srhelicity.bsky.social
Meteorologist (B.S., M.S., Ph.D.).
All views my own
214 posts
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I should have mentioned that the CC and Z *could* be biological (tho typically see more azmthl varblty in CC and ZDR in bio), but velocity (everywhere closer to 0, much less than the wind) & SW (also v low, indicating little variability in velocities in radar volumes) hints at ground/sea clutter
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Is Conrad in this pic?
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Just to be clear (heh!), here's the current visible satellite imagery showing just some cirrus and maybe some altocumulus over the northwestern Gulf. Our standard dual-pol products (e.g., correlation coefficient) show that these are all non-meteorological echoes as well.
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Can see the tremendous inversion on the CRP and, to a little less extent, LCH soundings this morning. I wonder if the additional "rings" farther out are 2nd & 3rd hit of the ocean after EM forward scatters off ocean sfc once, then gets bent and hits sfc again a 2nd time. Prop path like (Radar)/\x/\x
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🎶 where the watermelons grow...🎶
(Doesn't have the same ring to it)
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Tell Gemini or whatever to put that reflectivity image on the back of an old minivan a la the stick-figure family stickers
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I suspect the phase 2 Agency Reorg and RIF Plan (ARRP), which is due next week, mirrors this budget request or at least is consistent with it. They wouldn't go through reorg and RIF if the plan is to cut the budget like this in 6 months. I read this as a tell for what DOC's ARRP is, in which case...
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Rorschach test...
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I imagine it's hard to free staff when flood and severe warning operations continue today and through the next several days, and the ensuing cleanup efforts make assessments that follow days/weeks later harder I'd think.
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In the Plains, we'd see that and think about cold pools, stabilization, etc. What separates the types of events? Trop cyclones and many SE US events can support supercells embedded in a mess of rain, but we don't see, at least in my experience (anecdotes != good data), it very often in the Plains.
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I say "since 2018" -- I mean since the same date in 2018 (so 3/28/2018-3/28/2025). This would include the 6/20 (#8) and 9/12 (#6) events that occurred in 2018.
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The period of record is ~73 years, so the most recent ~7 year period (since early 2018) represents ~10% of the period of record. Despite that, it's interesting that 6 of the top 10 highest daily rainfall amounts have occurred in the past 7 years (since 2018).
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But which one?
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🎶🎷🎶
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Powerman 5000 is so disappointed by this...
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I'm on Maui now. Any chance it'll get tall enough for me to see if from Lahaina? 🙃
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Actually meant to post this to clarify the point
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Zoomed out and thought "sure, sure, just a damaging tornado associated with a relatively non-descript supercell embedded in a bunch of stratiform rain...
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Tony has a nice animation of this extremely unfortunate situation bsky.app/profile/tlyz...
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New MD for this storm
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Also, I'm still amazed that I can watch things unfold as I ride at ~550 mph westbound near 36k ft over the southwestern US...
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I mean, this fire outbreak is something else right now ...
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Meant to include the true color to better illustrate where the dust/dirt is....