one thing that is wild is that its easier for people to believe in the end of the world than it is for them to believe in the end of the 6th Party System
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Just hedging a bit given all the twists of the last ten years. But yeah, the crisis is already starting, though it may take a while (or not a while) for the general population to really feel the effects.
I hope so. I'm not sure it will be for a sufficient number of people. I think the effects of disintegrating the IRS and SSA are going to be the real turning points for a lot more people.
Almost any major change to the political landscape, which is wild considering some of the changes that have happened *in living memory* or just in the last ten years
When people from our parents generation talk about liberals ruining California, it's because they long for days that it was the state of Nixon and Reagan!
Thankfully my parents never really have been like that, but yeah. Ultimately though I think they just want to be 24 again and hot, which is impossible but that's part of the problem as well. It's not policy they care about it's change and their approaching death.
This is the reason I follow you because all my electives were in IR and I just learned today that we are in the 6th Party System (also because we're internet friends and you are cool in other ways)
taps the Francis Fukuyama sign (someone I have mixed feelings on, but that is life)
if we take his wordplay seriously, which is also the wordplay of earlier people like Plato. Then we will also see that the challenger of Zeus, the violent Spirited Storm Monster-God is from the same wordplay.
Really even the first HALF of that of that sentence is wild. I have become perpetually astonished at how easy it is for regular people to believe in the end of the world.
Well the actual evangelical Christian "end times," sure, some folks. Or other religious scenarios like that. But I'm more talking about the believers in the imminent death of the US of A, etc. CIVIC eschatology, maybe. 🙃
I maintain that Francis II did not have the authority to dissolve the Holy Roman Empire in 1806 and it therefore still exists as at least a nominal continuation of OG Rome. Some dumbass Hapbsburg or other is MY emperor.
The other thing is just that like - things will not get worse forever, but there may never be a point where the USA gets to a better place than it was in in 2023.
Part of the problem is that their beliefs often track together -- that if the USA changes in a particular way that they anticipate, that they won't be able to avoid literally dying
And it is one hundred percent true that they WON'T be able to avoid literally dying. This is true in all cases. But people need to understand how relatively rare it is for you, personally, to die Because of the News. (Covid notwithstanding!)
Yeah like, I think they know nobody lives forever, but there are people (and not even just the currently harshly marginalized or oppressed people, who I wouldn't blame) who would agree with this statement on a survey:
"Do you worry that you could be killed by your government at any moment?"
It seems to be something like conventional folk wisdom on here that the United States stands at the verge of violent anarchy and/or brutal repression. And wow yeah the news really sucks I agree but let's simmer down there.
Oh absolutely yeah. All of that. But I'm talking about people who leap from that to "we will be shot in the streets". Like, everything's plenty gloomy without all THAT, thanks.
Nearing the end of the 5th by my count
Founders (Washington-JQ Adams, 40 yr + 8 yr AofC)
Jacksonian (Jackson-Grant, 48 yr)
Post Reconstruction (Hayes-Hoover, 52 yr)
New Deal (F Roosevelt-Carter, 48 yr)
Gov't is the Problem (Reagan-Trump, 48 yr?)
So many of the same people and arguments are involved when they have a do-over that it clumps politically quite neatly with the earliest period of the US, before Jackson changed everything.
Wild that they look back at Trump 1 as a reason to think there’s no consequences for anything when even then the GOP saw an 8-year House majority overturned in a landslide, lost the Senate despite the absurdly titled Class I seats in 2018, and had the first incumbent president defeated in 28 years.
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It's happening *now*. This is the start of the crisis.
if we take his wordplay seriously, which is also the wordplay of earlier people like Plato. Then we will also see that the challenger of Zeus, the violent Spirited Storm Monster-God is from the same wordplay.
may Justice Be Done, even if The Heavens Fall
"Do you worry that you could be killed by your government at any moment?"
because accepting that this is not the rapture would mean i am not significant and mortal, just a note in a long, unending song
Founders (Washington-JQ Adams, 40 yr + 8 yr AofC)
Jacksonian (Jackson-Grant, 48 yr)
Post Reconstruction (Hayes-Hoover, 52 yr)
New Deal (F Roosevelt-Carter, 48 yr)
Gov't is the Problem (Reagan-Trump, 48 yr?)
2. Bill of Rights Constitution
3. Reconstruction
4. Progressive Amendments/New Deal
5. Civil Rights (current and arguably longest)