dominiksteiger.bsky.social
Interested in politics and policy, science and health, the analogue going digital, and endemic delusion. Views my own.
2,154 posts
1,223 followers
2,286 following
Getting Started
Active Commenter
comment in response to
post
Btw SH is Schaffhausen, I confused the entries.
The negative ions produced by the Rheinfall lead to extraordinary longevity.
comment in response to
post
Tatsächlich.
comment in response to
post
If they wouldn't have had 2'000 deaths missing in the data for many months until adding them to the data beginning of March, without comment, I'd have trouble to believe that such a thing were possible.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
comment in response to
post
I interpreted that just for cause of deaths. I wouldn't know that hosp deaths have a separate reporting pathway. Also, in the worst pandemic, this never happened. "Sterblichkeitsstatistik" was the stable bedrock. (The fact of death reported to the Zivilstandsamt)
comment in response to
post
Craziest thing: they have the stats in the article:
In Obwalden and Schwyz they're practically immortal.
comment in response to
post
Tatsächlich a weng crazy
comment in response to
post
Yes and I've bought the CH Media source article (e.g. www.tagblatt.ch/leben/erwart...) in the meantime. It's the same there. They refer to the coming cause of death statistics, as if this were the point.
"tatsächlich verhältnismässig niedrig"
comment in response to
post
Wow we - and especially we 30-60 olds - will live forever, if these trends continue.
comment in response to
post
I'm quite convinced this is some system failure. No intention, no fakery. Lack of rigor.
comment in response to
post
It works, right? Last time they had around 2'000 deaths missing for many months and nobody noticed. No explanation ever came forth, as far as I know.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
comment in response to
post
Yes, absurd how they refer to the cause of death statistics (coming in 2026) for more clarity. They behave as if they really believe the data are correct.
comment in response to
post
Update: See this thread, it's now in the media, with most peculiar speculations.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
comment in response to
post
Here is the comparison of ASMR which shows that it is not a miracle cure (or a mysterious disappearance of deaths) but a data processing issue somewhere between death registries and statistical office
Of course, BFS should have flagged this just as it should have done end of last year ...
comment in response to
post
Btw, given that you do ASMR, can you pinpoint which age groups among the 0-64 are most miraculously cured? The effect is also present to some extent in 65+.
Or is the mortality deficit evenly distributed relative to age group mortality?
comment in response to
post
You will be interested in this thread, including Jean Fisch's comparison to Western European data at the bottom:
bsky.app/profile/domi...
comment in response to
post
comment in response to
post
FSO claims no changes...
www.20min.ch/story/schwei...
comment in response to
post
Und hier wunderbarer Vergleich von @jeanfisch.bsky.social zu unserem Wunder.
bsky.app/profile/jean...
comment in response to
post
And here a most helpful comparison of our miracle to European data by @jeanfisch.bsky.social
bsky.app/profile/jean...
comment in response to
post
And here a most helpful comparison of our miracle to European data by @jeanfisch.bsky.social
bsky.app/profile/jean...
comment in response to
post
Wow thanks for this!
It must be a Schweizer Sonderfall. Good that we never joined the EU.
comment in response to
post
Here is an excerpt article. FSO seems to say everything fine with data/reporting.
www.20min.ch/story/schwei...
comment in response to
post
BTW, poor Ticino seems excluded from the miracle.
comment in response to
post
Ich denke seit mehreren Monaten, dass ein Daten- bzw. Reportingproblem am wahrscheinlichsten ist.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
comment in response to
post
Of course I'm open to be shown some behavioral or medical miracle explaining the hundreds of saved souls.
Just also explain the ca. 2'000 missing deaths from end of last year that suddenly appeared in the data in March, while you're at it.
comment in response to
post
I mean, how can it be otherwise?
We had historic levels of excess mortality during the 2nd and following Covid waves, which is barely recognizable in the 0-64 curves.
And now mortality is down by a third, from one day to the next?
Not credible.
comment in response to
post
My opinion:
A very sudden, very pronounced, regionally uneven reduction of mortality in the 0-64 is very likely a data respectively acquisition system artifact.
Look at Zurich, for example.
comment in response to
post
Update: This is now object of media interest.
It's presented as a great mystery. Interestingly, nobody seems to mention the recent massive data correction.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
www.aargauerzeitung.ch/leben/erwart...
comment in response to
post
Update: This is now object of media interest.
It's presented as a great mystery. Interestingly, nobody seems to mention the recent massive data correction.
bsky.app/profile/domi...
www.aargauerzeitung.ch/leben/erwart...
comment in response to
post
Trend 10 gemessene Anlagen: 5↑, 2↓, 3→
comment in response to
post
P.S. Ist ja abgesehen davon nicht auszuschliessen, dass ein realer Inzidenzunterschied besteht.
Aber eine Änderung des Verhalten der Abwasserkalibrierungen von konstant ca. 1:1 plötzlich auf konstant 1:2 ist schon bemerkenswert.
comment in response to
post
Stimmt, die Schweiz hat als EU-Musterland gegen die Aufweichung von Schengen protestiert.
comment in response to
post
Ja, hab ich nicht so verstanden. @rv-enigma.bsky.social und mir ist nicht klar, warum es seit Frühling 2024 divergiert.
comment in response to
post
Ja, die deutschen Abwassermessungen.
comment in response to
post
Ich kann für die Schweiz bis anhin für die Periode, innert der ich Inzidenzen schätze, kein Auseinanderdriften von Sentinel-Detektionen und Viruslast im Abwasser feststellen. Deshalb habe ich keinen Grund, Anpassungen an der Schätzung vorzunehmen.
comment in response to
post
Das hat mit dem Verhalten der AMELAG-Werte und den daraus resultierenden Dunkelzifferschätzungen zu tun. Seit Frühling 2024 divergieren die Schätzungen. 2023 waren sie sehr ähnlich.
comment in response to
post
Gerne, Dir auch ein schönes Wochenende!
comment in response to
post
Godzilla vs. Mechanozilla would be another one
comment in response to
post
It currently looks like this:
comment in response to
post
For those who think this would be Covid: Explain that curve to me.
comment in response to
post
Offenbar nachhaltige Wiesn-Immunisierung.
comment in response to
post
Singapore Covid wave, update until week 22 2025.
Perhaps we've indeed passed the peak.
New seq data (last seq date May 16): No change to the conclusion that NB.1.8.1* cannot have driven this wave.
comment in response to
post
Singapore Covid wave, update until week 22 2025.
Perhaps we've indeed passed the peak.
New seq data (last seq date May 16): No change to the conclusion that NB.1.8.1* cannot have driven this wave.
comment in response to
post
Datenquellen:
bsky.app/profile/domi...