If this is right, you can see Putin’s play, the outlines of which have been obvious for some time.

Make a demand European powers (let alone Ukraine) will be extremely reluctant to accept. Drive an even bigger wedge US and Europe... https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-03-18/putin-is-said-to-want-all-arms-to-ukraine-halted-for-trump-truce

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