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sizov-andre.bsky.social
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Big funds’ #corn longs liquidation yesterday—private estimates put it at ~10K contracts, but I’d guess more. Yet, OI is slightly up… Farmers hedging, or something else? #oatt #sizovreport

Lower #wheat & #corn supply is dragging #Ukraine’s grain exports down YoY. 📉 Low stocks 🚜 Tight supply 💰 Farmers holding grain That 2H 2024 export spike? Just catch-up from 2023’s “grain deal” collapse. #oatt #blacksea #sizovreport

#India is poised to enter the summer season with one of the warmest March months on record, and above-average temperatures throughout most of the month threaten to cut yields of the maturing #wheat crop, two weather bureau sources said. economictimes.indiatimes.com/news/india/i... #oatt #agwx

#Wheat: stairs up… elevator down. How far is the ground floor? 🤔 #oatt #sizovreport #grains

SovEcon Lowered Russian #Wheat Export Forecast for 2024/25 Free note: blog.sizov.report/sovecon-lowe... #oatt #agwx #blacksea #sizovreport

SovEcon Lowers Russian #Wheat Export Forecast for 2024/25 📉 Get the details in our free note: 🔗 blog.sizov.report/sovecon-lowe... #oatt #sizovreport #blacksea #grains

Stop discussing the “$500 bln mineral deposits”—zero practical sense. If they were really there and *made economic sense to mine*, why wasn’t anyone doing it in peacetime? 🤷‍♂️ #ukraine #russia #oatt #blacksea

Interesting temporary (?) divergence between #corn (black) and CBOT #wheat (green) today. Geopolitics could be the driver. 🤔 #oatt #sizovreport #wheat #corn #geopolitics

#Corn climbs back above 4.95—Argentina’s wetness could be the driver. Will 4.95 hold? Longs definitely want to know… 🤔🌽

Sell-off in #grains rolls on… 📉 CBOT #wheat is now trading below its 100DMA as funds likely return to selling our poor fellow (May contract this time). Where’s the bottom? 🤔 #oatt #sizovreport

#oatt #wheat #ukraine #sizovreport

Sell-off in #grains rolls on… 📉 CBOT #wheat is now trading below its 100DMA as funds likely return to selling our poor fellow (May contract this time). Where’s the bottom? 🤔 #oatt #sizovreport

Well… $5.15 was indeed a solid selling opportunity for May #corn. 📉 Interesting to see open interest still rising—farmers' selling? #oatt #sizovreport

Oil companies are dropping their targets to cut oil and gas output...Who'd have thought? --- RTRS: #BP will scrap a target to increase renewable generation, returning the focus to fossil fuels.. BP's shares have underperformed rivals and the firm has dropped its target to cut oil and gas output

SovEcon: #Wheat bids in Russian ports declining as traders trying to improve their margins Free note: blog.sizov.report/sovecon-russ... #oatt #russia #sizovreport #blacksea

Come on, FT—why not ask someone who actually understands farming? 🙈 Trying to swap nitrogen fertilizer for manure is a bad idea: Lower nitrogen content, harder to apply, logistic issues... (And if I were a Brussels ag bureaucrat, I’d avoid talking too much about manure—might not end well.)

#Corn chart isn’t looking too friendly for the bulls… 📉 Below the 20DMA & December uptrend line. And that ~5.15 level? A solid selling opportunity—just as hinted in the Feb 18 post. 😉 #oatt #sizovreport

Acreage survey average estimates ahead of USDA Ag Outlook Forum this week, per Bloomberg: Corn: 93.5 million (versus 90.6 mil. planted in 2024) Soybeans: 84.4 million (87.1 mil. last year) Wheat: 46.7 million (46.1 mil. last year) Cotton: 10.0 million (11.2 mil. last year)

Milder temps in the Northern Hemisphere & improved weather in South America are weighing on #wheat & #corn prices. 📉 #oatt #sizovreport #agwx

Come on, FT—why not ask someone who actually understands farming? 🙈 Trying to swap nitrogen fertilizer for manure is a bad idea: Lower nitrogen content, harder to apply, logistic issues... (And if I were a Brussels ag bureaucrat, I’d avoid talking too much about manure—might not end well.)

SovEcon: #Wheat bids in Russian ports declining as traders trying to improve their margins Free note: blog.sizov.report/sovecon-russ... #oatt #russia #sizovreport #blacksea

Black Sea winter #wheat is enduring extreme cold… ❄️ Fully priced in by now? 🤔 More insights: sizov.report/?utm_campaign=Feb20 #oatt #agwx #sizovreport

Harder, better, faster, stronger #soybeans #oatt #china

The first cold night has passed in Russia’s winter #wheat regions—another one coming… ❄️🌾 Our quick take in our Discord group: sizov.report/?utm_campaign=feb19 #oatt #agwx

#Wheat keeps battling the 200DMA…still looks like there’s more downside risk than upside. 📉🌾 #oatt #sizovreport

The #corn rally continues! 🌽🚀 First front-month close above $5 since October 2023. But…why were funds selling last week? 🤔 #oatt #sizovreport

Brazil’s second (safrinha) hashtag#corn planting is picking up after a slow start, —but it’s still below average *for now*. Safrinha accounts for 70%+ of the total crop. #oatt #agwx #sizovreport

#Corn inspections were decent, and the winterkill jokes are fun… But is this rally way overdone? Or are we still trading the narrative that US corn carry-out is overestimated? 📈🤔 #oatt #sizovreport

🌾 #Wheat still holding strong with the ongoing cold weather… ❄️ Can it finally close above the 200DMA? We haven’t seen that since October 2024 (though we all remember what happened next… 😉) #oatt #sizovreport #agwx

Matif #wheat slips a few euros despite CBOT being closed. Is the market starting to price in potential Black Sea truce news? #oatt #sizovreport #blacksea #ukraine #russia

Despite all the tariff doom and gloom, the US Dollar Index keeps weakening…could lend some support to ags, #wheat included. 📉🌾 #oatt #sizovreport #DXY

Cold weather in the U.S. and Russia lifted #wheat prices, while #corn found support from the drought in Argentina. More: sizov.report/reports/2545... #oatt #blacksea #sizovreport

The EU may restrict #soybeans imports from the US amid rising tensions. In 23/24, the bloc imported ~5 MMT (184M bushels) of US beans out of a total 13 MMT. 🌍🇪🇺🇺🇸 - FT: The European Commission will agree next week to explore greater import limits...the targets could include US soybeans #oatt

The EU may restrict #soybeans imports from the US amid rising tensions. In 23/24, the bloc imported ~5 MMT (184M bushels) of US beans out of a total 13 MMT. 🌍🇪🇺🇺🇸 - FT: The European Commission will agree next week to explore greater import limits...the targets could include US soybeans #oatt

Russian ruble is surging—USDRUB down 20%+ since January highs. 🌾 Implications for #wheat: 🔹 Bullish short-term – Russian wheat is less competitive in USD, and traders’ margins are already near zero or negative. #sizovreport #oatt #russia

The market: Nobody eats bread anymore, #wheat demand is weak, and supply is overwhelming. Reality: Russian spot FOB prices just hit an 8-month high… 📈🌾 More: sizov.report/reports/2538... #oatt #blacksea #sizovreport

So the peace negotiations have started officially, no reaction from #grains though. Fully priced in?? TRUMP: AGREED W/ PUTIN TO HAVE TEAMS START NEGOTIATIONS IMMEDIATELY

Trading #grains? Easy… ✅ Sell on a stronger dollar ✅ Buy on a weaker dollar* ✅ Occasionally do the opposite—like today 😉 *Not investment advice. All stunts performed by professionals—don’t try this at home. #Corn sharply higher today despite all the gloomy fundamentals... #oatt #sizovreport

Russian #wheat exports are sharply down YoY in 2025… No demand? ❌ Mostly no supply. Stocks are plunging across key export regions and domestic prices are on the rise More insights in our stocks report: sizov.report/reports/2537... #oatt #blacksea #russia #sizovreport

Wonder how #corn longs are feeling today… 🤔 Yesterday’s #WASDE was a letdown for the bulls. #oatt #agwx #sizovreport

The Black Sea remains abnormally warm, posing no immediate risks for winter #wheat. 🌾 However, with limited snow cover in many regions, a serious cold snap could quickly change the situation. ❄️ #oatt #agwx #sizovreport #blacksea

BREAKING: President Zelensky says the country is prepared to offer a territory swap with Russia. Reality: 0 news. Kyiv and the Biden administration have been hinting at this for months—Moscow isn’t interested.

Canadian marketing is fast

Have a great #WASDE day My information bubble is strangely calm today…too calm. #oatt #sizovreport

AgResource raised its Brazil soybean estimate slightly following its crop tour, to 172.28 MMT. USDA at 169.0 (at least for another couple of hours)

The Black Sea region could be in for a serious cold snap soon, with little to no snow cover to protect winter #wheat. ❄️🌾 Something to keep a close eye on. Source: sizov.report/?utm_campaign=Feb11 Discord group Map: TropicalTidbits #oatt #wheat #russia #ukraine #blacksea #sizovreport #agwx

#wheat #oatt #russia #ukraine www.telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2...