adammessinger.bsky.social
42 posts
132 followers
160 following
Regular Contributor
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I saw this today. Nice work from @cesifoti.bsky.social!
oec.world/en/tariff-si...
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Many moving parts that are working at different time scales. Tariff is immediate, so prices rise. Some more geared than others, some more substitutable than others. At some point later, new factories are built and mines are dug. Equilibrium when? Hard to solve analytically!
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Just that the other half of the Twitter refugees are there. Would be better if they were all in one place. Functionality wise it is essentially identical.
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What's the limiting factor in getting there faster?
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Do you have any simulation results that could help predict the impact of US tariffs? Even holding aside retaliation, the tariffs will likely have a series of impacts — would be great to know what they might be!
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All the pumice in Taupo made a big impression on me as a kid — throw a rock in from the beach and it just floats! Coromandel also neat — hot springs in the beach. And Bay of Islands — it’s remarkably tropical up in Northland!
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Potatoes don't fear the reaper.
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Yep, there are a lot of folks doing pre-fab, especially at ADU sizes, for whatever reason there doesn't seem to be much interest in kits.
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Not just this, but they should be subject to stricter laws than the general public. They would earn much more respect if they followed the military and held themselves to something like the UCMJ and had their own court martial process that was tougher than civilian court.
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Very little native vegetation remains on the most productive land, so the transition is all kind of water under the bridge. At this point it seems like what matters is the difference in the ongoing practices? And it seems like there is a big difference between the best and worst there.
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Certainly not all types of crop production are equally nature-friendly though. The nuance matters a good deal.
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Is it as straightforward as putting more batteries at each of these curtailment sites?
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Doesn’t congestion pricing make driving better (though more expensive)? I mean, I’m all for it on that basis that we should tax externalities, but one of the effects is that people who can afford it don’t sit in as much traffic.
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As people get richer, transit need to get better to compete with the other options folks now have. I think the only way to avoid this is to continue to make transit better — faster, but also safer — as the neighborhood improves.
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Looks like Intech recently took down their Market Stress Monitor, but here is their most recent blog post on it.
www.intechinvestments.com/q3-2024-equi...
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I think we should make them fastest, easiest, cheapest by making them that way, not by kneecapping the alternatives! Besides, the original post on this thread (by Zipper) says self-driving cars will create "traffic-snarled cities" which seems like a great way to get people to look for a faster path!
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Sure, advocate FOR Paris style bike lanes. Agree that they seem great. But that's different than advocating AGAINST self-driving cars.
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Self-driving cars seem strictly better from a safety perspective, so we should take that win. Even while we also advocate for congestion pricing, mileage taxes, gas taxes, tire additive bans, or whatever the case may be.
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I think they are separate issues and should be largely advocated for separately. I think that YIMBY has been effective because it focusses on housing alone and has tried not to get sucked into related issues (e.g. labor or environment).
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I think we want to keep a bit tent for safety and not tie progress there to other environmental goals. I think YIMBY has done a good job on this for housing and I think it’s been pretty effective.
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Yea. I think safety is what will eventually make it a no brainer. Once it’s clear that they kill pedestrians at a much lower rate than human drivers then the public will demand them. Easy for me to imagine this flipping pretty quickly and they just become mandatory for safety reasons.
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Do you think that kid would have gotten there via bike or bus otherwise? If the alternative is a parent doing drop off, then the Waymo likely has less deadhead?
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I’m not going to defend Teslas self driving. They are irresponsible jerks. But like I said, Waymo seems way better than the average human already and continues to improve. Humans on the other hand seem to get worse every year.
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What I can say from walking around SF is that Waymos seem to do this way less than humans do. They seem by far the most cautious drivers on the road.
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The out of sync driving sounds like another reason they will slow things down! That will help pedestrian safety too.
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In cities at least I think they’ll mostly replace Uber rather than inducing new demand. And they do have the nice property (at for Waymo) of following the speed limit. In this way they are a sort of “rolling traffic calming”.
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I think it would allow us to mute more freely since we know it isn’t forever (yes, I know you can unmute someone, but who does that?)
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Don't forget he's also juiced to the gills on TRT!
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I think @walkbikeberk.bsky.social would be very happy if there were more speed bumps. You seem to be fighting with the wrong people.
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Note too that Sophie Hahn was aware of the problem.
x.com/adam_messing...