sprucemoosecaboose.bsky.social
13 posts
22 followers
37 following
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Everyone loves negotiating with people that have a gun to their head.
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A lot of support from the index pinning. We'll see if that holds when funds like QYLD start to roll.
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Think about how much tolerance there will be for Trumps bullshit if the stock market is off 20%
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Isn't a drop in growth without meaningful inflation just called a recession?
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lol, so its going to be March 1 like Reuters said.
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Noob here. Any way to tell if they were buying or selling?
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What's normal for a vixperation?
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Do you think he understands that tariffs will hurt the stock market? This is the same guy that constantly confuses the trade deficit and the budget deficit.
The main reason he keeps pushing them out is to continue extracting favors.
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I think that window is very narrow. If unemployment goes down, rates go up. If unemployment goes up at all, you are looking at a new cycle high in U3 and we are back in Sahm rule land. Rates would come down, but hard to imagine a strong green session off that result.
July U3: 4.253%
Nov U3: 4.246%
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Except that 1 day has nonfarm payrolls, and that is what sent the market down at the beginning of August. The other problem is that now the feds response to a bad payroll number is much less certain than it was 6 months ago.
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Wouldn't an increase in term premium make since given a 6 time bankruptcy filer, and self proclaimed "king of debt" is about to take over?
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Does it matter for spot that inauguration day is within 30 days. So for every day that goes by that 30 day window will contain one more with trump as president?
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Is half a centaur 25% horse?