nato-enthusiast.bsky.social
BORN TO DIE
AMERICA IS A FUCK
EURODETERRENT 2025
I AM DEMOCRACY MAN
410,757,864,530 EUROWARHEADS
563 posts
134 followers
258 following
Active Commenter
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Ich weiß auch nicht genau wie er sich das weiter vorstellt. Vorraussichtlich wird er mit SPD und Grünen koalieren müssen, selbst im optimistischsten Szenario mindestens mit einer von beiden. Wer soll ihm das abkaufen?
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For security issues, which as you may guess are my primary concern, this coalition would also be extremely positive, combining the two most hawkish parties in the Bundestag. Military and Ukraine funding will likely increase significantly.
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3) What will happen next
If the polling holds and there are no big surprises, the incoming coalition will be CDU, SPD and Greens. Presently this is the only realistic coalition with a majority. It's also my preferred option, as it would give SPD and Greens leverage to negotiate progressive issues.
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2) Election Day
Polls will open at 8:00 tomorrow, and close at 18:00. Counting will begin after that, though exit polling should give quite a good picture as soon as the doors shut. More accurate projections will come throughout the evening, though by that point it's usually mostly details.
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(Yes maybe I'm slightly biased)
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very minor losses, with even marginal wins being on the table. This is quite remarkable because they got most of the blame for the coalitions issues, by the media, opposition and even their partners. IMO this tracks well with their voter base being high education, propensity and engagement though.
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The current government, except for possibly the Greens, will likely get slaughtered at the ballot box. The FDP likely will no longer even meet the minimum to be in the Bundestag, while the SPD will 'only' have to contend with losing 40% of their seats. Greens are the odd one out, looking at only
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have catapulted the AfD to 20% in polls, double what they got last time. This is certainly a worrying trend, but still within the confines of global anti-incumbent backlash boosted by economic woes. They are unlikely to have a direct impact on the forming government though.
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1) The State of Play
After a fractious and unpopular coalition between SPD, Greens and FDP disintegrated over fiscal policy (and, tbh, animosity over 3 years of poor cooperation), the CDU is poised to win big and form the next government. The political chaos combined with the poor economic situation
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Not an option. Also evidently untrue
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Intent is not relevant to the actual question. 1 Guy on one rail, 5 on the other. Which do you pick?
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A dilemma definitionally does not have right or wrong answers. Why don't you try actually engaging with it instead of invoking one interpretation, especially when it gets meta and stops being relevant to the actual question?
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It works because it is quite literally what you were asked to fucking do. There was absolutely no deeper meaning at all. You could either vote for more or less deaths, and you chose the former. Would you prefer I make my own dilemma to make this point?
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That isn't the question. This is downstream of Trump getting elected, which you facilitated by not voting for the only person capable of stopping him. Don't get me wrong, Dems should certainly be louder, but legislative obstructionism seems a bit ill suited to containing a rogue executive no?
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Are you asserting that Harris would have cancelled USAID and PEPFAR?
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You weren't even prepared to swallow your pride and vote for the party not intending to give thousands of african kids AIDS, maybe stick with the simple questions before getting into permutations
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The function of FPV goggles in a russian military unit is clearly not harmless.
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Lmao sure thing buddy. Do you have any evidence at all that Dems were going to do so?
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Did you just read booby trap and think all of them are banned?
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Erster Sabotageakt war hinterhältig und heimlich die VLS Zellen von den ganzen Plänen zu radieren
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Die nötigen Maßnahmen, abgesehen von der Wehrpflicht, haben breite Zustimmung. Die Politik und Bürokratie müssen mal aus den Pötten kommen
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Dems would have ended USAID?
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The dems pretty clearly don't feel so, as they wouldn't have done it. But you do.
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Does it make you feel better that an order of magnitude more people will die now?
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Not really answering my question there buddy. Are you slow or coping?
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That's a very nice looking missile :)
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...do you understand, on a conceptual level, that two options being bad doesn't mean one isn't worse than the other?
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Let's put it that way, if they made a beer it would taste like stealth coating and cocaine
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Show me where the Biden administration called for annexing Gaza. Or where they axed USAID, impacting literally millions of people and likely killing hundreds of thousands. Or where they abandoned Ukraine to russian imperialism. Or where they destabilized the entire global security system.
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You know the point of the trolley problem isn't that one option is somehow worth less than the other right?
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I didn't pull the lever therefor the trolley problem doesn't apply to me
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-Ernst Thälmann, 1933
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The reason performative masculinity is so popular and profitable is that there is a kernel of truth to its underlying assumptions. Not that women bang only rich ripped jocks of course, but that online platforms mean they nearly always have someone more rich and ripped than you a few swipes away.
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That's an instructive example. They're reacting to the mundane and quantifiable where it interacts with known circumstances, not the insane lunacy that may or may not destroy the very foundation of their structure.
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Trump has gone far beyond 'transactional'. He's actively extortionate
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Specialized functional systems necessarily struggle fully appreciating events outside of their own scope. Same reason Wall Street is trading business as usual instead of reacting to impending apocalyptic trade policy really
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I don't think any of them expected to actually win and they've just been winging it
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Also a massive security risk given his very clear loyalties to foreign enemies of the US, but who's counting on that front at this point anyway lmao
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There certainly will still be lots of people that *want* to do government work, the question will be if they can justify the risk to themselves. I wouldnt want to orient my life around an org that might stop paying me randomly because a zoomer is skibidi sigma rizzing the Treasury payment system lol
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There's also the fact that the AfD runs on a sort of destructive nihilism very similar to MAGA, which isn't compatible with actual governance. So there isn't really an incentive to even consider working with them, as opposed to the US dynamic where the GOP relies on Trump to win anything
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The AfD is still far from being in contention for the federal government. Despite fishing in the populist pond to a slightly worrying degree, the CDU is still far away from seriously considering a coalition with them, as it would likely splinter the party.
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It's like if federal hiring depended on a psychic attesting you good omens
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The main issue going forward will be that you would have to be utterly insane to build your career on serving an electorate that has a coinflip chance of smashing the administrative state every four years
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Literally does not compute in my head at all how you could support a ballot measure and then vote for the people that made it necessary to begin with
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More like conservative brain poison meaning net public investment over 16 years of Merkel was negative
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Die Bayern fühlen sich ein bisschen zu wohl in ihrem Einparteiensystem