rdyy.bsky.social
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You're wrong. It's entirely for the US to decide what it values its contribution at. And once again, there is NO PROVISION FOR ARBITRATION.
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What courts? That's the whole point. There is no independent arbitration, and no guidance on valuation. Some of the aid given so far has been valued at 3-4x actual value.
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They won't strike Moscow, SpB or other large cities / parades. They'll strike all the places that have had air defense withdrawn to protect the parades ... it's obvious.
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Didn't they shoot down 3 helicopters and 1 jet using this system 3 months ago? Or did the jet manage to land?
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No independent arbitration - which is likely to prove disastrous for Ukraine. also no proviso for a valuation formula or guidelines for US military aid contributing to the RIF. So the US can say the few scrapped F16 airframes they gave which are probably worth less than $5m combined are worth $500m
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Best part? If they don't agree with each other, the deal as is continues in perpetuity ... it's absolutely awful for Ukraine.
They either agree to extend and revise terms, end, or they don't agree and the existing deal sticks forever ...
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Sounds nuts. Especially given that there is no independent arbitration provided for.
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A billionaire real estate developer and mega-zionist with zero foreign policy or security experience is NSA. Hmmmmm.
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They're basically stripped of anything of value already. Probably won't stop US valuing them at $20m a piece though.
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Have there been any reliable reports about performance and durability of the NK SPGs with comically long barrels that are replacing these (at lower than rate of attrition)?
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They're mad to do this generally, but given US' severe over-valuation & over-counting of aid, it's more crazy. EU would offer non-punitive deal via European Development Bank. From US side, short term, purely designed to delegitimize & make untenable position of Ukrainian govt, forcing regime change
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Russian forces are preparing for a 'Big Push' - plus functional equipment needs to be withdrawn for parades. Unlike last year, they can't have T-34s & Bukhankas - they'd lose face to visiting North Korean officials. As many are predicting, there's obviously going to be a new front opened.
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This is essentially confirmation that Zelensky can't sign anything with the US, and Ukrainian Parliament can't ok it. There'd be anarchy, and most probably a coup. Which of course is just the kind of situation the US and Putin want ...
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Certainly they will have pulled extra AD to Moscow and other major cities. Seems like a great time to strike elsewhere ...
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They need to send the HX2 drones ... supposedly they've been ready for months.
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It said he could then invite his buddy Putin. My comment related to that. Putin would never come. Not a chance.
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He'd never go himself. Maybe send a double. Assassination / capture risk is way too high. This is hopefully mainly virtue signalling, but could foreshadow Orban's much nastier domestic plans ...
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What they say / imply: Ukraine is fabulously corrupt and we need regime change for a fair deal and peace.
What they mean: Ukraine isn't corrupt enough and we need regime change to carve the country up with Russia, with a mutually agreeable puppet government in Kyiv.
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For those that don't know, Trump hates Zelensky because Zel refused a corrupt under table deal offered personally by Trump during 1st term, which leaked & led to impeachment proceedings. Hence why he & other MAGAs want to get rid of Zel - besides wanting to carve the country up with Putin
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They probably believe this. Reality is people in Odesa voluntarily speak Ukrainian now. This was unthinkable until 2022 phase of invasion. They equate prior Russophonic territory as Russian & people there wanting to belong to Russia. Virtually nobody wants it & they don't even use the language now
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From what I could gather the US tranche were practically useless, as the US provided virtually no HE shells, only AP. And since they're so huge, heavy and unreliable they couldn't be used in a safer (than normal tank duties) mobile artillery / building demolition role due to the lack of HE.
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If they wanted to help Ukraine they'd have delivered the ones Ukraine ordered immediately via backfill. The US has a massive surplus of them. But it's been nearly 2 years now and crickets. Almost all the launchers and radars, and most of the missiles are from Europe.
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they'd have to be completely insane to sign anything.
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grass fire is usually light colored and doesn't burn that hot. besides the color, the amount of smoke and how quickly it's rising suggests it's burning way hotter than just grass. probably a crash site for something. likely a jet or missile crashed and fuel is burning.
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100% right, assuming Ukrainian side don't cave to what would be pause for Putin to rearm then finish the job. Worst outcome is temporary ceasefire / reduction in sanctions on Russia. Oil & gas prices are falling & some Russian armor will be all but exhausted by Fall. Strategic shift will come soon.
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He forgot to mention the part where exemptions will be granted to all the right wing authoritarian regimes friendly to the MAGA project - HU, SK, IND, TR etc.
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I struggle to believe something that enormous is real. Or functional anyway. Looks like there was only one bullet point on the design brief - get Putin's dick hard.
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No. It's just an attempt to appear impartial and virtue signal to people turned off by his pro-Russian stance. He's threatened tighter sanctions for months.
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snake in the grass? i mean not really. he's an out and proud supporter of the war criminals in both the Kremlin and Tel Aviv.
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This doesn't really matter to Putin, though it would be a bonus. What he needs is a pause and re-arming phase, with sanctions lifted ... even if Trump turns on the 'bonus', he seems determined to give him the latter still.
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They appear to have almost completely given up on attempting to target strategic or high value military targets. Which is great news for Ukraine's prospects of winning the war in the medium to longer term, although obviously the effects are rather unpleasant now ...
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It's in the Saudis' interest to pump. If Russia collapses their production will likely collapse in the chaos too, and probably stay that way for a long time.
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If they're using waterjet based USVs, it should be possible to give them a reliable 'bump and jump' capability, to bypass buoys. Would obviously take some time to develop though, and probably require larger propulsion systems.
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Probably everything is wrecked. There were some massive detonations, likely all structures are severely damaged (no major earthworks separating them), and I wouldn't want to be the sappers trying to move what their superiors probably claim are 'intact' or 'salvagable' ordinance
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I fail to see purpose of this trip. Getting Ramaphosa & co on board is not possible. Lobby France (& Italy) to do a deal on SAMP-T and localized production, Sweden to ignore US threats re: Gripen / 340s & speed up CV90s, Germany to get Lynx sooner / more IRIS (& localize) etc etc. achievable goals
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They must have some shitty ancient APCs and Bukhanka equivalents they can sell.
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I think they're buying proximity fuse / guidance parts from Temu ...
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Presumably that drone is there to draw AA fire ... it's high altitude (relatively) and circling.
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Maybe someone should do an article on what they're going to try to buy from North Korea to replace these (and maybe tanks too)? They're going to have very little that can really be considered functional, by autumn, to pour in the Ukraine direction, if they're going to protect their other borders.
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That looks very densely spaced. Hopefully all / most of it goes up.
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Saabs are still being actively blocked by the US - again the rumors of their use waiting for F16 upgrades are untrue. They don't need the Link16 to be of enormous use.
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Rate of Buk / Tor attrition seems to have been extremely high recently.
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It's not lack of understanding it's virtue signalling. Also aside from practicality, safety, fuel economy etc, most of them are garbage quality and have terrible reliability - including Teslas.
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HX-2 when ....