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oldsovetlog.bsky.social
I study (agrarian) politics in the former Soviet states. Long-term policy advisor in Russia, Ukraine, Georgia, Tajikistan. Resident director of 5 USAID-funded projects. Democratic institutions are hard to build and keep. Berkeley PolSci PhD eons ago.
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thinking about the USCT's medal uses probably the most badass latin phrase. Ferro iis libertas perveniet "Freedom Will be Theirs by the Sword"

That white women enslavers weren’t just as, if not more, brutal & complicit in chattel slavery. (There were legal maneuvers to ensure the only “property” white women inherited were the family slaves.)

Trump is in some ways a villain from a fairy tale. You have make yourself grotesque in some way to serve him. For men, he emasculates you and makes you a servile dog, taking a picture of himself with you where he smirks and you look sunk. for women, he mutilates your face

Chatbots — LLMs — do not know facts and are not designed to be able to accurately answer factual questions. They are designed to find and mimic patterns of words, probabilistically. When they’re “right” it’s because correct things are often written down, so those patterns are frequent. That’s all.

Zelensky has said seeing as Donald won't send Ukraine weapons, can he at least give Russia SpaceX rockets instead.

Stopping Russian construction of the Bushere nuclear power plant was a loud objective of US policy for at least a decade. Bombing it seems bad for multiple reasons, though.

Outrageous seems too nice at this point.

Undocumented immigrants can't vote. They don't vote for Democrats because they can't vote. Democrats don't look the other way to let them into the country for votes, because, again: they can't vote. If you are a news org and people tell you otherwise, it's a lie, and you should call it that.

At this point observers say the only thing holding Trump back from launching an attack on the Iran is concern that US technology isn't up to the job and that it will fail to eliminate the nuclear sites. Trump is said to be fearful of being seen as impotent in the eyes of the world.

Former Californian here who STILL managed to give himself heatstroke in a German summer. This is good advice.

Also heatwave in the Eastern US and I used to live in Las Vegas and this thread is excellent advice. I'd add: synthetics are fine if they are technical fabrics If you must go outside cover your body. Sunshirts and hats work. Also drink some /more/ water. And get some electrolytes in there.

AFAIK, Trump still hasn’t decided whether or not to commit US forces to openly join Israel’s attack on Iran. But I wake up this AM thinking about the three post-2003 cases of regime-change wars of choice we all know about: Afghanistan, Iraq and Ukraine.

Outrageous: ICE agents arrested a former U.S. Army interpreter who risked his life aiding American troops in Afghanistan, right after his asylum hearing in San Diego. The interpreter legally entered the U.S. after the 2021 withdrawal from Afghanistan.

Nothing is a distraction when every Trump/Republican action is fascism in motion. 🤬

20-year-old U.S. citizen Adrian Andrew Martinez was swarmed by ICE in Pico Rivera while defending someone. He never hit back—just struggled—before being slammed into a CBP van. No records. No lawyer. His mom can’t find him. This is abuse of power. Keep recording. Don’t stop.

I’m not sure I would ask them that. I suspect I know their answer, and I don’t want my suspicion confirmed.

2025 Levada Institute poll in Russia asking for the greatest person of all time and all peoples. Open-ended (name your own). Only non-Russians are Einstein and Newton. Brezhnev is on the list, but not Sakharov. Stalin first, Putin second. (Trump will be jealous.)

The Times reports that NATO changed the format of President Zelensky’s participation at the summit in The Hague because of Trump. www.thetimes.com/article/83cc...

The TL;DR on Whiskey Pete's testimony before SASC: He admitted he was switching the names of bases back to honor traitors. Markwayne Mullin basically said the invasion of CA is revenge for integration. Whiskey Pete defended promoting an antisemite to be DOD spox.

🧵IR scholars, let's start a thread of what we know that's relevant for a US attack on Iran. Won't change any minds, but might help us teach this crisis and learn new angles. Please add (incl. your own work!), forgive/correct omissions. Nobody can cover everything and it's great to find new work. 1/?

Surprise! Yes, this is a new article as of the moment I’m reposting it. I had to check the date, though.

OTD - June 18 1979 Leonid Brezhnev and Jimmy Carter sign the Strategic Arms Limitation Talks II agreement, limiting each sides strategic forces to 2,250 delivery vehicles, in all categories of vehicle. This was the first nuclear arms treaty which brought a real reduction in the

Twenty years ago the Republican party stood for huge tax cuts for the rich and wars of choice in the middle east, but then Donald Trump totally remade the party and realigned American poltiics, and now the Republica party stands for...huge tax cuts for the rich and wars of choice in the middle east.

MAGA wants to cut SNAP to punish the poor and free up money for tax cuts for billionaires. Big food processing companies will be collateral damage from the cruelty. www.foodbusinessnews.net/articles/284...

Kristi Noem is receiving state of the art medical care including vitamin C injections, bleeding, trepanation, purging to adjust her humors, radium water, and heroic doses of calomel.

Sheinbaum gifted Carney a football, he said that Mexico, Canada and the other co-host are very excited about the upcoming World Cup.

If random men in masks claiming to be ICE agents try to grab me, and they’re *not* really ICE, I have the legal right to defend myself against them, yes? And if they are ICE, I don’t? So how am I supposed to tell the difference? I’m supposed to give my masked kidnappers the benefit of the doubt??

NYT just reported Trump considering using a 30,000 lb bomb on an “Iranian nuclear site.” Aside from the death and maiming, the legal ramifications and how easy it is to start wars and how hard to stop them, what kind of an environmental disaster could that cause?

I wonder if I’ll ever get used to seeing the White House not only tweet like a garden-variety lying troll, but routinely use profanity in the process. Dignity and honor, thy name is not MAGA.

Gull Dukat. Another one of those mental images I had to exorcise by drawing it. #art #StarTrek #DS9

♥️ So funny!! Brilliant @ejeancarroll.bsky.social

Altamont. This lesson was learned a half-century ago.

True.

Periodic reminder to be gentle on yourself. Everything is insane. And overwhelming. And unprecedented. And terrifying. It’s normal to go a little crazy in a crazy bad situation. You are allowed to forgive yourself for being imperfect.

Future historians -- if there are any -- will just be shaking their damn heads that the world's alleged leading democracy is actually pushing "regime change" in a foreign country to enable another, law-flouting foreign country.

A childhood in Kyiv today. Instead of a thousand words.