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steverattner.bsky.social
Former head of Obama Auto Task Force. Wall Street financier. Contributing Writer to NY Times Op-Ed. Morning Joe Economic Analyst. 🌐
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Consumer sentiment rose across both political parties in June — the first increase since Trump took office.

Unless you’re in the top 10% of earners, Trump’s policies make you poorer: the ā€œbig beautiful billā€ and Trump’s tariffs will leave the bottom 90% of Americans with fewer resources.

With interest rates rising since Trump ramped up his trade war, housing affordability has taken a hit as mortgage payments climb. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

With high mortgage prices, the US housing market is at an impasse — there are far more sellers than buyers right now. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

Even though we haven’t seen major problems in the hard data, surveys portend an economic slowdown: an increasing share of Americans think jobs are hard to get. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

While markets have been relieved by recent economic data readings, we can’t ignore that the labor market has been sluggish for quite some time now. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

The World Bank nearly halved its forecast for US GDP growth in 2025, while Europe saw a smaller slowdown and China may see no effect at all. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

It’s widely expected that Trump’s trade war will raise prices, but we haven’t seen much of an effect in the data yet. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

US crude oil production is expected to drop in 2026 — a far cry from drill baby drill.

Inflation remained essentially unchanged in May, at 2.4%.

Trump is spending $134 million to needlessly deploy troops to LA and $45 million to throw himself a birthday military parade — he seems to think the US military is a toy for his amusement, funded by American taxpayers.

Despite relatively moderate jobs data, Americans don’t feel good about the labor market — they’re not much more optimistic about their ability to find a job in 3 months than they were during covid.

If Trump really wants to improve the American economy, he’s got to bring some economic sense to his ideas about manufacturing. More in my latest for @nytopinion.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com/2025/06/06/o...

Congress is WEEKS away from kicking more than 10 million people off their health insurance via $1 trillion in health care cuts. It passed the House and is now in the Senate - which is planning to vote in a few weeks. Then back to the House to be re-passed. We have only a few weeks to stop this.

Trump’s quest to ā€˜bring back’ American manufacturing isn’t going to make Americans better off. In my latest for @nytopinion.nytimes.com , I explain why. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/06/o...

America can have a robust manufacturing industry, but it’s never going to look like it did in decades past — and that’s okay. More in my latest for @nytopinion.nytimes.com www.nytimes.com/2025/06/06/o...

In my latest for @nytopinion, I explain why Trump’s plan to revive American manufacturing is incoherent and misguided. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/06/o...

Unemployment remained at 4.2% for the third month in a row in May.

US payrolls growth dropped to 139K in May.

Trump is closing a major airport to accommodate a military parade for his birthday – the parade is estimated to cost as much as $45 million. This coming from the president who said little girls are fine with 2 dolls not 30. www.washingtonpost.com/business/202...

It’s surprising that someone whose businesses depend so heavily on government support would choose to pick a fight with a famously vindictive president.

When it comes to the debt, the GOP needs to learn that tax cuts are just as irresponsible as spending increases. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

Trump promised a lot of tax cuts, but Congress, like Musk, couldn’t find enough to cut. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

The House bill is sending America deep into the red in the long term for the short-term political gain of pandering tax cuts. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

The House bill adds more to deficits than any recent major legislation — even covid stimulus. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

We’re already on track for the national debt to soar further above our GDP. The House bill is just going to make that problem worse. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

The budget bill passed by the house would increase deficits (and debt) by at least $2.4T over 10 years. That is, indeed, outrageous. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

As of April, there was about one unemployed job seeker for every job opening in the US economy.

Quits, layoffs, and hires all remain below pre-pandemic levels, reflecting a relatively static labor market.

Job openings rose to 7.3M in April, slightly higher than expected.

Five years after the death of George Floyd, tragically, killings by police have increased instead of dropped.

A 2022 study found that ¼ of unicorn companies in the US had a founder that first came to the US as an international student. Deterring world-class talent from coming to the US and building things here is a great way to kill America’s economic edge. www.nytimes.com/2025/05/22/u...

The top holder of $TRUMP coin faced SEC charges for market manipulation, and was avoiding coming to the US for fear of arrest. Now his lawsuit is paused and he’s invited to a VIP dinner with Trump. This guy is bribing the President in plain sight. www.wsj.com/finance/curr...

We’re well over ā€œyippyā€ (Trump’s golf phrase for when markets wobbled) treasury yield levels.

The GOP Medicaid cuts will leave 8.6 million more Americans uninsured by 2034. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

The House Budget employs a slew of policies to force Americans off Medicaid, with work requirements having the largest effect. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

Massively cutting Medicaid and SNAP isn’t the only way to find savings. We could just forgo tax cuts for Americans making over $500K instead. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

The GOP is (partially) offsetting regressive tax cuts with regressive spending cuts. The result is a $10,000 income gain for Americans in the top 20% and a $800 loss for those at the bottom. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

The House budget is set to increase deficits by at least $3.1 trillion (14%) over 10 years – and probably much more. That’ll be another unnecessary hit to America’s economic credibility. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

The House bill doles out a laundry list of tax cuts, only partially offset by brutal cuts to Medicaid & IRA green incentives. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

Trump keeps saying that taxes will increase by 68% if the GOP bill doesn’t pass, but that number’s far from any realistic scenario. Does anyone know how he ended up with 68%, or was it just pulled out of thin air?

Inflation expectations continued to increase in May, reaching 7.3%.

Despite an easing trade war, consumer sentiment continued to drop in May, with a noticeable dip among Republicans.

Trump supporters should be asking their GOP representatives why the elimination of carried interest didn’t make it into the House bill. It’s Trump-backed and would help pay for the massive tax cuts.

Increasing the debt by over $3 trillion to pay for a tax plan that disproportionately serves the wealthy is a bad deal for the American people.

Among the more obscure features of the House bill is the repeal of tanning salon taxes. Can’t get more MAGA than that.

Glad to find some common ground with RFK jr: we both agree people shouldn’t be taking medical advice from him.

The American healthcare system is expensive, but it also gives patients more options — more new drugs hit the market in the US than in any other major country. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

One reason why drug prices have been increasing is that new drug approvals have gone up, and new drugs are more expensive. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart

Even though American drug prices are high, according to the market, the companies aren’t exactly walking away with a steal. Excluding GLP-1 manufacturers, pharma stocks underperform the S&P. My @morningjoe-msnbc.bsky.social Chart