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valinasr.bsky.social
Professor Johns Hopkins-SAIS, Fr Sr Advisor, State Dept, author of Iran's Grand Strategy https://a.co/d/egLBCgz
215 posts 1,948 followers 114 following
Prolific Poster

Delighted that my book Iran's Grand Strategy is on @gideonrachman.bsky.social list for Financial Times Best Summer Books 2025 🙏🏽https://www.ft.com/content/b649f946-5878-43d8-9af8-c63bc0f51c9b

Delighted that my book Iran's Grand Strategy is on @gideonrachman.bsky.social list for Financial Times Best Summer Books 2025 🙏🏽https://www.ft.com/content/b649f946-5878-43d8-9af8-c63bc0f51c9b

Excellent piece by Scott Peterson on why humiliation tactics and demanding unconditional surrender will not work www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle...

I told Washington Post Iran's retaliation will not be guided by revenge but to create deterrence. “The response has to have a purpose, in the sense of managing the next stage.” wapo.st/465LBLd

Excellent piece by Scott Peterson on why humiliation tactics and demanding unconditional surrender will not work www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle...

I told Washington Post Iran's retaliation will not be guided by revenge but to create deterrence. “The response has to have a purpose, in the sense of managing the next stage.” wapo.st/465LBLd

I told @StevenErlanger that this conflict is just at its beginning, not at its end, and there is no one grand gesture after which everything will change. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/22/w...

Three initial reactions to U.S. attack on Iran: US destroyed enrichment infrastructure but no evidence stockpiles destroyed. Khamenei wont accept unconditional surrender. Retaliation likely. More countries will be thinking about getting the bomb. has shattered the non proliferation regime.

Three initial reactions to U.S. attack on Iran: US destroyed enrichment infrastructure but no evidence stockpiles destroyed. Khamenei wont accept unconditional surrender. Retaliation likely. More countries will be thinking about getting the bomb. has shattered the non proliferation regime.

Talking to Economist on definitions of victory and how the US may join the war between Iran and Israel www.economist.com/podcasts/202...

My essay in Financial Times: How decades-long power struggle between Iran and Israel ended in war — and what the outcome would mean for the Middle East and the world. www.ft.com/content/858b...

Excellent reporting on how Khamenei is managing the war and its own vulnerabilities at this critical moment www.nytimes.com/2025/06/21/w...

My essay in Financial Times: How decades-long power struggle between Iran and Israel ended in war — and what the outcome would mean for the Middle East and the world. www.ft.com/content/858b...

Erdogan warns Germany that the Israeli-Iranian war could trigger migration to Europe - https://www.middleeasteye.net/live-blog/live-blog-update/erdogan-warns-germany-israeli-iranian-war-could-trigger-migration-europe

Excellent piece by Narges Bajoghli on the dangerous fallacy of regime change in Iran time.com/7295877/issu...

My interview with Christiane Amanpour. While advocates of attacking Iran don’t say it US attack on Iran could end up with American boots on ground…another costly forever war

@stephenwalt.bsky.social asks: can Israel become the regional hegemon? foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/16/i...

My interview with Christiane Amanpour. While advocates of attacking Iran don’t say it US attack on Iran could end up with American boots on ground…another costly forever war

Excellent piece by Narges Bajoghli on the dangerous fallacy of regime change in Iran time.com/7295877/issu...

Steve Bannon “My mantra right now: the Israelis have to finish what they started. They started this. They should finish it,” he warns Trump Iran strike would ‘tear US apart’ www.ft.com/content/8e46... via @ft

Is Fordo really the most important thing about Iran’s nuclear program or is the focus on it designed to drag the US into the war? Since Fordo is the only target that needs US planes and bunker buster bombs.

Much needed history lesson www.ft.com/content/d9e7...

Fantastic to see @valinasr.bsky.social on the @newsagents.bsky.social talking Iran, and Israel-Iran War. Important for the British public to learn and be well informed, especially as Trump beats wider war drums, more than likely to drag the UK with it. podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/t...

Andrew England in FT: Iran’s exiled royal calls for regime change — but few are listening www.ft.com/content/fd7b...

I told NYT much of the talk of war on Iran is a repeat of the build up to Iraq war. Then “we didn’t know better, and we bought all the happy talk about Iraq. But every single assumption proved wrong.” Trump is making the same mistake www.nytimes.com/2025/06/18/u... www.nytimes.com/2025/06/18/u...

I told NYT much of the talk of war on Iran is a repeat of the build up to Iraq war. Then “we didn’t know better, and we bought all the happy talk about Iraq. But every single assumption proved wrong.” Trump is making the same mistake www.nytimes.com/2025/06/18/u... www.nytimes.com/2025/06/18/u...

Israeli Strikes Kill Civilians Across Iran www.nytimes.com/2025/06/18/w...

"Iran's only leverage is to force Trump to face war," says Asia Society Trustee Vali Nasr as he analyzes U.S. involvement in the conflict between #Iran and #Israel. Watch the full conversation: www.youtube.com/watch?v=64Qo... #IranIsraelConflict

📺NEW: @asiasociety.org Trustees @valinasr.bsky.social and Hamid Biglari host a rapid-response conversation on #Iran's future in the #MiddleEast. #IranIsraelConflict #IranIsrael #AsiaPolicy #AsiaSociety

Robert Pape argues that Israel’s air war will neither destroy Iran's nuclear program nor bring about regime change. It will be a futile exercise that will end in a quagmire (most likely for the US) www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/israels...

I told NYT for Israel success is not measured in taking out Fordo. It’s measured by how successful it is in taking out the Iranian state. It has been striking targets with no direct connection to the nuclear program, trying to take away the coherence of the state www.nytimes.com/2025/06/17/u...

⁦‪Esfandyar Batmanghelidj‬⁩ on how war disrupted Iranian people’s battle for liberty and prosperity

My interview with FP Live on Israel's aims in attacking Iran x.com/ForeignPolic...

“The only American politicians who have been talking against the war with Iran have been the MAGA ones.” Iranian-American academic and policy adviser @valinasr.bsky.social joins @premthakker.bsky.social to discuss Israel’s latest attack on Iran and how it will affect the Middle East.

I told NYT for Israel success is not measured in taking out Fordo. It’s measured by how successful it is in taking out the Iranian state. It has been striking targets with no direct connection to the nuclear program, trying to take away the coherence of the state www.nytimes.com/2025/06/17/u...

This interview with @valinasr.bsky.social is crucial watching - especially for those who, like me, have not yet got their hands on his book. I highlight in particular Vali’s comments on misinterpretation of threat perception vs IRI desire for “independence” www.youtube.com/live/vj9_Q_n...

Excellent analysis by Najmeh Bozorgmehr and Andrew England: #Iran’s regime fights for survival www.ft.com/content/6103...

My interview with PBS Newshour on implications of Israel’s attack on Iran and what comes next youtu.be/5DCGGVU9KK0?...

My interview with Zeteo on Israel's bombing of Iran and what comes next youtu.be/VkAA6w9tYn0?...

Peter Frankopan's review of my book Iran’s Grand Strategy in Financial Times — imagining a world without American hegemony www.ft.com/content/ecaf...

Strongly urge folks to listen to my conversation with @valinasr.bsky.social on #Iran

My interview with Zeteo on Israel's bombing of Iran and what comes next youtu.be/VkAA6w9tYn0?...

My discussion with Quincy Institute on my book Iran’s Grand Strategy: A Political History www.youtube.com/live/vj9_Q_n...

My podcast interview with Converging Dialogues on my new book open.substack.com/pub/convergi...

Gulf leaders don’t want a Faustian choice between Iran and Israel. They want relations with both to strike a regional balance that works to their advantage, ensures peace and stability vital to their geoeconomic goals. www.foreignaffairs.com

Gulf leaders don’t want a Faustian choice between Iran and Israel. They want relations with both to strike a regional balance that works to their advantage, ensures peace and stability vital to their geoeconomic goals. www.foreignaffairs.com

My podcast interview with Converging Dialogues on my new book open.substack.com/pub/convergi...