stefanschubert.bsky.social
Effective Altruism and the Human Mind (with Lucius Caviola) is available for free at: https://academic.oup.com/book/56384
For physical and audiobook versions, see: https://stefanschubert.substack.com/p/physical-and-audiobook-versions-of
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While the success of ideas depends on the social environment, winning idea packages often include complete idiosyncracies (cf Marx)
It's unlikely that the West would have grown rich without substantially expanding the moral circle. It wasn't that accidental.
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We should learn from weighted composites of all history, not from individual events like WWII.
Individuals do change the course of history, but often it doesn't happen the way they planned. (E.g. Hitler.)
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It's underrated how egalitarian modern society is by historical standards. In particular, equality has won the normative battle.
The Industrial Revolution was tremendously important relative to all previous changes.
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Much history-writing focuses too much on individuals' actions, and too little on technological and other structural change.
Relatedly, much history-writing gives too country-specific explanations, ignoring cross-cultural trends.
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There's too little big picture history, and too much shooting down of useful generalisations.
Whig history is broadly true.
We've undergone a civilising process since the Middle Ages.
The Dark Ages were dark.
Demographics is underrated.
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I don't know but I think some messages are easier to spread
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Oh yeah, that's an even more obvious example. I was thinking of less obvious stuff.
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E.g. it just tacks on a paragraph that's clearly a vestige of an earlier version, instead of revising it.
Or it just skips a step in an argument so that it makes no sense anymore.
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I think it's erudite and interesting, but it might almost be a bit too much for some.
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I'd also want to minimise the chance clubs from the same country meet at this stage
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Notable that neuroticism and suicide data by age come apart a bit
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www.fhs.se/download/18....
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Vad sas?
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In the ancestral world, you had much less choice and so needed a fairly positive prior about any given option.
It's possible we're partially anchored to that and need to force ourselves to shift our priors about choices in a negative direction.
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Case in point.
I've been much less impressed by Draghi's recent proclamations than most commentators.
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www.expressen.se/nyheter/sver...
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"Sofia Nerbrand och Göteborgs-Postens Adam Cwejman är så förhäxade av trollarméernas förtjusning på X..."
Känns inte särskilt nyanserat
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Ja, tramsigt.
Han tog ner den där tweeten. Dock tycker jag inte förklaringen är helt tillfredsställande heller. Det första stycket kunde räckt.
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Western elites have overstretched themselves in many ways (domestically and internationally) over the last few decades.
They need to realise that they have less room to push through their favourite policies than they think.
If they don't, they might have to cede power to less appealing forces.
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I don't think European voters would accept a much deeper EU integration.
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yougov.co.uk/politics/art...
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Pretty nice-looking social housing.
Incidentally not very different from central Stockholm (non-social housing; we don't have social housing).
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True, though if searching the web is what the human worker would have done if they had done the work themselves, then it seems it saved that amount of time without leading to more error. (It's another issue whether the absolute number of errors was low.)
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Note that this doesn't entail there's a literal housing shortage. Many new flats are allocated to people who recently joined the queue. (And the papers report some remain empty.)
But there's fierce competition for the flats that are especially cheap relative to the market rents.
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Yes, important to adjust for population growth; something that's too rarely done
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www.ft.com/content/8683...