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nlintonepi.bsky.social
ID epi and modeler.
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This is terrifying.

The Texas #measles outbreak is a public health tragedy, by Dr. Leana Wen wapo.st/4gSic97 via @postopinions.bsky.social #vaccination #antivax

Implementing a performance-rating system with 2-point scale instead of 5-point scale could be an easy way to temper racial prejudices & tangibly improve income equality for workers from under-represented groups A news & views on new research in our pages @nature.com 🧪 www.nature.com/articles/d41...

There are real life consequences to the job cuts and funding pauses that the new administration has put in place. They're creating chaos, fueling anxiety, and for Nancy Hastings of Belle, WVa, they are threatening access to critical medical care. Read this. www.statnews.com/2025/02/18/i...

It’s started… Louisiana Dept of Public Health will no longer promote mass vaccinations. #BlueSky  #MedSky 🧪 #IDSky #scisky #medtwitter #EMSky #EMedSky #nursesky #MedEd #fmsky #pedsky #CardioSky www.cnn.com/2025/02/13/h...

Glad to see this paper with discussion and recommendations for conducting observational studies in epidemic settings is out for fellow public health practitioners to reference. Happy to have been able to collaborate on this effort!

🧵"So this is how liberty dies..." Trump’s first 3 weeks have been a relentless flood of actions. It's incredibly hard to keep up. I’ve gone through 69 actions & mapped out the pattern - showing how they fall within 5 broad domains consistent with authoritarian states 1/9

Click to see the impact of #NIH funding in your state #MedSky #IDSky #PedsSky #ReproSky #StopProject2025

AtlasPlus suddenly disappearing was not in my 2025 bingo card. www.theatlantic.com/health/archi...

Our recent pre-preprint rapid review of epidemiological parameters for H5N1 influenza in humans, and implications for potential outbreak clusters: www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...

🧪 UKHSA has confirmed a case of influenza A(H5N1) in a person in West Midlands region. #IDSky #EpiSky 🏥 Individual is currently well & was admitted to a High Consequence Infectious Disease unit 📰 Currently no evidence of onwards transmission from this case 🔗 www.gov.uk/government/n...

ATTENTION WOMEN!! A study that followed Swedish women for 44 YEARS found that high cardiovascular fitness in midlife lowered the risk of #dementia by 88% & delayed time to dementia onset by nearly 10 yrs compared to women with moderate fitness. Get movin' , ladies! 🏃‍♀️🏃‍♀️🏃‍♀️ #BlueSky  #MedSky 1/2

For those interested wastewater-based R-effective estimation you can learn more about the methods we use in California for CalCAT (skylab4.cdph.ca.gov/calcat/) here: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti... github.com/cdphmodeling...

New preprint 🦠‼️ How do you tell apart dengue, chikungunya, and Zika? Big findings in 19 years of pediatric cohort data: lots of afebrile cases of dengue and Zika, which would be missed by most case definitions, and look very similar; plus, big differences by age. 🔓👉 www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1...

Worried about metapneumovirus? It's pretty much the only virus not causing problems in the US right now : ( Data from @wastewaterscan.bsky.social

Glad to see this released, with emphasis on not only measurable outcomes, but country ownership & partnerships, while emphasizing modernizing biosafety.

The #H5N1 #birdflu virus from a severe case in Louisiana shows it was developing mutations that could help it attach to cells in human respiratory tracts, including a mutation seen in a recent severe case in British Columbia, Canada, the #CDC reported today. www.statnews.com/2024/12/26/c...

Upgrade your #causalinference arsenal. A revision of our book "Causal Inference: What If" is available at miguelhernan.org/whatifbook Thanks to everyone who suggested improvements, reported typos, and proposed new citations and material. Enjoy the #WhatIfBook plus code and data. Also, it's free.

CDC just confirmed the first severe case of #H5N1 in the US in a patient in Louisiana. This virus seems to be the same genotype D1.1 that is spreading in birds at the moment (so not the cattle genotype B3.13) that severely sickened the teenager in Canada. #IDsky 🧪

RSV forecasts for this week are live! Lots of declines popping up across the country. Very uncertain time because things could start ticking back up, but right now the national peak is about 1/3 of last year. Wonderfully small RSV year if it holds 🤞

In clinical research, you will often receive feedback on study design, stats, and/or data analysis from an editor or reviewer that is simply wrong. Here is a list of common "statistical myths" and references you can use to push back. discourse.datamethods.org/t/reference-...

Everyone is happy with their parachute until they need it to open.

I’m so happy to see real-time reproduction number estimates in MMWR from the fantastic team at CDC CFA: www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes...

All milk sampling to date routinely shows 7+ logs of infectious virus per mL in samples from infected cows. Very glad this raw milk was recalled because I cannot emphasize enough what a bad idea it is for people to drink high titer H5N1.

Emergency Committee on the #mpox upsurge met today for the second time. Unsurprisingly, @who.int director-general "agreeing with the advice of the IHR Emergency Committee, has determined that the upsurge of mpox continues to constitute a public health emergency of international concern." #IDsky 🧪

Some good news: #WHO has granted an emergency use listing — its equivalent to an #FDA EUA — to Japan's #mpox vaccine. This will facilitate use of the vaccine, particularly in DRC, where Japan has promised to donate 3M doses.

#CDC reports that viruses from 3 of WA state's 11 confirmed cases show reduced susceptibility to oseltamivir, the first-line drug for flu treatment/prophylaxis. And virus from a recent case from CA showed reduced susceptibility to baloxavir, currently not rec'd for H5. www.cdc.gov/bird-flu/spo...

#MedSky🧪 #medsky #IDsky #immunosky #EpiSky #publichealth A paper in @natureportfolio.bsky.social reports clade 2.3.4.4b H5N1 viruses in 🐘 🦭 associated with a mass mortality event in 🇦🇷 go.nature.com/40PksJY

THREAD: we urgently need to talk about babies & Covid - AGAIN. A new paper has dropped looking at acute Covid-19 outcomes from Sep 2023-Apr 2024 by age for all England. Except for deaths, babies under 6 mths old have HIGHEST risk of A&E, admission & SEVERE hospital admission across ALL ages 1/10

primarycensored #rstats 📦 is now on CRAN and stable. primarycensored.epinowcast.org If you want to use or estimate delay (think incubation periods, reporting delays, etc.) distributions in epi it might be worth checking out. A #julia version is in development.

Potential extinction of the B/Yamagata flu lineage in the wake of the pandemic to the point where it's no longer included in vaccines in the Northern Hemisphere for the 2024–2025 season. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/... www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

As we see emerging reports of voting issues on Election Day (e.g. malfunctioning machines), it's can be helpful to understand how rumors around these issues can mislead — often by exaggerating impact, ignoring remedies, or falsely attributing intent.

#H5N1 #birdflu has been found in a pig in Oregon, #USDA and the state's Ag Dept announced today. The significance of this is unclear at this point, but in general, H5 in pigs would not be a good thing. www.statnews.com/2024/10/30/h...

Roles of community and sexual contacts as drivers of clade I mpox outbreaks https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2024.10.15.24315554v1

We are hiring a postdoc to work on projects related to scenario modeling for public health with scenariomodelinghub.org. Apply at unc.peopleadmin.com/postings/288...

0.5.0 out now with analytical solutions implemented for lognormal and gamma with uniform primary events (thanks Sam Brand). Fit time (on the non-trivial example) is down to 1 second with headroom for more (via directly solving the pmf)

🚨New in Nature Human Behaviour🚨 Will misinfo warning labels backfire for ppl who distrust fact-checkers? No! Labels reduce belief in & sharing of false news even for those highly distrusting of fact-checkers - warning labels are a key tool for platforms! rdcu.be/dSHtF

Know a budding science writer aged 13-19? Tell them about Write the World's Science Writing Competition, going on now through Sept. 25! @slate.bsky.social guest judge Shannon Palus will be looking for engaging and creative entries that explain a scientific concept or idea. 🧪

Early life #RSV infections can lead to long term airway epithelium alterations that exacerbate #allergic responses: #Immunology www.mucosalimmunology.org/article/S193...

I'm seeing a lot of confusion already out there about #mpox and the differences between clades and lineages. I will get into this in more detail later, but for now: We really don't know for sure whether there is any material difference between clade Ia, Ib, IIa and IIb.