adamsobel.bsky.social
Atmospheric scientist
53 posts
6,743 followers
104 following
Prolific Poster
Conversation Starter
comment in response to
post
Here is the correct link to the full statement: bit.ly/3XqJs7L
comment in response to
post
On tonight's Science in Action, climate scientist @adamsobel.bsky.social lets loose on the NOAA raid, the restrictions revealed in Wired's scoop, and his fears for the damage that may done to climate science more generally in coming months/years.
bsky.app/profile/wire...
comment in response to
post
Does it stand any chance?
comment in response to
post
I'm not sure how effective a set of voluntary standards on private models will be if the modelers are not interested in being evaluated or compared. Users would have to demand it, I suspect (as opp to academics calling for it). I'd be in favor of trying though!
comment in response to
post
Sure but who has the authority to impose standards and benchmarks if govt is unable or uninterested?
comment in response to
post
It's def time. Q is how to do it. It's hard to do operational things at scale from academia, govt so far hasn't really found a good way to support it (and next 4 yrs don't look good) and if one takes private money then there will be pressure to close the IP. Hence we need to organize.
comment in response to
post
IMO the way to go is to build up the climate risk modeling capability in the public sector, where intercomparison and openness are the norm. I don't think there's another feasible way out of the opaque wild west situation we currently have.
comment in response to
post
Indeed @simonameiler.bsky.social picked it up and did a great job, whatever was doable with a few academic models. But any near-future effort will still have to contend with the fact that most clim risk models are private and most vendors see little incentive to intercompare.
comment in response to
post
Sorry I've been gone a while. Indeed we tried in 2017 ish to do a TC intercomparison with both public and private models. Fell apart when the top private vendors pulled out (after we agreed to do everything they wanted to accommodate IP concerns).
comment in response to
post
Thanks Kelly!
comment in response to
post
You too! Some people appreciate the direct approach, it's not everyone's cup of tea...
comment in response to
post
Sorry I kind of dropped off this site for a while, sorry for the slow reply. Much appreciate the kind words. Yes, I wrote that line, and my co-authors and the reviewers somehow all let it stay in, somewhat to my surprise :)
comment in response to
post
Thank you!
comment in response to
post
Thank you!
comment in response to
post
Thank you!
comment in response to
post
Thanks Alyssa!
comment in response to
post
Thank you Kelly 🙏. Your work is an inspiration.
comment in response to
post
Thanks Fran!