profazio.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

Clashes in the south of #Libya may have been dismissed as minor incidents in the long lasting civil war. Conversely, they are symptoms of shifting domestic balances that could reverberate on the great game being played in the #Sahel. Welcome back to #Horizons. www.linkedin.com/pulse/shifti...

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

#Algeria's Su-57 purchase from #Russia is a result of the arms race in the #Maghreb. It also shows where Algiers' preferences lie in arms procurement, despite some diversification attempts. Francesco Salesio Schiavi @al-monitor.bsky.social with Douglas Barrie + me. www.al-monitor.com/originals/20...

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

Very little is known of #Mauritania, a country in West #Africa that does not make headlines often. Until recently, when production of #LNG has started at GTA, an offshore gas field straddling the maritime border with #Senegal. Welcome back to #Horizons. www.linkedin.com/pulse/third-...

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

Con @mario-savina.bsky.social abbiamo commentato per @thenewarab.bsky.social i timori dell'industria petrolifera italiana per le potenziali ripercussioni del caso di Osama Najeem #Almasri, arrestato lo scorso mese in #Italia e successivamente rilasciato in #Libia. www.alaraby.co.uk/economy/%D9%...

submitted 14 days ago • 1 comment

La storia della #Meloni come ponte tra #Trump e #Europa è un po’ come la storia del ponte sullo Stretto di #Messina: non regge il confronto con la realtà ma tutti si divertono ad immaginarlo.

submitted 14 days ago • 0 comments

Today #Horizons takes you for a trip to #Socotra, an archipelago off the coasts of #Yemen that has been already a magnet for the interests of major and rising powers./1

submitted 21 days ago • 1 comment

A byproduct of the arms race with #Algeria, #US arms sales to #Morocco are expected to boost bilateral relations, while Rabat keeps looking elsewhere for more unconventional supplies. My latest #Maghreb Strategic Trend for #NATO Defence College Foundation 🇲🇦👇 www.natofoundation.org/maghreb/the-...

submitted 21 days ago • 0 comments

I just left #Syria after an extraordinary trip — one that until recently I never thought I’d make again. From #Aleppo, to #Idlib, #Latakia, #Tartus, #Salamiya, #Suwayda & #Damascus. So many takeaways, but most of all: it's free & everyone is overjoyed. A 🧵:

submitted 26 days ago • 2 comments

Stuoli di ricercatori, analisti, esperti. Pubblicazioni, interviste, articoli e report. Podcast, conferenze, eventi. Newsletter quotidiane e non una parola sul caso #Almasri tra #Italia e #Libia. Wow. Che clima.

submitted 26 days ago • 0 comments

After a busy week, #Horizons is back with a take on #Libya and its convoluted relations with #Italy. The arrest and subsequent release of Osama Najeem (a prominent #militia figure) has laid bare the collusion of Italy with powerful armed groups in Libya. /1 www.linkedin.com/build-relati...

submitted 28 days ago • 1 comment

Eased by the weakening of #Hezbollah in #Lebanon, the surprising fall of #Assad in #Syria last December completes the image of an axis of resistance broken under immense pressure from #Israel. My latest Strategic Trend for the #NATO Defence College Foundation. www.natofoundation.org/gulf/certain...

submitted 31 days ago • 0 comments

Il caso #Almasri è l'ulteriore conferma della collusione che lega le 2 sponde del #Mediterraneo, un legame perverso tra #Italia e #Libia sulla quale si staglia l'ombra delle milizie. Miei commenti su traiettorie geopolitiche della #Libia per #Radio24 🇱🇾📻 www.radio24.ilsole24ore.com/programmi/lu...

submitted 41 days ago • 0 comments

Oggi alle 16.45 sulle frequenze di Radio24 ospite di Nessun Luogo è Lontano. Per discutere di: - #Libia - Il cappello di #Melania - Le ultime di #calciomercato A voi la scelta.

submitted 42 days ago • 0 comments

I start a new project today, launching a newsletter on #LinkedIn that is supposed to bring fresh perspectives on world affairs, with a closer look to #MiddleEast and #NorthAfrica. /1

submitted 43 days ago • 1 comment

Fearing the worst after the sudden fall of President Bashar al-Assad, #Russia is already moving military equipment out of #Syria, along the established route of the #Libyan Express. My latest #Maghreb Strategic Trend for the #NATO Defence College Foundation 🇸🇾✈️🇱🇾 www.natofoundation.org/maghreb/the-...

submitted 44 days ago • 0 comments

The literary criticism practiced by #Algeria stems from #France's decision to recognise #Morocco’s sovereignty over #WesternSahara. It also comes at a peculiar time in domestic politics. My #Maghreb Strategic Trend for the #NATO Defence College Foundation 🇩🇿👇 www.natofoundation.org/maghreb/tigh...

submitted 45 days ago • 0 comments

Already under pressure on the legal front, NOC chairman Ferhat Bengdara resigns citing urgent health reasons. A consequential decision that is likely to trigger shockwaves in #Libya, both in the oil sector and its fragmented political landscape. lana.gov.ly/post.php?lan...

submitted 48 days ago • 0 comments

Despite the remarkable achievements of its economy after the launch of #Vision2030, #SaudiArabia's ambitions have been scaled back in recent months, leading to unexpected twists on megaprojects. My #Gulf Strategic Trend for #NATO Defence College Foundation 🇸🇦👇 www.natofoundation.org/gulf/trouble...

submitted 48 days ago • 0 comments

'Strip away Russia’s military support, and Haftar’s inflated power on the ground collapses—a mirage reminiscent of the misplaced certainty in Assad’s inevitability'. www.atlanticcouncil.org/blogs/menaso...

submitted 49 days ago • 0 comments

“Leaders like [Viktor]Orbán, [Giorgia]Meloni, or Trump applaud such efficient cruelty. It’s no accident; it’s the design. The EU pays to erase migrants, to make suffering invisible, and to wash its hands while others do its dirty work.” www.theguardian.com/global-devel...

submitted 49 days ago • 0 comments

In edicola da ormai un paio di settimane il primo numero di #Nigrizia del nuovo anno, nel quale ci cimentiamo ad analizzare le prospettive per il 2025. Io ho fatto alcune previsioni per il Nord #Africa, prendendo come spunto una spada di Damocle di nome #Trump.

submitted 52 days ago • 0 comments

Mentre in Italia si fa la fila per farsi vedere a braccetto con Elon Musk, in Inghilterra il padre di Molly Russell (morta suicida a 14 anni) chiede una stretta per proteggere i minori online dopo l'annunciata deregulation di Mark Zuckerberg. E voi da che parte state? www.bbc.com/news/article...

submitted 53 days ago • 0 comments

Dio mio, che narrazione banale e patetica dei mass media italiani sugli incendi a LA. Una copertura mediatica parossistica che solleva numerosi quesiti sull’immedesimazione nelle conclamate star di Hollywood e che ben contrasta con la narrazione facile e sbrigativa della vera tragedia di Gaza.

submitted 54 days ago • 0 comments

Ultima intervista del 2024 con Emanuele Rossi di Formiche ed @andreaghiselli.bsky.social sulle indagini relative all’invio di droni dalla #Cina alla #Libia in cambio di greggio. Dietro l’appoggio di facciata a #Tripoli si cela una scelta di campo netta di #Pechino. formiche.net/2024/12/cina...

submitted 64 days ago • 0 comments

Finally out the Armed Conflict Survey 2024 published by #Routledge for the #IISS. Also this year I authored the chapter on #Libya including a timely map of #Russia ‘s arms transfers and military presence. Check out my contribution on #Egypt and the insurgency in #Sinai too!

submitted 65 days ago • 0 comments

A proposito di post-truth. George Orwell citato da Emmanuel Carrère, Ucronia, p.43.

submitted 68 days ago • 0 comments

Here's a personal thread about the very strong, complex emotions that I struggled with all of last week, since we watched Assad fall and Syria rise:

submitted 79 days ago • 1 comment

Together with Aylin Unver Noi and Silver Sahin, I gave @trtworld.com a brief comment on what future awaits #NATO after Donald #Trump enters the #WhiteHouse and challenges mount from both within and outside the organisation. Many thanks to Burak Elmali. researchcentre.trtworld.com/ask-the-expe...

submitted 79 days ago • 0 comments

From #Tartus to #Tobruk? All eyes are now on #Libya after the sudden fall of Bashar al-Assad in #Syria have put at risk the main military assets of #Russia in the Eastern Mediterranean: the naval base of Tartus and the airbase of #Hmeimim, near #Latakia. /1 www.thenationalnews.com/news/mena/20...

submitted 82 days ago • 1 comment

Today is the first Friday since the overthrow of Bashar al-Assad. From the start in 2011, Friday prayer set the rythm of the uprising, with each new Friday treated as an occasion to protest and as a platform for new slogans and demands. Photo from @reuters.com, at the Ummayad Mosque earlier today.

submitted 83 days ago • 0 comments

Driven by personal animosity and economic interests, the rivalry between #France and #Italy over North Africa keeps going on under the radar, widening the gap between #Algeria and #Morocco in the #Maghreb. My comments for #AnadoluAgency special thanks to Ahmet Gençtürk. www.aa.com.tr/en/europe/it...

submitted 83 days ago • 0 comments

Despite Israeli assurances, public and private, about the temporary nature of their move into Syria, their presence there is a concern. Biden administration should make clear publicly that this must be a short-term response and withdrawal cannot be contingent on unrealistic demands.

submitted 86 days ago • 1 comment