valinasr.bsky.social - Profile | ThreadSky | a Reddit-style client for Bluesky

I write in @NYT if Khamenei’s record is any guide US shouldn’t expect surrender in nuclear talks. He sees this as a long conflict and may compromise enough to get no war and no peace. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/26/o...

submitted 13 minutes ago • 0 comments

Told FT We don't know if Islamic Republic will fall but it will change "like China is still run by Communist Party. It’s not going to be the same, the exact moment or the exact leadership is not clear but we’re on the verge of that”https://www.ft.com/content/e657cf6a-d010-4e62-a830-ae633357d1a6

submitted 23 hours ago • 2 comments

My podcast interview with @gideonrachman.bsky.social of FinancialTimes: Too soon to celebrate peace between Iran and Israel? www.ft.com/content/f4bc...

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

My podcast interview with @gideonrachman.bsky.social of FinancialTimes: Too soon to celebrate peace between Iran and Israel? www.ft.com/content/f4bc...

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

When the US administration is done celebrating its bombing campaign and the ceasefire between Israel and Iran, what happens next? FT The Rachman Review podcast, with Vali Nasr @valinasr.bsky.social (26:48) on.ft.com/45FBSLK

submitted 1 day ago • 1 comment

And this 👇🏼

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Delighted that my book Iran's Grand Strategy is on @gideonrachman.bsky.social list for Financial Times Best Summer Books 2025 🙏🏽https://www.ft.com/content/b649f946-5878-43d8-9af8-c63bc0f51c9b

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

Delighted that my book Iran's Grand Strategy is on @gideonrachman.bsky.social list for Financial Times Best Summer Books 2025 🙏🏽https://www.ft.com/content/b649f946-5878-43d8-9af8-c63bc0f51c9b

submitted 2 days ago • 0 comments

Excellent piece by Scott Peterson on why humiliation tactics and demanding unconditional surrender will not work www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle...

submitted 2 days ago • 2 comments

I told Washington Post Iran's retaliation will not be guided by revenge but to create deterrence. “The response has to have a purpose, in the sense of managing the next stage.” wapo.st/465LBLd

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

Excellent piece by Scott Peterson on why humiliation tactics and demanding unconditional surrender will not work www.csmonitor.com/World/Middle...

submitted 2 days ago • 2 comments

I told Washington Post Iran's retaliation will not be guided by revenge but to create deterrence. “The response has to have a purpose, in the sense of managing the next stage.” wapo.st/465LBLd

submitted 3 days ago • 1 comment

I told @StevenErlanger that this conflict is just at its beginning, not at its end, and there is no one grand gesture after which everything will change. www.nytimes.com/2025/06/22/w...

submitted 3 days ago • 2 comments

Three initial reactions to U.S. attack on Iran: US destroyed enrichment infrastructure but no evidence stockpiles destroyed. Khamenei wont accept unconditional surrender. Retaliation likely. More countries will be thinking about getting the bomb. has shattered the non proliferation regime.

submitted 3 days ago • 6 comments

Three initial reactions to U.S. attack on Iran: US destroyed enrichment infrastructure but no evidence stockpiles destroyed. Khamenei wont accept unconditional surrender. Retaliation likely. More countries will be thinking about getting the bomb. has shattered the non proliferation regime.

submitted 3 days ago • 6 comments

Talking to Economist on definitions of victory and how the US may join the war between Iran and Israel www.economist.com/podcasts/202...

submitted 4 days ago • 0 comments

My essay in Financial Times: How decades-long power struggle between Iran and Israel ended in war — and what the outcome would mean for the Middle East and the world. www.ft.com/content/858b...

submitted 5 days ago • 2 comments

Excellent reporting on how Khamenei is managing the war and its own vulnerabilities at this critical moment www.nytimes.com/2025/06/21/w...

submitted 4 days ago • 1 comment

My essay in Financial Times: How decades-long power struggle between Iran and Israel ended in war — and what the outcome would mean for the Middle East and the world. www.ft.com/content/858b...

submitted 5 days ago • 2 comments

Erdogan warns Germany that the Israeli-Iranian war could trigger migration to Europe - https://www.middleeasteye.net/live-blog/live-blog-update/erdogan-warns-germany-israeli-iranian-war-could-trigger-migration-europe

submitted 5 days ago • 5 comments

Excellent piece by Narges Bajoghli on the dangerous fallacy of regime change in Iran time.com/7295877/issu...

submitted 6 days ago • 3 comments

My interview with Christiane Amanpour. While advocates of attacking Iran don’t say it US attack on Iran could end up with American boots on ground…another costly forever war

submitted 6 days ago • 2 comments

@stephenwalt.bsky.social asks: can Israel become the regional hegemon? foreignpolicy.com/2025/06/16/i...

submitted 5 days ago • 0 comments

My interview with Christiane Amanpour. While advocates of attacking Iran don’t say it US attack on Iran could end up with American boots on ground…another costly forever war

submitted 6 days ago • 2 comments

Excellent piece by Narges Bajoghli on the dangerous fallacy of regime change in Iran time.com/7295877/issu...

submitted 6 days ago • 3 comments

Steve Bannon “My mantra right now: the Israelis have to finish what they started. They started this. They should finish it,” he warns Trump Iran strike would ‘tear US apart’ www.ft.com/content/8e46... via @ft

submitted 6 days ago • 1 comment

Is Fordo really the most important thing about Iran’s nuclear program or is the focus on it designed to drag the US into the war? Since Fordo is the only target that needs US planes and bunker buster bombs.

submitted 6 days ago • 1 comment

Much needed history lesson www.ft.com/content/d9e7...

submitted 6 days ago • 1 comment

Fantastic to see @valinasr.bsky.social on the @newsagents.bsky.social talking Iran, and Israel-Iran War. Important for the British public to learn and be well informed, especially as Trump beats wider war drums, more than likely to drag the UK with it. podcasts.apple.com/gb/podcast/t...

submitted 7 days ago • 1 comment

Andrew England in FT: Iran’s exiled royal calls for regime change — but few are listening www.ft.com/content/fd7b...

submitted 7 days ago • 0 comments

I told NYT much of the talk of war on Iran is a repeat of the build up to Iraq war. Then “we didn’t know better, and we bought all the happy talk about Iraq. But every single assumption proved wrong.” Trump is making the same mistake www.nytimes.com/2025/06/18/u... www.nytimes.com/2025/06/18/u...

submitted 7 days ago • 3 comments

I told NYT much of the talk of war on Iran is a repeat of the build up to Iraq war. Then “we didn’t know better, and we bought all the happy talk about Iraq. But every single assumption proved wrong.” Trump is making the same mistake www.nytimes.com/2025/06/18/u... www.nytimes.com/2025/06/18/u...

submitted 7 days ago • 3 comments

Israeli Strikes Kill Civilians Across Iran www.nytimes.com/2025/06/18/w...

submitted 7 days ago • 1 comment

"Iran's only leverage is to force Trump to face war," says Asia Society Trustee Vali Nasr as he analyzes U.S. involvement in the conflict between #Iran and #Israel. Watch the full conversation: www.youtube.com/watch?v=64Qo... #IranIsraelConflict

submitted 7 days ago • 0 comments

📺NEW: @asiasociety.org Trustees @valinasr.bsky.social and Hamid Biglari host a rapid-response conversation on #Iran's future in the #MiddleEast. #IranIsraelConflict #IranIsrael #AsiaPolicy #AsiaSociety

submitted 7 days ago • 0 comments

Robert Pape argues that Israel’s air war will neither destroy Iran's nuclear program nor bring about regime change. It will be a futile exercise that will end in a quagmire (most likely for the US) www.foreignaffairs.com/iran/israels...

submitted 7 days ago • 2 comments

I told NYT for Israel success is not measured in taking out Fordo. It’s measured by how successful it is in taking out the Iranian state. It has been striking targets with no direct connection to the nuclear program, trying to take away the coherence of the state www.nytimes.com/2025/06/17/u...

submitted 8 days ago • 3 comments

⁦‪Esfandyar Batmanghelidj‬⁩ on how war disrupted Iranian people’s battle for liberty and prosperity

submitted 7 days ago • 1 comment

My interview with FP Live on Israel's aims in attacking Iran x.com/ForeignPolic...

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“The only American politicians who have been talking against the war with Iran have been the MAGA ones.” Iranian-American academic and policy adviser @valinasr.bsky.social joins @premthakker.bsky.social to discuss Israel’s latest attack on Iran and how it will affect the Middle East.

submitted 8 days ago • 5 comments

I told NYT for Israel success is not measured in taking out Fordo. It’s measured by how successful it is in taking out the Iranian state. It has been striking targets with no direct connection to the nuclear program, trying to take away the coherence of the state www.nytimes.com/2025/06/17/u...

submitted 8 days ago • 3 comments

This interview with @valinasr.bsky.social is crucial watching - especially for those who, like me, have not yet got their hands on his book. I highlight in particular Vali’s comments on misinterpretation of threat perception vs IRI desire for “independence” www.youtube.com/live/vj9_Q_n...

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

Excellent analysis by Najmeh Bozorgmehr and Andrew England: #Iran’s regime fights for survival www.ft.com/content/6103...

submitted 9 days ago • 0 comments

My interview with PBS Newshour on implications of Israel’s attack on Iran and what comes next youtu.be/5DCGGVU9KK0?...

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

My interview with Zeteo on Israel's bombing of Iran and what comes next youtu.be/VkAA6w9tYn0?...

submitted 12 days ago • 0 comments

Peter Frankopan's review of my book Iran’s Grand Strategy in Financial Times — imagining a world without American hegemony www.ft.com/content/ecaf...

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

Strongly urge folks to listen to my conversation with @valinasr.bsky.social on #Iran

submitted 12 days ago • 0 comments

My interview with Zeteo on Israel's bombing of Iran and what comes next youtu.be/VkAA6w9tYn0?...

submitted 12 days ago • 0 comments