If the confederacy had won and by winning I don’t just mean gained independence but forced their will upon the rest of the Union, at that point would a state be able in your eyes to leave the ‘Union’ and return to the ideals of America? Or would they be forever chained to the Confederacy?
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But some of us will have to spend some time thinking about how best to preserve the ideals of America for us and our own.
Alternatively you could see states refusing to recognize the legitimacy of the president which would be very close to secession.