tguinaldo.bsky.social
Ocean/climate. Research scientist #CNRM @meteofrance working on observations from #satellites (marine heatwaves, ocean color). Cyclist enthusiastic from the Pyrénées, climate refugee in Brittany.
282 posts
4,426 followers
1,076 following
Regular Contributor
Active Commenter
comment in response to
post
What is your point?
- The effect of sulfur emissions on the radiative budget has been known since 2009 (at least)
- This reduction is even taken into account in the IPCC AR6 SSP.
- Several articles have found a minor contribution from this reduction in 2023-2024.
comment in response to
post
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
essopenarchive.org/users/886710...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
www.nature.com/articles/s41...
comment in response to
post
Publishing a bunch of paper showing the minor contribution of sulphur emissions on is « scientific reticence » ? Not really a scientific argument…
comment in response to
post
But for showing that it suits their narrative.
Peer-reviewed journal is the place for scientific analysis and debate, don’t hesitate to send your paper when published. It will help the whole community
comment in response to
post
I’ll wait for your paper published in a peer-reviewed journal showing that Forster et al manipulate data to suit their narrative.
comment in response to
post
It’s in line with IPCC and Forster indicators
comment in response to
post
L’article The Conversation correspondant : theconversation.com/le-changemen...
comment in response to
post
Il manque des précisions (avec plaisir pour en parler). La stratification est fortement piloté par le réchauffement anthropique. Les aérosols ont un effet mineur et à court terme.
L’étude de Matt confirme et complète la notre : www.nature.com/articles/s43...
comment in response to
post
Written on the graph and accessible on the corresponding preprint that you already know.
GWL for 2024 : 1.36°C compared to 1850-1900
comment in response to
post
I meant that 2024 is a 1 in 2 chance to happen at current GWL for GSAT when accounting correctly for internal variability
comment in response to
post
Which is excepted at current GWL, internal variability + long term trend (warming & stratification)
comment in response to
post
Which shows that internal variability is important to take into account and even more when studying extreme events such as N.Atl 2023
comment in response to
post
No way… worst news of the day
comment in response to
post
Merci pour ton écoute et ton travail!! Au plaisir de travailler encore ensemble ❤️
comment in response to
post
Thanks for this wonderful work! It is a real threat to both ecosystems and our climate system knowing the strong interaction between the ocean and the atmosphere :
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
comment in response to
post
Ne le dis pas sinon on n’aura pas de gourmandises!
comment in response to
post
Merci pour tout ce que vous faites pour la science, la culture et le soutien à la recherche!!
comment in response to
post
Je suis un grand fan de chocolat, on peut s’arranger.
Et @crdlz.bsky.social apprécie les caramels au beurre salé!
comment in response to
post
It has already been confirmed, replicated at least once here with complementary information on the return period at current GWL:
www.nature.com/articles/s43...
comment in response to
post
It is difficult to infer this from your message. There are also interactions between the NATL SST Tripole and persistent NAO conditions or ENSO on global weather. The impact of Med Sea is rather on the persistence than onset of atmospheric heatwaves (driven mainly by CUL over the Iberian Peninsula)
comment in response to
post
Je ne comprends toujours pas. L’océan et l’atmosphère communiquent et s’influencent mutuellement.
comment in response to
post
Warmer seas could intensify atmospheric heatwaves but don’t trigger them. There are mutual interactions but the synoptic situation drive heatwaves.
A perfect example is the influence of regional winds in the Gulf of Lion on MHW decline.
comment in response to
post
And also a BIG shout out to @noaa.gov observing systems (including Argo) and NOAA/GFDL ocean modellers. This work would not have been possible without NOAA models and observations. We need NOAA fully funded to maintain Earth observations and help understand our changing ocean & climate systems.
comment in response to
post
Unfortunately there is nothing abnormal… same rate of absorption (~90%) + increase of heat + reduced winter cooling leading to inter annual preconditioning
comment in response to
post
It is one of the main mode of atmospheric variability over the North Atlantic