piie.com - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

After the Oval Office fireworks between Trump and Zelensky, it's not clear what the path forward will be for the US-#Ukraine deal. But to the extent it revolves around critical minerals, it's open question what kind of bounty is there. My latest for @barrons.com. www.barrons.com/articles/ukr...

submitted 19 hours ago • 0 comments

I think the Trump Admin will have the Congress pass across-the-board tariffs. Then Trump will negotiate bilaterally on top by sector or country. It is a big risk to consumers (as well as just bad policy). Video on @cnbc.com with KellyEvans @steveliesman.bsky.social youtu.be/alF8y3xI4zE?...

submitted 21 hours ago • 1 comment

Trump's Executive Order on investment is aimed at making it easier for US allies to invest in US but harder for China & US to invest in each other, via inbound investment security, outbound investment restrictions, & revisiting terms of Chinese firms in the US.

submitted 22 hours ago • 0 comments

25% tariffs on Mexico & Canada, + the 10% tariffs that are already in effect on China, could cost the typical American household more than $1,200 per year. #PIIECharts Learn more: www.piie.com/research/pii...

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

More than 40% of US imports of wood products come from Canada, & over 70% of gypsum & lime are sourced from Mexico. #PIIECharts Learn more about what imports from Canada & Mexico would be hit the hardest by Trump's threatened tariffs: www.piie.com/research/pii...

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

We love our data viz team 🥹🫶

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

icymi (we published it late yesterday) Trump's Trade War Timeline 2.0: An Up-to-Date Guide 👇

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

i forgot to show the picture of our brand new Trump trade war timeline 2.0 (it's VERY pretty)

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

We're glad @chadbown.bsky.social is back at @piie.com. Once you read this, you will be too if you weren't already! Trump's Trade War Timeline 2.0: An Up-to-Date Guide

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

NEW: @gagnonmacro.bsky.social finds that in a framework that allows for multiple factors influencing trade balances, fiscal policy & exchange rate policy are the most important drivers of trade imbalances. #PIIECharts

submitted 3 days ago • 2 comments

NEW!!! You asked, we listened: Trump's Trade War Timeline 2.0: An Up-to-Date Guide Bookmark it! www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

submitted 3 days ago • 10 comments

🚨BACK BY POPULAR DEMAND🚨 (& also because everything happens so much) Trump's trade war timeline 2.0: an up-to-date guide—bookmark this page to follow US trade actions during President Trump's second term. Filter by country & topic: www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

submitted 3 days ago • 0 comments

roll the tape

submitted 4 days ago • 1 comment

NEW EPISODE Shipments of small packages from China have skyrocketed, but the ‘de minimis’ policy that excludes them from tariffs may soon end. This week’s show explores the history of this quirky US tariff policy plus the economics of Trump shutting it down. tradetalkspodcast.com/podcast/203-...

submitted 5 days ago • 1 comment

NEW: @gagnonmacro.bsky.social finds that tariffs are associated with increasing trade deficits, & that higher tariffs ultimately reduce US exports. Learn more: www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

submitted 4 days ago • 1 comment

putting together our annual report like

submitted 7 days ago • 2 comments

Our guide to the #USMCA has been updated with details on the farm, digital, & investment provisions likely to be renegotiated. Check it out: www.piie.com/microsites/2...

submitted 7 days ago • 0 comments

Want to hear more about the risks that Trump 2.0 pose to the global financial system? You're in luck 👇 • Tune in next Wednesday for this @piie.com conversation with Charles Goodhart and @veron.bsky.social • More info and registration here (there will also be a replay): https://buff.ly/41560fA

submitted 8 days ago • 1 comment

We are once again reminding you that it is literally impossible for tariff revenue to fully replace income taxes. Read: www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

submitted 8 days ago • 0 comments

This is today! Register to watch live & ask questions at 10:30 AM here: www.piie.com/events/2025/... Or subscribe to the podcast to listen whenever!

submitted 8 days ago • 0 comments

TOMORROW, Feb. 20: Join us for PIIE Insider LIVE, where Anjali V. Bhatt chats with Yeo Han-koo about challenges facing South Korea's economy among political turmoil, Trump 2.0, & more. Register to ask questions live or subscribe wherever you get podcasts: www.piie.com/events/2025/...

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

🎧 Listen at the links below or wherever you get your podcasts! #EconSky

submitted 10 days ago • 0 comments

🌏 @mdebolle.com speaks to @danielyergin.bsky.social on LNG exports & how LNG could play a useful role in the green transition: policyfortheplanet.com/can-liquefie... 🗨️ @anaswanson.bsky.social joins @chadbown.bsky.social to explain steel/aluminum tariffs 2.0: tradetalkspodcast.com/podcast/202-...

submitted 10 days ago • 0 comments

The US has become the world’s biggest exporter of LNG, but will this surge hurt climate change? Renowned energy expert and Pulitzer Prize-winning author Daniel Yergin (S&P Global) joins Policy for the Planet: @piie.com policyfortheplanet.com/can-liquefie...

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

The dangers of a trade policy in which a president chooses targets & punishments at will are becoming increasingly clear. Economic coercion often works in the short run, but it slowly erodes one’s network of influence. Read Mary Lovely in @nytimes.com:

submitted 14 days ago • 0 comments

The latest Must Read from PIIE's Olivier Blanchard and Jean Pisani-Ferry: Europe's challenge and opportunity: Building coalitions of the willing www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

submitted 15 days ago • 0 comments

My @piie.com colleague Mary Lovely in the @nytimes.com today on the pitfalls of arbitrary trade policy. Strong-arm leverage tactics make work short-term but have bad long-term consequences. What's the saying: a moment of pleasure, a lifetime of regret? www.nytimes.com/2025/02/14/o...

submitted 14 days ago • 1 comment

"The US shouldn’t have stupid tariff policies just because other countries have stupid tariff policies." Reciprocal tariffs amount to outsourcing US tariff policy to other countries, @douglasirwin.bsky.social writes in @wsj.com. So much for deciding what’s in our own national interest.

submitted 14 days ago • 2 comments

As Congress revs up for tax policy debates, @kclausing.bsky.social lays out 8 principles that both parties should be able to agree on. #EconSky Read more here: www.piie.com/publications...

submitted 15 days ago • 2 comments

🧵 (1/9) In a new brief, I suggest 8 common sense principles for the coming 2025 tax debate. These seek to inform the search for common ground in the time ahead, even if the present moment is far from bipartisan. Posts follow for each principle.

submitted 15 days ago • 2 comments

NEW: Olivier Blanchard & @pisaniferry.bsky.social explore with climate action, trade, & taxing MNCs how the EU, or at least members ready, can & should work with non-EU countries to form 'coalitions of the willing' to uphold the rules-based international order. Read: www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

submitted 15 days ago • 0 comments

A US sovereign wealth fund? A confused solution to an undefined problem, writes PIIE's Adnan Mazeri www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

submitted 16 days ago • 0 comments

Without robust governance, a US sovereign wealth fund is more likely to divert funds from one area to another & crowd out, not mobilize, new private investments. It risks large-scale distortions & capture by special interests & could well increase US public debt. Read: www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

submitted 16 days ago • 0 comments

Newsflash for Trade Nerds! Chad Bown is back at PIIE, and so is his hit podcast "TRADE talks" wherever you get your podcasts. Here is the newest episode: tradetalkspodcast.com/podcast/201-...

submitted 17 days ago • 0 comments

I talk tariffs, trade deficits, and a lot more with @scclemons.bsky.social. t.co/5aT8g0WGSV

submitted 17 days ago • 0 comments

“USAID built a vast array of programs to help families foresee and adjust to climate shocks without migrating,” I told the @nytimes.com. Ending those programs “leaves migration as the only viable way for many families in the Western Hemisphere region to cope.”

submitted 17 days ago • 1 comment

LET'S GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

submitted 17 days ago • 0 comments

The US-Africa trade relationship is at a crossroads, and scrapping #AGOA isn't the answer. My thoughts for @piie.com on what’s really at stake: 🔗 piie.com/blogs/realti... #TradePolicy #Africa #AGOA #Econsky

submitted 17 days ago • 0 comments

TOMORROW, February 12: Michael Froman & Bernd Lange join @ceciliamalmstrom.bsky.social on #PIIETradeWinds to discuss the bumpy road transatlantic relations face, what steps on trade policy the EU could take next, & more. Info & register: www.piie.com/events/2025/...

submitted 17 days ago • 0 comments

Q: Does a trade deficit serve as a good measure of a country's economic strength or weakness when it comes to trade? Mary Lovely: It's a very simple answer. No. Listen to the @npr.org interview here: www.npr.org/2025/02/09/n...

submitted 17 days ago • 1 comment

Ireland collects much of the corporate tax revenue a more coherent US tax code would channel back across the Atlantic. Ireland could also be in the firing line as a major & growing contributor to the US trade deficit—now 4th in the world. By @phonohan.bsky.social: www.irishtimes.com/opinion/2025...

submitted 18 days ago • 2 comments

Letting a trade act expire won’t fix the US-Africa trade deficit, writes Cullen Hendrix for PIIE www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

The best way for the United States to promote US exports in Africa is to help Africans be more able to afford them. Ending the African Growth & Opportunity Act #AGOA would not help in that endeavor, writes @cullenhendrix.bsky.social. Read: www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

submitted 18 days ago • 1 comment

The US has trade deficits with #AGOA countries, 85% of which is with major commodity exporters. Ending AGOA won't fix that, and it will make it harder for US exports in Africa to grow. My latest for @piie.com #Econsky www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

🗣TRADE TALKS IS BACK🗣 Chad Bown is back 'cause tariffs from the new president call for an emergency relaunch of the longstanding trade podcast. #EconSky, smash that play button and/or subscribe wherever you get podcasts: tradetalkspodcast.com/podcast/201-...

submitted 18 days ago • 0 comments

My latest for @piie.com: Would hitting the 5 percent target make the US a more faithful ally? This is the fundamental question facing #NATO and, by extension, all other US allies.

submitted 23 days ago • 2 comments

Trump’s 5% target might make for good politics & line the pockets of arms manufacturers in the US & abroad, but smart NATO defense means investing in resilience, not just ramping up spending to satisfy US demands, writes @cullenhendrix.bsky.social. Read: www.piie.com/blogs/realti...

submitted 23 days ago • 0 comments