brettfox.bsky.social
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I wrote an entire book about preemption and prevention if you want to know more. /7x
www.amazon.com/Eve-Destruct...
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It's good that media are putting "preemptive" in scare quotes. They should. Because that's not this, unless the Israelis intend to show some immediate threat that had to be countered. But since they admit this will be a multi-day defanging of nuke sites, probably not gonna fly. /6
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This matters not only as a matter of law, but in the battle for global public opinion. Everyone wants to be "preemptive," no one wants to be the source of a preventive war - and for good reason, because prevention is morally and legally a lot shakier of a rationale. /5
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The reason everyone uses "preemptive" (as the US did in 2002 against Iraq) is that the word induces a presumption of active self-defense and immediate necessity. Again, you might agree with Israel's actions here, but they are NOT "preemption." /4
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What's going on right now are *preventive* strikes, which are usually NOT permissable in law or tradition. This is striking an enemy far in advance, because you believe time and situation is favorable to you. That, for example, is Japan striking the US in 1941. /3
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In tradition and international law, a "preemptive" attack is a spoiling attack, meant to strike an enemy who is *imminently* going to strike you. This is what Israel did in 1967, getting the jump on Arab armies that were about to attack. That's usually permissable. /2
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