This is important. We - unfortunately - are likely to experience major problems. There is no need to exaggerate them and no political advantage to be gained from predicting them precisely.
Reposted from
Martha Gimbel
This is not to say there won’t be impacts even in the short-run. But in the most up to date data we have we’re just not seeing it yet. And I think it’s really important not to oversell how soon or how deep impacts will be felt because if we’re wrong…people will think there are no impacts at all
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