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tatarigami.bsky.social
Former UA officer Founder of the Frontelligence Insight: https://frontelligence.substack.com To support my work: http://buymeacoffee.com/frontelligence
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A bit of good news - after a sharp price increase driven by events in Iran and the potential threat of a Hormuz Strait blockade, crude oil prices have started to decline. Given the discounted rate at which Russia sells, the best scenario if the prices will stay around $60

Six military trucks were set on fire by unknown in Germany, with footage of the sabotage surfacing on Russian Telegram channels. It’s wise not to rush to conclusions about who’s behind it, but such weak media coverage is quite puzzling

You might find this picture morbid or eerie- odd in its own way, with unsettling details. Why is there a body on a door? Why is there no casket? And why is this happening in a lawn? It's a short story - one that makes the distant, abstract feeling of war suddenly tangible:

When asked if Putin has ambitions beyond Ukraine, Trump said, "it's possible" Germany’s chief of defence warns of a possible Russian attack within 4 years President Zelensky said Russia might attack a NATO country within 5 years The best prevention is to stop Russia in Ukraine

There’s reason to believe Russia’s military and political leadership may assume the same logic applies if they move into parts of the Baltics. After all, why would people in Spain, Greece, Italy, or Portugal risk nuclear war over Daugavpils or Klaipeda?

Our team delivers free, in-depth reports on the Ukraine-Russia war—based on documents, interviews, data, and satellite imagery, all peer-reviewed. Cited by Financial Times, Forbes, The Telegraph, and more. Get 2–4 reports a month, straight to your inbox frontelligence.substack.com

The head of Russia’s Central Bank, Elvira Nabiullina, gave a candid take: growth over the past two years came from tapping idle resources - unused labor, spare capacity, bank capital, and the Wealth Fund. Her warning: “Many of these resources are now truly exhausted” Source: t.co/OSsHhbuqHt

One thing Bluesky is clearly behind X on (despite all of X’s flaws) is the echo chamber effect. So far, it looks like a niche space. Not necessarily a bad thing, but when it comes to discussing analysis, users here tends to reinforce their beliefs. Not quite Truth Social, but you get the idea

21st-Century Dragoons: Dissecting Russia’s Motorcycle Assault Tactics 🧵Thread with key findings from Frontelligence Insight analysis on Russia’s Motorcycle Assault Groups: structure, tactics, training, equipment, battlefield performance, and the conditions that enabled them

This is the result of a Russian missile hit that damaged a civilian train today, carrying regular people, including the elderly, women, and kids. Sadly, people get used to seeing stuff like this, and it won't be all over the news. Don’t let it fade. Keep showing Russia's crimes

Based on publicly available footage, the Patriot air defense system has shown impressive performance against the Iranian missile attack. With Russia approaching a production rate of 200 missiles per month, the need for additional systems in Ukraine is becoming increasingly urgent