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olafstorbeck.ft.com
Financial Times Frankfurt Bureau Chief. All Things ECB and European Macro. Previously: Reuters Breakingviews & Handelsblatt. Long distance cyclist. Car free since 2009. Views mine, not the FT's. (The FT's ones here: https://www.ft.com/ft-view)
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Posts 17 Comments 33

Realising that the average numbers probably make little sense, I asked Chat GPT based on poll data of 4 pollsters Allensbach, Insa, FG Wahlen and Emnid , and taking the error maring into account, 10 randomised estimates of the outcome. Based on the most current poll results, this is the outcome.

submitted 21 hours ago • 4 comments

I asked ChatGPT to give me its best estimate on the election outcome, based on the latest polls on Wahlrecht.de, a 1-3% error margin, and taking into account the results of 2021 and 2017 assuming they reflect some underlying voters' loyalties. Based on this, the FDP would surprise on the upside.

submitted 1 day ago • 2 comments

Mathias Döpfner has his very own view on current geopolitics, says it’s “almost funny” to be under friendly fire in the US and loves the FT. Great interview by Laura Pitel. on.ft.com/41l2Aqj

submitted 3 days ago • 2 comments

That escalated quickly.

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

Apart from the statistics, our deep dive into the sorry state of Germany's railways infrastructure comes with some mind-boggling details. Who would have thought that infrastructure built under Kaiser Wilhelm II that survived WW2 might have to be replaced at some point?

submitted 3 days ago • 3 comments

In my interview with @financialtimes.com published today I explained my current thinking about the @ecb.europa.eu ’s monetary policy and gave some personal reflections on the upcoming update of our monetary policy strategy. Let me briefly summarise the main points in a 🧵. 1/16

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

“In Washington, there's a new sheriff in town,” US Vice President JD Vance said last week in Munich. Sadly the new sheriff is evidently out of his mind. www.ft.com/content/dc98...

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

Olaf Scholz mocked British railways over “broken tracks and bad trains”, claiming that "nothing works any more” in the UK. Turns out: Germany rail problems have become so bad that Deutsche Bahn long-distance service is less punctual than even the worst operator in Britain. www.ft.com/content/d3b6...

submitted 4 days ago • 51 comments

Antrag wurde offenbar zurückgezogen, aber Frankfurter CDU wollte allen ernstes das Fahrradfahren am Mainufer verbieten. Man abgesehen von dem ganzen Gejammer über andere "Verbotsparteien" - eine Partei, die erst genommen werden will, denkt sich nicht so einen Schwachsinn aus.

submitted 4 days ago • 1 comment

Neue Variante für die ersten Kilometer ab Paulskirche für unser Ukraine-Fundraiser Brevet "Two Peaks Frankfurt" am 19. April getestet. Noch sind Plätze frei - und Spenden zum Kauf eines gebrauchten Rettungswagens für die Ukraine willkommen! chainreaction300frankfurt.wordpress.com

submitted 6 days ago • 1 comment

If the US admissions is serious (and I fear is its), Europe’s answer sadly needs to be dramatic rearmament using European arm makers, and then canceling the treaties over military bases in Europe. on.ft.com/4kdpEij

submitted 8 days ago • 4 comments

Diese Nachricht habe ich heute an die afghanisch-stämmige Altenpflegerin geschickt, die sich total super um meine 88-jährige Tante kümmert und viel mehr macht als sie abrechnen kann. Reaktion war recht emotional und veröffentliche ich daher nicht.

submitted 8 days ago • 0 comments

Marvelous trolling by China……

submitted 8 days ago • 0 comments

Yalta is not the only unsettling historic parallel to Trump’s dealings with Russia over Ukraine. The other one is the Treaty of Versailles. German delegation was not allowed to take part in negotiations but only called in to sign at the end. This time, Ukraine & Europe may be in that position.

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

According to my esteemed colleagues Max Seddon and @christopherjm.ft.com, we might be heading to a modern day version of Yalta. What a time to be alive. www.ft.com/content/2bf2...

submitted 9 days ago • 2 comments

How To Spell It: UniCredit wooing German “Mittlestand”. Nice colour in Florian Müller’s latest Mittelstand focused piece on UniCredit/Commerzbank saga on.ft.com/3CC8Mkh

submitted 11 days ago • 1 comment

Was schief läuft in Deutschland.... Da verfasst Journalistin 30 Ratschläge für gelungenes Leben für pubertierende Tochter, und es gibt nicht EINEN EINZIGEN Rat zur Geldanlage ("Investiere früh und mit langfristiger Perspektive in den Aktienmarkt") www.spiegel.de/familie/30-t...

submitted 12 days ago • 2 comments