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#Helene ERO verif from @NWSWPC : "High risk around 8UTC 9/25 (48 h lead time) as it continued to become apparent rainfall from PRE/Helene would have significant overlap, increasing conf. of catastrophic event. This is the 3rd longest High risk lead time for a TC since 2017."

submitted 6 days ago • 0 comments

For those interested the @NOAA National Hurricane Center has released their #Helene Tropical Cyclone Report. Got some reading to do t.co/BvWd87SXgn

submitted 6 days ago • 2 comments

“It was a bust” Nope. Multiple significant tors and fatalities occurred with at least 37 tornado reports so far. Just because you didn’t get your disaster porn in a heavily populated area doesn’t mean the forecast was a bust. Some of y’all need therapy.

submitted 9 days ago • 28 comments

Compounding the severe threat tomorrow is the potential for flash flooding in the Mid-South. In collaboration with WFOs in the region, WPC has issued a Moderate Risk (level 3/4) in southern TN, northern AL, northeast MS, and northwest GA for Saturday.

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

A tornado outbreak - Level 5-High risk is expected tomorrow (Saturday March 15) across parts of MS/AL. Strong to violent, long-track tornadoes will be possible, in addition to significant damaging gusts and large hail. Intense storms are possible across the broader region from LA to TN to GA.

submitted 11 days ago • 2 comments

Been watching the game and I really like Schwellenbach as a pitcher. His command is exceptional & has been getting 0-2 counts all game. That's why as soon as I saw that first pitch go behind Abrams I thought "yep, that was very much intentional".

submitted 11 days ago • 0 comments

Me when I watch the Bluey episode "Cricket"--

submitted 15 days ago • 0 comments

WPC initiated Key Messages for what will be an expansive winter storm producing a myriad of weather hazards this week. The images focus on the winter & wind hazards.

submitted 23 days ago • 0 comments

Up to at least 14 flood-related fatalities from this event…

submitted 35 days ago • 0 comments

Impactful weather is forecast tomorrow (Feb 15) from the Lower MS Valley to Ohio Valley. Widespread severe storms (damaging gusts & tornadoes) & flooding are expected. Have multiple ways to receive warnings, especially at night. A NOAA weather radio is a great, inexpensive way to get warnings.

submitted 39 days ago • 4 comments

Looking to next Tues-Wed winter storm potential: one of the reasons for an increasing signal on guidance is the agreement on strong ridges in AK/east of Greenland & potent troughs south of Greenland & in the western U.S. These anchor points provide some synoptic-scale stability.

submitted 49 days ago • 1 comment

Snow squall moving through at the office! Visibility down to about 400 feet with gusts to 40 mph.

submitted 55 days ago • 1 comment

The NFL postseason ends, pre-Super Bowl, with the only team that got road wins being the Washington Commanders.

submitted 57 days ago • 0 comments

Bills can't give them the ball back here. Whether it be a game-tying FG or a TD, there needs to be zeros on the clock.

submitted 57 days ago • 0 comments

Philly is so damn talented. This game exposed Washington's weaknesses & limitations after years of poor drafting. But given the Giants woes & the Cowboys doing...well, Cowboys things...it'll be Washington & Philly for a little while at least.

submitted 58 days ago • 0 comments

The only positive- and I mean ONLY positive based on what ive watched, is Washington has been trailing with comebacks all year. All things considered, 12 points down keeps them in it. But no points on the next drive is crucial.

submitted 58 days ago • 0 comments

What a busy set of 7 nights. From heavy snow in the Mid-Atlantic to the Northeast, to lake effect snow bands & then across the South for a historic storm. A shoutout to all the ROCs & WFOs that collaborated with us & the forecasts to their partners. You all did great work.

submitted 63 days ago • 0 comments

Winter has no chill with this active of a pattern... well, it actually does have "chill", but you see it's... nvm, you get my point.

submitted 66 days ago • 0 comments

Winter is very much hitting it's stride this week. Introduced a new set of Key Messages for the Northeast winter storm potential Sunday into Monday.

submitted 67 days ago • 0 comments

Here are the latest Key Messages from WPC for the impending Arctic Blast this weekend and into next week.

submitted 68 days ago • 0 comments

Starting night 1 of 7 on the winter desk tonight. Lots of paths this set could take in terms of winter storm potential, from very active to maybe one legit system. But one thing is high confidence--

submitted 69 days ago • 1 comment

For the first time since I was a freshman in high school, my team is in the divisional round. The rest of this postseason is playing with house money. "Why not us?" That's what I'm telling them if I'm DQ.

submitted 71 days ago • 0 comments

55 degrees probably feels amazing to the Commanders after the cold weather they've dealt with the past 3 weeks.

submitted 72 days ago • 0 comments

Getting light snow in parts of northern MD as we are caught between 850mb FGEN in central VA & 700mb FGEN in central PA. That 700mb in particular sports a deep DGZ & increasingly saturated RH area. It's making for an area of subsidence along the Mason-Dixon & southern PA for now

submitted 78 days ago • 0 comments

The swath of Winter Storm Warnings continues, now grow stretching from western Kansas to the shores of the Chesapeake Bay.

submitted 80 days ago • 1 comment

WSSI's close up look of the DC/Baltimore area for the event.

submitted 80 days ago • 0 comments

ECMWF EFI is now showing >0.95 in parts of northern Kansas and northern Missouri. Looking at an exceptional & highly disruptive winter storm in this area

submitted 80 days ago • 0 comments

Here's the latest WPC Key Messages from our overnight shift.

submitted 80 days ago • 0 comments

Been working on these Key Messages as part of my job at work on the dayshift the last few days. Although I'm off this weekend, I'll try to make sure these are shared on Bluesky each time they are issued

submitted 81 days ago • 1 comment

Situational awareness tools, like NAEFS, do a great job highlighting the anomalous setup of the impending winter storm. These factors provide added confidence in a storm that will bring impactful winter weather. Over the next 46-60 hours, the mesoscale factors will key in on which areas.

submitted 81 days ago • 0 comments

Can't recall a time in recent memory (maybe the event in central VA a few years back?) when I saw the ECMWF EFI put out that kind of usual snow signal over the Mid-Atlantic.

submitted 82 days ago • 1 comment

Here are the latest Key Messages regarding the impending winter storm this weekend and into early next week.

submitted 82 days ago • 0 comments

Sharing WPC's first set of Key Messages for this weekend's winter storm to Bluesky.

submitted 83 days ago • 1 comment

Washington needs to score a TD bad to start the second half. Atlanta should be doing nothing but running the ball every play in the second half.

submitted 85 days ago • 0 comments

Welp, gotta have a short memory. Jayden never saw him.

submitted 86 days ago • 0 comments

Lucked out on an illegal man down field...but hey, we'll take the TD where we can!

submitted 86 days ago • 0 comments

This is the most Vikings football I've watched all year. That's a different & better Sam Darnold.

submitted 86 days ago • 0 comments

Still looking at this evolving setup beyond day 10 as a potentially bigger storm along the East Coast. Obviously the details will change this far out. But the signals on ensembles remain steadfast on the potential at this range.

submitted 86 days ago • 0 comments