pkrugman.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

Folks, CBO estimate of the distributional effect of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act is out: www.cbo.gov/system/files... It's grotesque

submitted 1 day ago • 32 comments

There are times for wonky policy analysis and fun musical codas. But this isn't one of them paulkrugman.substack.com/p/this-is-no...

submitted 1 day ago • 22 comments

"Everything points to an effort to effectively destroy U.S. science — not gradually as part of a long-term plan, but over the next year or two." paulkrugman.substack.com/p/nobody-exp...

submitted 4 days ago • 14 comments

New article in Rolling Stone www.rollingstone.com/p/trump-dest...

submitted 5 days ago • 35 comments

So, was Florentine culture all about projecting soft power? A conversation with Ada Palmer paulkrugman.substack.com/p/inventing-...

submitted 6 days ago • 21 comments

Just FYI: Martin Wolf and I will be doing a series of podcasts for the FT. Landing page here, but also on various platforms www.ft.com/wolf-krugman...

submitted 7 days ago • 17 comments

Homicide rates: NY 4.5, FL 7.2 Life expectancy: NY 79, FL 76.1 Uninsured rate: NY 4.8, FL 10.7

submitted 15 days ago • 328 comments

Upcoming at 92nd st Y www.92ny.org/event/disast...

submitted 15 days ago • 11 comments

I strongly second Krugman's "letter to Europe." The EU should tell Trump to take his tariff and shove it. Hitting U.S. consumers with a huge tax increase is not smart policy, but as a reality TV show star, what does Trump know about economics? paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-letter-t...

submitted 17 days ago • 19 comments

The Soldiers' and Sailors' monument, New York. The pillar at the right reads FARRAGUT at the top, the pillar on the left SHERMAN. Both are engraved with names of the many, many battles it took to end slavery

submitted 18 days ago • 16 comments

Along with everything else, Trump has threatened to put 50 percent tariffs on the EU, which would basically shut down trans-Atlantic trade. Many people have noted that (a) the EU has very low tariffs on US goods (b) much of the EU surplus in goods is offset by a deficit in services. But ...

submitted 19 days ago • 33 comments

This is a very enjoyable, super-informative use of your time. Great discussion between Paul Krugman and Barry Ritholtz. open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...

submitted 20 days ago • 5 comments

I wrote about the risks of a "sudden stop" if investors lose faith in America. The bond market is amplifying those risks minute by minute as yields shoot higher after the budget monstrosity paulkrugman.substack.com/p/gaming-out...

submitted 22 days ago • 72 comments

30 year Treasury above 5%. Also, I successfully used AI to do a Trump/Truss crossover, putting a Trump wig on a lettuce paulkrugman.substack.com/p/a-liz-trus...

submitted 23 days ago • 45 comments

I probably should do more to let people here know about free posts on Substack. So here's today's: paulkrugman.substack.com/p/attack-of-...

submitted 25 days ago • 30 comments

So I took my life in my hands and went for a run in the urban hellscape. It was terrible! Hundreds of children playing on a bouncy castle and riding ponies!

submitted 26 days ago • 39 comments

"So even after Trump’s “climbdown” we’re still looking at a shock to the economy 7 or 8 times as big as Smoot-Hawley, the previous poster child for destructive tariff policy." paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-trade-...

submitted 28 days ago • 22 comments

So let me get this straight: masks are bad and un-American if worn to fight a pandemic, but good if worn by people claiming to be government agents when they kidnap people off the street

submitted 34 days ago • 1025 comments

Another message from this "deal": kids don't need more than 3 dolls, but you can never have too many Rolls-Royces, which will now enter tariff-free.

submitted 36 days ago • 145 comments

So “Trump” just made a “deal” with “Britain.” Trying to emulate his style, with random quotation marks. I GUESS I SHOULD ALSO INCLUDE A SENTENCE IN BLOCK CAPS. Anyway, the deal was almost substance-free. The goal of policy seems to be to goose the market for a few days, with no long-term plan.

submitted 36 days ago • 92 comments

As we gear up for reconciliation, catch my interview with the legendary @pkrugman.bsky.social if you haven’t seen it yet paulkrugman.substack.com/p/an-intervi...

submitted 37 days ago • 8 comments

So, just landed at Newark on time. Weird

submitted 38 days ago • 60 comments

key point from @pkrugman.bsky.social: it's literally impossible for foreign governments to negotiate with Trump because he and his people can't/won't even articulate a consistent set of demands paulkrugman.substack.com/p/trump-is-t...

submitted 45 days ago • 57 comments

In my Substack post this morning: "Does anyone doubt that when inflation rises, [Trump will] dismiss it as “fake news”?" I only got to be prescient for a few hours ...

submitted 56 days ago • 102 comments

Our new fellow @pkrugman.bsky.social sat down with @elizabethwwilkins.bsky.social to talk about today's economic landscape: "It’s funny that our great grandfathers were much more open than we are in saying that one of the purposes of progressive taxation is to actually limit extreme wealth."

submitted 56 days ago • 7 comments

I had actually missed Paul's piece! (yesterday was crazy) but we are drawing on the same broad literature and well of ideas to make highly complementary arguments.

submitted 56 days ago • 3 comments

🎉🎉🎉🎉 @rooseveltinstitute.org & @pkrugman.bsky.social: a great fit! Excited to see what you produce together 🎉🎉🎉🎉

submitted 59 days ago • 1 comment

paulkrugman.substack.com/p/happy-tax-...

submitted 59 days ago • 5 comments

Just remembering that my first Substack post after leaving the Times was about the fraudulence of DOGE. paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-fraudu...

submitted 61 days ago • 26 comments

Deleted attempt to post spinning head from The Exorcist , which didn’t spin …

submitted 61 days ago • 38 comments

Putting up a few thoughts on the latest tariff swerve paulkrugman.substack.com/p/the-trump-...

submitted 61 days ago • 59 comments

Paul Krugman and I talk Trump, tariffs, polls, data journalism, and a bunch of other stuff: www.gelliottmorris.com/p/an-intervi...

submitted 62 days ago • 3 comments

Michigan numbers are brutal. But one amazing thing: Republicans still think Trump will magically end inflation. From Goldman Sachs:

submitted 63 days ago • 74 comments

Relieved to see that the Budget Lab numbers are close to my back-of-the-envelope estimate. We're still looking at a shock an order of magnitude bigger than Smoot-Hawley

submitted 64 days ago • 31 comments

A quick note on Trump's new tariff plan. It's 10 percent across the board, 125 percent (!) on China. What's the effective tariff rate? Well, China was 13 percent of imports in 2024, so you might say .13125+.8710 = 24.95. But imports from China will fall, so how do we adjust it? 1/

submitted 64 days ago • 22 comments

I interviewed Zach Carter last week stonecenter.gc.cuny.edu/the-price-of...

submitted 70 days ago • 12 comments

Good Krugman piece on what happens when you let a reality TV show star run the economy paulkrugman.substack.com/p/autocracy-...

submitted 74 days ago • 29 comments

Discover how Keynes’ ideas shape our world—from government spending to inequality. Join Paul Krugman & Zachary D. Carter for The Price of Peace on March 25 at 6:30 PM. Don’t miss it! @pkrugman RSVP: www.gc.cuny.edu/events/price...

submitted 87 days ago • 5 comments

In the last month I've had at least three ideas for my Substack in which @pkrugman.bsky.social has beaten me to the punch. This is just the latest example. paulkrugman.substack.com/p/teslafying...

submitted 88 days ago • 22 comments

I talked trade with Chad Bown tradetalkspodcast.com/podcast/206-...

submitted 88 days ago • 16 comments

The stock market is not the economy. The stock market is not the economy. The stock market is not the economy. Nonetheless, holy shit. What’s remarkable is that there’s hardly any real news driving this. It’s just investors belatedly realizing that Trump is who he is, and always was.

submitted 95 days ago • 497 comments