vdreamz80.bsky.social
Let a thousand flowers bloom! But...just a thousand.
7 posts
15 followers
282 following
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Bring on the clever seppos! 🤓
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Alas I genuinely worry that, for at least some in the administration, that is the active plan 😔
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Once as a kid I trapped a moth in a soap container, then put it in a drawer and forgot about it (I know, I'm sorry).
About a year later I found it, opened it, and it flew out and on its merry way.
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Sounds great, look forward to it! 😊
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As in this paper:
link.springer.com/article/10.3...
So for example in the Herda paper you cite, the average country-level proportional overestimation is more than double the real proportion; but the *correlation* between the two is strong: 0.84. Is it that people just struggle with estimating %s?
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Really interesting finding, thanks for sharing, and a super interesting topic more broadly. Did you consider the issue of systematic biases in quantity estimation, dependent on the unit of measurement, as a possible explanation of discrepancies between perception and reality as well? (cont.)