Reuters reporting Iran has agreed citing a senior official. www.reuters.com/world/middle... - ThreadSky

peark.es • 7 days ago

Reuters reporting Iran has agreed citing a senior official.

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/trump-announces-israel-iran-ceasefire-2025-06-23/

Comments

peark.es•7 days ago

Remarkable how wrong concerns over escalation/major conflict have been from the moment Israel attacked Iran, and at every subsequent step. To say that wouldn’t have been my expectation is understating it dramatically.

captbob.bsky.social•7 days ago

When the tide goes out you can see which paper tigers were swimming naked

bosh.worstpossible.world•7 days ago

idk man we don’t still have formal confirmation from either government and trump has a long history of just saying some shit. until iran announces their end of it i’m not buying anything

memphis11.bsky.social•7 days ago

What's your longer term expectation wrt Iran?

comtnguy.bsky.social•7 days ago

In the short term, yes. In the medium to long term, the risk of Iran having nukes appears to be higher than it was 2 weeks ago.

ce2024.bsky.social•7 days ago

Right, it seems pretty obvious that this whole saga depends on if Iran's nuclear program got majorly disrupted or not. If not, it was an insane risk for no benefit.

bryanmcavoy.bsky.social•7 days ago

Whole news cycles now pass in minutes. Definitely give it some time.

spx.fyi•7 days ago

https://bsky.app/profile/fintwitter.bsky.social/post/3lscwsdac5b2h

spx.fyi•7 days ago

spx.fyi•7 days ago

btw just for the record: the attack
on Tehran I said is still happening
as it is literally going on right now

spx.fyi•7 days ago

cavityjob.bsky.social•7 days ago

Weren't you actively downplaying the likelihood of the US striking Iranian nuclear facilities?

coffeeaddict.bsky.social•7 days ago

Iran being a paper tiger was a bit of a shock!

mootquestion.bsky.social•7 days ago

Don’t fall into hindsight bias. Just because we survived doesn’t mean the risk wasn’t real

dmtcyt.bsky.social•7 days ago

reminds me of the takes when Russia first attacked Ukraine (“it’ll be over in three days”)

catherinedill.bsky.social•7 days ago

For immediate conflict, yes, but I think concerns about longer term risks are still valid. We are in a worse nonproliferation position (depending on what damage assessments one relies on), and not just with regard to Iran.

danielwaites.bsky.social•7 days ago

We will see I guess. A ceasefire is not the same as the end of a war. It started via surprise attack in the middle of negotiations with the US so anything is possible.

kootafoot.bsky.social•7 days ago

Armchairs don't always last that long... This whole thing appears too tidy but then...

kkarrla.bsky.social•7 days ago

It has been a natural experiment

thethermidorian.bsky.social•7 days ago

On Saturday night I literally said to my mother, "Iran's going to fire some missiles and that'll be that." My back is sore from all the patting I've been doing to it today.

obviousanswer.bsky.social•6 days ago

I'm sorry George but not even 3hrs from your last message. Not even an hour from the "cease fire."

https://bsky.app/profile/fintwitter.bsky.social/post/3lsczokxf542v

obviousanswer.bsky.social•7 days ago

Lol. Dawg, we're a week into this. We might want to give it a few more before we declare all to be done and over. Wild to see how many people now treating Trump and his admin as reliable resources all of a sudden.

obviousanswer.bsky.social•7 days ago

https://bsky.app/profile/fintwitter.bsky.social/post/3lscrbl6t3l2h

drgrat.bsky.social•7 days ago

obviousanswer.bsky.social•7 days ago

https://bsky.app/profile/fintwitter.bsky.social/post/3lscsicxyct22

hafnerr.bsky.social•7 days ago

Just because one outcome came to fruition does not mean it was likely, or that other outcomes were not possible.

tknarr.bsky.social•6 days ago

I think it'll come down to what Netanyahu wants to do. I haven't heard anything about word from Israel on a cease-fire, and they're the ones with an interest and firepower to back it up. Although sanity from BiBi's been notably lacking recently.

pppgrifter.bsky.social•7 days ago

A lot of money to be made if you knew the news ahead of time.

canarydied.bsky.social•7 days ago

It was pretty clear from before the US got involved that Iran didn’t have the capability to strike back

r1ng1ngbell.bsky.social•6 days ago

The whole thing reeks of BS. Who gives a heads up when they’re about to attack?!? And this is the 2nd time that Iran has done so. The whole thing feels staged.

walmsley.bsky.social•7 days ago

I kinda don't see how this is sustainable for the Iranian government. if you can get kicked around by the US and Israel and fold without substantive retaliation, what does the populace actually get for putting up with you?

isaiahbishop.bsky.social•7 days ago

its not even obvious khameni is alive tbh. Like the iranian regime is just in a very very weak state rn

spx.fyi•7 days ago

deus01.bsky.social•7 days ago

Now we can go back to forgetting tariffs exist

mootquestion.bsky.social•7 days ago

But see: https://bsky.app/profile/yasharali.bsky.social/post/3lsctxrrzvk2y

travfoster.bsky.social•7 days ago

I can’t decide who has the paper tiger championship belt…Russia or Iran.

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