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ninawilen.bsky.social
Dir. Africa Program Egmont Institute, Assoc Prof Lund University, xEIC International Peacekeeping. Research on military, Sahel & Great Lakes, peacekeeping, gender, interventions
119 posts 1,309 followers 351 following
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📰 𝗗𝗔𝗡𝗦 𝗟𝗔 𝗣𝗥𝗘𝗦𝗦𝗘 Analyse de @ninawilen.bsky.social et #ErikKennes du Programme Afrique @egmontinstitute.bsky.social dans Le Monde Diplomatique sur les ingérences meurtrières du #Rwanda en #RDC 𝗟𝗶𝗿𝗲 𝗶𝗰𝗶 👉 www.monde-diplomatique.fr/2025/03/KENN...

“Marco Rubio…sat in front of cameras and discussed “pretty unique & potentially historic economic partnerships” with #Russia. Oh, Marco. The problem when you latch on to the shark is that you eventually get eaten, or at least your soul does…1)

"The #Sahel remained the most lethal theater on the continent for the fourth year in a row. There were an estimated 10,400 deaths linked to militant Islamist violence in the Sahel in 2024. This comprises 55 percent of all related fatalities for the continent." africacenter.org/spotlight/mi...

#Niger's national conference recommended that the #military authorities stay for a renewable period of 5 years with possibility for General Tchiani to present himself in future #elections. #AES juntas are there for the long term... www.rtbf.be/article/nige...

In #Togo, the ruling party won the country's first senatorial elections.. .a new constitution that replaces direct presidential elections with a parliamentary system..allowing President Gnassingbé to retain power indefinitely. #Africa #democracy decline www.lemonde.fr/afrique/arti...

"the #US is led by an administration that lets ideology drive strategy... #Europe's rational arguments on how the US is damaging its own prosperity & security by damaging Europe’s may well fall on deaf ears. If reasoning does not work, acting will." #Russia www.egmontinstitute.be/trumps-europ...

"Far from retreating, #Russia is recalibrating – not abandoning the region but repositioning itself to reaffirm its status as a global power ready to fill strategic vacuums" #Syria #Libya #MENA www.ispionline.it/en/publicati...

The newly established National Forum in #Niger has suggested to promote Brigadier General Tchiani to Army General. In 2024, General Goïta in #Mali self-promoted himself to the same position. Still waiting for Captain Traoré in #Burkina to move up the ranks. #Sahel www.anp.ne/niger-les-pa...

President Volodymyr Zelenskyy is not a dictator. He is a champion of democracy, freedom and truth.

The worst crisis today might be the epistemological one, where gaslighting by world leaders are creating parallel realities. There is broad consensus about #Russia 's invasion of #Ukraine - but lies about other topics create confusion & sow doubt about what is true edition.cnn.com/2025/02/19/p...

”#M23 puts much effort in showing its ‘benevolent rebel rule’…to show it’s more capable & effective than #Kinshasa…In the 1st 1/2 of 2024..M23 displaced an estimated 2million people & since the beginning of this year, another 700 000 were displaced” #DRC #Rwanda www.ips-journal.eu/topics/forei...

The #UK calls for an immediate cessation of hostilities, withdrawal of all #RDF from Congolese territory and a return to dialogue through African-led peace processes. There can be no military solution” #DRC #Rwanda www.gov.uk/government/n...

”#Uganda has always played an ambiguous role in the conflict..it wants to continue joint military operations..against the ADF. ..other hand, it cannot allow its long-standing “frenemy” #Rwanda to be the only power exerting influence over eastern #Congo and #M23” theconversation.com/m23-rebels-a...

”Trump mentions “visiting each other’s nations”... is Trump really going to allow an ICC-alleged #war criminal into #America after his election-time narrative about foreign criminals coming into America?” Irony not lost.. #Russia @warinthefuture.bsky.social mickryan.substack.com/p/the-week-w...

”#Trump...à faire une espèce de coup d'État interne aux États-Unis en transformant fondamentalement le fonctionnement de l'État fédéral...on est dans une volonté délibérée de modifier profondément le caractère même de l'État américain.” #US #NATO #EU podcasts.apple.com/se/podcast/l...

Extremely worrying developments in the East of #DRC & the Great Lakes region more broadly with threats of #Uganda force commander to take Bunia

Back to the future in Eastern DRC? Ituri for Uganda, the Kivu's for Rwanda..?

"By the end of the year #France will close all its permanent bases on the continent, besides #Djibouti..A rotating average of..100 soldiers will be stationed ..in Abidjan & a..base in Libreville..for training purposes" #Gabon #Ivorycoast #Sahel www.economist.com/middle-east-...

Think about this as USAID is shuttered..

"The number of Africans forcibly displaced has risen for the 13th year in a row—to over 45 million people. This figure represents a 14% increase from the previous year...." #Africa #displacement #conflict africacenter.org/spotlight/af...

#Niger military junta orders the closure and immediate departure of the @icrc.org which has been based in the country since 1990. No official explanation given so far. airinfoagadez.com/2025/02/05/f...

In 2012 when the #M23 was created, #DRC was in a seemingly endless #SSR-#DDR process. My article from 2013, gives background to why the process continuously fails & traces the M23 trajectory back to previous rebel groups supported by #Rwanda: CNDP & the RCD. www.researchgate.net/publication/...

#Kagame was asked if there were any Rwandan troops inside the #DRC. “I don’t know,” Kagame said, despite the fact that he is commander-in-chief of the RDF.” Plausible deniability usually only works for mercenaries, not for state militaries… #Rwanda edition.cnn.com/2025/02/03/a...

For more background on #Rwanda #army double reputation: ▶️ as the 'predator' - intervening in neighboring states ▶️ as the 'savior' - peacekeeper saving neighbors My article with #Josefine Kuehnel on Rwanda's involvement #peacekeeping gives more info: www.researchgate.net/publication/...

"le soutien du #Rwanda au #M23 est beaucoup plus important qu'en 2012 ...plus de 4 000 soldats, des véhicules blindés, des drones, des missiles sol-air, & de l'équipement..Et pourtant, aucun pays n'a suspendu son aide cette fois-ci." www.ebuteli.org/publications...

I was happy to contribute to this @Euronews.com article about French troops departing from West #Africa. Yet also said that the 2 waves of expulsions differ from each other - with #Senegal, #Chad & #Ivorycoast being more open to continued collaboration fr.euronews.com/my-europe/20... euronews.com

If you want more background to why the #Rwanda army is able to exert important pressure on #DRC military, my article about their respective #army integration processes after their wars provides some info: www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1...

"For #Rwanda, the objective..is no longer simply to force Tshisekedi to negotiate, but to weaken him further. For the #M23, this..offers an opportunity to consolidate its authority in..the Kivu.." New @egmontinstitute.bsky.social piece on the #DRC conflict www.egmontinstitute.be/congo-crisis...

I'm happy to have contributed a chapter on African forces & #UN #Peacekeeping with @niagalebagayoko.bluesky.social to this Oxford Handbook on African Defence & Armed Forces masterly edited by Marco Wyss & Evert Kleynhans! #Africa #defense #military #army #security global.oup.com/academic/pro...

..and so they were only 12.. #Mali #Burkina Faso and #Niger leave #ECOWAS for the #AES, rewriting the security architecture in West #Africa. To observe: ▶️ Sea access - three landlocked states ▶️ Border btw Niger & #Benin ▶️ New bilateral accords ▶️ Population mobility www.rfi.fr/en/africa/20...

“it’s possible #Rwanda is benefiting from the change of administration in the #US.. However, the #DRC is also host to natural resources that are in demand and may attract the interest of the US in the conflict.” www.theafricareport.com/375172/rwand...

📄𝗡𝗘𝗪 𝗣𝗨𝗕𝗟𝗜𝗖𝗔𝗧𝗜𝗢𝗡 by @ninawilen.bsky.social and @pdwilliamsgwu.bsky.social @africa.theconversation.com "Peacekeeping armies: what are they, why do African states build them and what impact do they have?" #peacekeepingarmies 𝗥𝗲𝗮𝗱 𝗺𝗼𝗿𝗲 👉 tinyurl.com/2dfz6tee

Notre article avec @pdwilliamsgwu.bsky.social sur les "armées de maintien de la paix" est désormais disponible en français dans @theconversation.com avec une tableau comparatif des États contributeurs de troupes 🪖 #casquebleu #ONU #militaire #armée 🌎 theconversation.com/armees-de-ma...

”In this changing & increasingly fragmented environment, the hypocrisy of old & new interveners is..mirrored by self-interested Congolese elites. These elites increasingly resort to outsourcing & sub-contracting national security to armed groups, private military companies & neighbouring states”

“Roads are blocked and the airport can no longer be used for evacuation or humanitarian efforts,” Keita told the council via video link. “#M23 has declared the airspace over #Goma closed. In other words, we are trapped.” #Rwanda #DRC www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

"The pressure tactics..become a major problem for the global #mining industry..when companies..are trying to secure long-term #uranium supplies & boost production of #gold, whose price has risen to record highs" #Sahel #Niger #Mali #BurkinaFaso www.ft.com

▶️ leaders should..engage in “deep listening” ▶️ embrace the “error bar”..honestly indicate their level of confidence in research results ▶️ acknowledge that vertical trust..is collapsing ▶️ critical reasoning, you must put your money behind that ▶️ champion initiatives to counter online misinformation

I was happy to be interviewed for this @AFP article on how the #Sahel juntas are ousting Western mining companies & literally flying out #gold stocks to increase revenues for #military operations amongst others #Mali #Niger #Burkina www.rfi.fr/en/internati...

"les affrontements entre le #M23, soutenus par le #Rwanda, et l’armée congolaise ont repris...Les rebelles contrôlent la majeure partie de #Saké..Cette cité stratégique se situe à..20 km..de #Goma" #MONUSCO #FARDC #SADC in Goma Développement inquiétant #DRC www.jeuneafrique.com/1651271/poli...

How about that? posting to @bsky.app can indeed get research trending @altmetric.com And in such good company bt @allardduursma.bsky.social @ninawilen.bsky.social et al 75y peacekeeping + new dataset @crismaglia.bsky.social @johnkarlsrud.bsky.social @yfreykers.bsky.social doi.org/10.1080/1353...

@pdwilliamsgwu.bsky.social & my article about #peacekeeping armies is still #openaccess with #international affairs We define what a peacekeeping #army is, how it develops & the consequences for the national #army, state & peacekeeping practices more broadly. 🌏 academic.oup.com/ia/article/1...

#Togo considers joining the #AES, which would give the landlocked trio access to the coast via the Port of Lomé Which would also provide more possibilities of regime protection for Togo's president... #Sahel #Mali #Burkina #Niger www.jeuneafrique.com/1649168/poli...

The #AES: #Mali #Burkina & #Niger create new joint force of 5,000 troops to fight jihadists to be operational within a few weeks. General Mody (Niger): "It's new, it's original, & it provides security for our space and our populations." #G5Sahel Joint Force? 🧐... www.france24.com/fr/afrique/2...

"A mere 8% of his initial White House appointments survived to the end, & 14 cabinet members left too...4 Chiefs of Staff.. 5 deputy Chiefs of Staff & 4 National Security Advisers..Vice-President stood against him in the Republican primaries" #Trump #US open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/t...

Happy to be interviewed for this #le vif article about #Rwanda, #DRC & #EU #Goma pourrait­ elle être prise à nouveau? "C’est tout à fait possible militairement..Mais le risque de sanc­tions fera réfléchir à 2 fois le #M23 et ses parrains" www.levif.be/internationa...

“'#Nigeria & #Chad are very much in the market for defense sales & diversifying their security partnerships'...#China has already surpassed #Russia as the top arms supplier to sub-Saharan #Africa" www.voanews.com/a/sahel-vacu...

"A preponderance of this year’s elections will be in Francophone countries with seven of the ten occurring in West and Central Africa—the epicenter of Russian influence operations to undermine democracy on the continent" #democracy #elections #Russia africacenter.org/spotlight/20...

"Canadian miner Barrick Gold said it will have to suspend #mining operations in #Mali after the government seized gold stocks from the company's Loulo-Gounkoto complex and flew them out by helicopter over the weekend...the value of the #gold at $245 million." www.reuters.com/markets/comm...