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nicolaiberk.bsky.social
Postdoc at ETH Public Policy Group & Immigration Policy Lab. Political Communication, Public Opinion, NLP.
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Curious about mastering text analysis using computational methods? 🧑‍💻📊 This summer, I’m teaching an introductory course at the @methodsnet.bsky.social Summer School at @weareceu.bsky.social in Vienna. Would be nice to see you there!

Ich muss es so hart sagen: ich dachte, ich lese eine kleine Anfrage der AfD, aber sie stammt von der Union. 551 (!) Fragen zu Organisationen, Hintergrund seien „Proteste gegen die CDU“, darunter die „Omas gegen Rechts“ und andere. Bin ehrlich entsetzt. dserver.bundestag.de/btd/20/150/2...

‼️ O, Canada is now in CHES! The data include party position estimates for federal parties in Canada + parties in Ontario and Quebec. It's also super easy to combine with other @chesdata.bsky.social data to compare positions with positions of parties in other countries!

www.readthedetox.com/p/trump-can-...

Wir starten das Justiz-Projekt. Wohin man schaut, stehen Attacken auf die Justiz im Mittelpunkt der autoritär-populistischen Strategie. Im Justiz-Projekt fragen wir uns jetzt: Wie verwundbar ist die deutsche Justiz? Alle Infos in unserem aktuellen Editorial: verfassungsblog.de/wir-starten-....

Dystopian af

🚨 #Data alert 📣 We just released #ParlLawSpeech – full texts of more than 40k bills, 28k laws, and 3 mio. parliamentary speeches from 7 countries (AT, CZ, DE, DK, ES, HR, HU) and the EU! If you study democracy with #TextAsData / #NLP methods, this is for you! A short 🧵 (1/3) #PoliSkyData #polisky

Heute in einer Woche, also wenige Tage vor der Bundestagswahl, darf ich zusammen mit @lionw.bsky.social & Tanja Blom in der Bezirkszentralbibliothek in Tempelhof ĂĽber die vorgezogene Wahl diskutieren. Moderiert wird die Diskussion von @heikekleffner.bsky.social.

The much sympathy I have for this view, this is fatalistic. There is urgency to resist the turn into fully-fledged authoritarianism now. Resistance in authoritarianism is much harder cause things you take for granted right now in your repertoire like freedom of speech or assembly cease to mean much.

Steve Levitsky, co-author of How Democracies Die "the U.S. is sliding toward a more 21st-century model of autocracy: competitive authoritarianism" www.theatlantic.com/ideas/archiv... "A failure to resist... could pave the way for authoritarian entrenchment" www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state...

Die Linke bei den 18-29-Jährigen bei forsa bei 19%. (Auch wenn die Fallzahlen hier sicherlich nicht sehr hoch sind.)

This afterthought - to a 🧵 about a great publication, kudos @nicolaiberk.bsky.social - makes a crucial point. Making PhD degrees contingent on *published* papers hijacks candidates. Papers in dissertations should be ready for submission. Accepted papers are wonderful but should *not* be required.

Speaking of null results, have a look at this outstanding study by @nicolaiberk.bsky.social, just out with us at Political Communication, where he shows with exemplary rigor how BILD's sudden shift towards framing immigration as related to crime had zero effect on readers' attitudes on immigration.

I was just told that I have to remove “climate” from the title of an ongoing grant if I want to keep it. And publications from that grant cannot include “climate” and other forbidden words. I can’t believe I’m writing this from the United States of America. #AcademicSky

Fascinating article making use of an unexpected change in editor at Germany’s largest tabloid to test whether a negative shift In how immigrants are portrayed by a newspaper produces a negative soft on readers’ attitudes. Conclusion? It did not.

New research by @nicolaiberk.bsky.social using GLES data 👇

Now available Open Access: 📰 Does (immigration) framing influence public opinion? 🧵 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

Yes, just say the causal statement and acknowledge that there are strong assumptions required to believe it

To govern LLMs, we need to force transparency about the training process - and potentially even whitelist specific data for training.

The morale of DeepSeek r1's story is clear: It is very obviously possible to squeeze a model into a very particular response setting for very specific queries EVEN WITHOUT A SYSTEM PROMPT. This means: We cannot trust any model whose dataset and training is not fully transparent.

đź“Ł Excited to welcome the fabulous @dianebolet.bsky.social at the Politics Lecture Series @humboldtuni.bsky.social and @dynamics.bsky.social tomorrow! Come & join us!