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garywmorehead.bsky.social
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Essential democracy reading: How will we know when we have lost our democracy? By Steven Levitsky, @lucanway.bsky.social, and @dziblatt.bsky.social. Gift link ⬇️ www.nytimes.com/2025/05/08/o...

www.courant.com/2025/04/20/r...

Another must-read on what to do about the GOP: More practical advice from @davetroy.com america2.news/democrats-do... #politics #USpolitics #polsky #politicssky

As the framers envisioned, the American form of government is a system of checks and shrugs.

About half of Trump's supporter really do want him to be a dictator. But that remains a minority of the country. In a sensible political system, they would hold a minority of power. We, unfortunately, have a non-sensible system. brightlinewatch.org/accelerated-...

The last General Election has seen much talk about Reform UK's popularity in so-called 'left-behind places, characterized by socioeconomic deprivation. Looking at variation in deprivation levels across the UK's constituencies suggests this pattern exists, but only partially. A short thread. 🧵

Given the minimal Electoral College advantage to either party, it might be a good time for a serious effort to ditch it in favor of a national popular vote.

This is exactly @eunjikim.bsky.social's research area. Reality TV shapes views about the American Dream: onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/... Police procedurals likely influence attitudes about the carceral state (work in progress) Entertainment TV has under-appreciated effects.

OK, for the further uninitiated (welcome new followers who may not be specialists): district magnitude (“M”) is the number of members elected from a district. Multiply the average M of a country’s districts by the total number of seats in its legislative chamber and you have the “seat product”!

I don’t know if everything Ezra Klein just posted on the bad site is right, but this part stuck out as accurately capturing the vibes era we’re in

At least not in modern history. This is the thing every “inflation” and “the economy” explanation needs to be able to explain.

Twitter is incapable of understanding this graph or the caption. Instead they read it as saying things like "the public is stupid" "the public should be happy about the economy right now" "the Democratic Party is really good at politics"

Even as small donors flooded in, campaign finance inequality hit record highs in 2024. For the first time, the top 0.01% (1 in 10K voters) share exceeds 50% of $s. The top 400 donors now exceed 25%. Citizens United opened the door, but soaring wealth inequality is what's driving these extremes.

Update on economic attitudes

Six Democratic vice-presidents in a row have subsequently been the nominee's party for president: LBJ, Humphrey, Mondale, Gore, Biden, Harris. The sequence of the last six Republican vice-presidents is Agnew (no), Ford (yes), GHW Bush (yes), Quayle (no), Cheney (no), Pence (no).

Nerd Christmas with the works of @steverogersinfo.bsky.social, @jacksantucci.bsky.social & @kjephd.bsky.social.

We have not fully internalized how much the Cold War held up bipartisanship in the U.S.

We are long-term better off with RFK, Jill Stein, Andrew Yang, etc, etc, etc, etc, etc, on the ballot **with party designation** than we are by forcing disaffection through the funnel of ‘independent politics.’ This is coming from a person who plans to vote for none of them.

Two words: CONGRESSIONAL DORMITORY

Absolutely bonkers. We’ve totally lost the plot over temporarily higher <single digit> inflation, amidst an unprecedented recovery & far superior economic performance than our peers. But the “malaise & inflation” Narrative™️ got locked in & we never recovered. www.intereconomics.eu/contents/yea...

Re-reading old sources to help someone out. I am always struck by how political science and reform-practice used to overlap.

Example of butterfly effect in STV (www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...), explanation of Cambridge ‘random draw of precincts’ 👇 archive.today/2023.11.22-1...

What do mean, things worked out great for the Poles in the 18th century

An unusual off-hand remark for a US President today: "There comes a time maybe every 6, 8 generations where the world changes in a very short time. We are at that time now, and I think what happens in the next 2-3 years is going to determine what the world looks like for the next 5 or 6 decades."

It seems to me that the time is ripe for a Bluesky thread about how—and maybe even why—to befriend crows. (1/n)

In a weird nomination season the curve is nonetheless bending almost exactly where it has in recent cycles right around Sept 1.

Having held a small hope for 3 weeks that the least conservative US House Rs might finally stop covering for the slide to authoritarianism in DC, “where do we go from here” for PR is to the states, particularly the swing states, & cities & counties. Until the chair is vacated again this Congress.😉

This was a difficult one for me to write. I spent a long time as an enthusiastic supporter for ranked choice voting. Now I see a more limited role for it. Changing one's views is not easy. Writing about it is even harder. leedrutman.substack.com/p/how-i-upda...

Was a pleasure to be Interviewed about my recent work as a fellow at Yale ISPS: isps.yale.edu/news/blog/20...

It should make us sad that the probability of one party winning the popular vote for the presidency is ~80% www.betfair.com/exchange/plu... when the probability of that party winning the election is ~50% www.betfair.com/exchange/plu...

Friendly reminder that council size can be increased instead. https://www.inquirer.com/politics/election/philadelphia-city-council-working-families-party-republicans-at-large-legal-challenge-20230816.html