an existential threat as it gives consumers a realistically affordable/comparable option.

Back in 2017 I built a Twitter bot that autonomously created and spread political content. Looking back, it's quaint by chatGPT standards. Could be fun to revive the project to get Elon to do something, or at least engage with it. No way he doesn't take the bait, right? medium.com/hackernoon/w...

When you read a history book, no one mentions how utterly silly some parts of authoritarian ascent look. Don't get me wrong, in a year or two this will legally be my favorite band but at the moment...

Shit.

Fortunately for all of us, this is famously not how any of that works

I'm really baffled by this argument. At work, are you producing an actual work product or just producing the clicking sound your keyboard makes? Work product and results are self-explanatory if properly established. - Someone who has run an exclusively remote company since 2017.

Went to the store and forget expensive, they were just straight up out of eggs. Every time this Trump guy gets into office I end up looking at empty grocery store shelves.