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vamrhein.bsky.social
Ecology, conservation, statistics, reproducibility https://camargue.unibas.ch Retire statistical significance https://nature.com/articles/d41586-019-00857-9
44 posts 2,247 followers 2,113 following
Prolific Poster

"We find that ChatGPT, Gemini, and Claude fall prey to dichotomania at the 0.05 and 0.10 thresholds commonly used to declare ‘statistical significance’." doi.org/10.1017/jdm....

We are live! Introducing the "Journal of Robustness Reports" – a Diamond Open-Access journal dedicated to publishing short reanalyses of empirical findings. Check out our website and blog post about the journal: 🌐 scipost.org/JRobustRep 📄 www.bayesianspectacles.org/introducing-...

The Global Climate Highlights 2024 report is now online. Delve in the analysis and access all the charts, information, and data on temperature, sea ice, precipitation, and greenhouse gas concentrations. Explore the data that defined 2024: https://bit.ly/40kQpcz #C3S #GCH2024

Some good ideas here on when overconfidence can fool you and what to do about it.

dx.plos.org/10.1371/jour...

Happy birthday, p = 0.05! I had a short introductory lecture in statistics for biologists this morning, and then it dawned on me that p = 0.05 is celebrating its hundredth birthday this year.

The Economist, as always, nailing it.

Happy birthday, p = 0.05! I had a short introductory lecture in statistics for biologists this morning, and then it dawned on me that p = 0.05 is celebrating its hundredth birthday this year.

I had a hypothesis that vitamin D prevents cancer. I worked on this for > 10 years, had 3 NIH-funded grants, and published >30 papers on this topic. Based on our work and that of my esteemed colleagues, I concluded that the evidence does not support the hypothesis. RFK Jr., we are not the same.

THREAD The numbers are in. @bsky.app research sharing volumes vs X Formerly Twitter In March 2024, on most days, Bluesky hosts more posts linked to research published in 2025 than X. By quite a lot. Release the Kraken... #AcademicSky #HigherEd #Altmetrics 1/11

Rising global temperatures can influence the timing of events, such as when crops are ready to plant and harvest and when flowers and trees bloom. One example is the timing of the peak cherry tree blossom in Kyoto, Japan, where records stretch back to the ninth century — that’s over 1200 years.

New comment by @faridanvari.bsky.social and friends arguing that psychology is fragmented into the study of too many constructs and measures with too few links. www.nature.com/articles/s41...

1/ Happy birthday, Steve Kuhn! This track is from a Bob Moses album I co-produced. Incredible experience, and spectacular music. #happybirthday #music #musicsky #jazzmusic #jazzsky music.youtube.com/watch?v=EF_Q...

Here's something that would be really interesting to teach in an undergrad class, especially with lots of STEM majors: "Does counting change what counts? Quantification fixation biases decision-making" www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

Great read from 2019 about abandoning the use of p-values in a dichotomous way and what we can do instead. More thinking, and less relying on significance tests to decide things for us! www.nature.com/articles/d41...

Open Access publishing: „Es gibt verschiedene Studien dazu, wie teuer eine Publikation sein sollte. Die DFG orientiert sich bei ihren Förderungen an einer Summe von 1.400 Euro, die wir für ausreichend halten, um einen qualitätsgesicherten Artikel zu publizieren.“ www.laborjournal.de/rubric/hinte...

Hot off the press: my review of Csaba Szabo's book Unreliable; deevybee.blogspot.com/2025/03/book...

About music, protest, and politics: www.violinist.com/blog/laurie/...

Six years ago, we published a (thus far underappreciated) study where we showed how scientific communities may generate a literature populated by irreproducible results or may converge on many perfectly reproducible yet false findings *in the absence of QRPs*, challenging popular narratives.

“Copenhagen reported that 62% of its residents are now commuting to work or school by bike — an increase from 52% in 2015 & 36% in 2012, when the City Council launched a 14-year-plan to improve the quality, safety & comfort of cycling.” #Copenhagen chose. They keep choosing even better every year.

New: A NOAA lab in Hawaii that is connected to the longest-running observation of global greenhouse gas concentrations is slated for closure in August, according to a list of lease terminations Democratic members of Congress shared with @washingtonpost.com.

Mike spotted this before the rest of us. 🫡 Publications from 2025 are shared more on Bluesky than on X/Twitter.

Riveting read for the math nerds in the room 🤓 - It turns out some scientists are too confident in confidence intervals www.nature.com/articles/d41...

On March 8, 2013 the Center for Open Science received its initial funding. Today, we give away the last of the furnishings to shut down the physical office. We are fully remote, but the org identity is so closely connected with the space. I can’t help but feel wistful about the loss of place.

One of my favorites. Safe to assume that these are almost always clinicians who learned just enough stats to be dangerous. And since they don't know how to justify their statistical misunderstandings, they revert to "this is wrong, uh, umm, so go ask a statistician why".

"Paper self-citation: An unexplored phenomenon." Yes, there are 44,000 papers that purportedly cite themselves in the Web of Science dataset. These authors had the opportunity to do the funniest thing but alas. arxiv.org/pdf/2503.04324

On this day 135 years ago, @unibas.ch opened its doors for female students. – While the rector opposed ('absurd fad'), the local government pushed it through.

New paper on the demographic drivers of cultural evolution in Great Tit song published today - epic work led by @nilomr.bsky.social with help from @andreaestandia.bsky.social Ella Cole & Sara Keen. Why did we do this, and what did we find? 🧵 follows: 1/n www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

My brother tells me that one of his buddies from college left his wife for a transgenic mouse he met in a lab. They all thought he was crazy, but he swore she was a knockout.

Lynn Margulis was born OTD in 1938. At 29, she published her theory that eukaryotes had evolved via endosymbiosis, after having it rejected by at least 15 other journals. #HPBio #Complexity #HistSTM 🧪#EvoBio #WomeninSTEM

@nature.com has just published online our new paper!🎉🐸🌡️Lead by @patricepottier.bsky.social and supervised by myself and @itchyshin.bsky.social: in this massive research effort we overcome several common convictions related to the topics we studied. www.nature.com/articles/s41... Here are take-homes.

Weather radars continuously register the movements of billions of animals in the air! We have now published datasets covering large parts of Europe, providing an overview of the aerial habitat in a way no other method can. Data is available on Alofdata.eu , see our blogpost: go.nature.com/3F0wQ0L

@erik-van-zwet.bsky.social has written a very nice blog discourse.datamethods.org/t/dichotomiz... on the loss in dichotomising continuous outcomes. There is also a shiny app here vanzwet.shinyapps.io/info_loss/ "Don't cut your measures, cut the habit."

All probationary federal employees at NOAA’s EMC that’s responsible for keeping all US weather model systems running have been fired with 1 hours notice. And that includes me and colleagues. We will not go quietly because we care about the NOAA mission to protect the public.

New study: 58% of studies #preregistered on #OSF before Nov 2017 have been conducted but not publicly shared. When asked why not, most authors cited lack of time or changing jobs "followed by null results & rejections during peer review." journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/... #OpenScience #ScholComm

Wolfgang! @wkhuber.bsky.social Read my slow analysis manifesto and join the slow analysis movement. Let's make data analysis healthy again!

I think about this map a lot. www.bloomberg.com/graphics/201...

New on European conservation science: Rewilding with ecological analogues from ecological, ethical & legal perspectives. Is introducing European bison (in place of extinct steppe bison) in Spain justifiable? Nores et al. in Cons. Science and Practice conbio.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...

Gelman argues we collectively should re-review the most cited articles in our field. @statmodeling.bsky.social do you know we at @error.reviews are already doing a version of this in psychology?

TODAY is 30th anniversary of last irrefutable record of a Slender-billed Curlew, 25 Feb 1995, Merja Zerga, Morocco. June is 30th anniversary of African-Eurasian Migratory Waterbirds Agreement @curlewaction.bsky.social @curlewrecovery.bsky.social @wadertales.bsky.social #ornithology #birds

It's never too late. Here is the press release from Bielefeld University about: "Same data, different analysts: variation in effect sizes due to analytical decisions in ecology & evolutionary biology" Press release: aktuell.uni-bielefeld.de/2025/02/25/w... Study: doi.org/10.1186/s129...

I agree that there's a lot of bad science out there and am, er, somewhat sceptical of the quality control mechanisms we have to put the point mildly. But, like, point estimates of the amount of research waste are, to me, just on their face very implausible. I don't think I could possibly trust that?

Snipe sheltering from the wind at Titchfield Haven, Hampshire @mybirdcards.com @rspbengland.bsky.social

Call me old fashioned but I prefer the old system where the politicians worried that the actors might be Russian agents.

Welcome to Super Seabird Sunday where we ask you to share photos, videos and artwork of seabirds to brighten up timelines. Here is my contribution, a ‘bridled’ Guillemot on the Isle of May #SuperSeabirdSunday #Seabirds

'The Voices of Nature' is available in paperback... + discount on hardcover. Time to buy & read it. Don't miss Winner of RR Hawkins Award, PROSE Award for Excellence in Biological & Life Sciences, and Library Journal Best Science & Technology Book! #bioacoustics www.amazon.com/Voices-Natur...

Now accepting applicants for 25-26 intake of our #StatisticalEcology MSc: bit.ly/3ooHNyc. A unique opportunity to develop skills at the interface of #statistics and #ecology (some partial scholarships available too). Please help me share!