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argohdes.bsky.social
Studying repression, the internet, and contentious politics. Professor @thehertieschool. Consultant @hrdag. she/her. Wrote a book on repression in the digital age: https://www.anitagohdes.net/book.html
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Prolific Poster

I'm very happy that we were able to rerun our 2022 conjoint experiment on Ukrainians' attitudes towards the war and its brutal tradeoffs in Dec '24/Jan '25. See below article in Foreign Affairs for a summary. More details in our (short) working paper here www.carlmueller-crepon.org/publication/...

Wie gut war unsere zweistimme.org Vorhersage der Bundestagswahl 2025? Zweitstimme: 0.78 Prozentpunkte im Mittel daneben. Erststimme: 270/299 Wahlkreise korrekt vorhergesagt. Unseren Blog-Post dazu: zweitstimme.org/posts/blog/e...

Want to learn about computational social science *for free* and launch interdisciplinary research projects? We are so excited to announce there will be *26* Summer Institutes in Computational Social Science this year! Apply to one of them here: sicss.io/locations

Three years of full-scale war. 🇺🇦

So massive swaths of social media prioritized right-wing content in the run-up to elections, incl Musk supporting the AfD, yet it looks like results for AfD are not higher than predicted. I’m no expert on elections but wondering what that tells us about limits of direct social media influence?

Wir haben gestern lange darüber gesprochen was wir tun würden wenn Autoritäre und Faschisten die Macht übernehmen. Behält man Stellen in Bürokratie und Wissenschaft, wandert man aus, wie würde man Widerstand organisieren? Als Deutscher kennt man diese Fragen. Man hat sie häufig rückblickend ... 1/

True that the silence of establishment (much less progressive) opposition leaders in a moment like this is truly exceptional in comparative context. Perhaps a function of the still-powerful yet misplaced sense of American exceptionalism that still dominates elite circles.

Remember a fake video in October that showed a fake poll worker destroying pro-Trump election ballots in Pennsylvania? There's now a copycat fake video with the same script about the German election, showing a fake poll worker destroying election ballots for the AfD in Hamburg.

Unsere Umfragedaten mit @oonuch.bsky.social, Volodymyr Kulyk & Henry Hale zeigen, wie irrsinnig Trumps ausgedachte 4% Zustimmung für Selenskyj sind. Zahlreiche Umfragen in der #Ukraine bestätigen dies. wir bieten noch ein paar Extradetails.Siehe hier @zois.bsky.social ⬇️ #fightingdesinformation

Happy to share my latest article co-authored with Janjira Sombatpoonsiri and Tyler Williams, published in Democratization.

📢 Call for applications: Professor of Military Strategy and Technology @hertieschool.bsky.social is hiring! We're seeking a top scholar in military strategy, tech, & defence-industrial production. Interdisciplinary expertise is a plus. 🔹 Apply by 19 March 2025: apply.interfolio.com/163523

"TikTok displayed the greatest right-wing skew, per its findings — showing right-leaning content 74% of the time." techcrunch.com/2025/02/19/s...

Wikipedia ist vielen Autokraten ein Dorn im Auge. Der Tagesspiegel berichtet nun über geplante Angriffe aus den USA - dazu auch eine Einschätzung von mir zum gefährlichen Trend des "Doxing" und anderer Formen der digitalen Repression: www.tagesspiegel.de/internationa...

We're hiring a Professor of Military Strategy and Technology @hertieschool.bsky.social @hertiesecurity.bsky.social! More details here: apply.interfolio.com/163523

"Where is our outcry?" Two German universities have recently canceled events featuring UN Special Rapporteur Francesca Albanese. ISABEL FEICHTNER writes in a letter to international law scholars in Germany: time to speak up! verfassungsblog.de/where-is-our...

A large group of civil society and research orgs (incl the WiKo Berlin) have written a statement on the unprecedented political pressure on the FU Berlin to cancel the public lecture of Francesca Albanese and Prof. Eyal Weizman. www.freitag.de/autoren/der-... (scroll down for English version)

Come work with us in Berlin!

We're hiring a Professor of Military Strategy and Technology @hertieschool.bsky.social @hertiesecurity.bsky.social! More details here: apply.interfolio.com/163523

Deadline end of this week. These are great jobs - take a peek if you’re on the academic job market and consider applying! If you have questions feel free to get in contact.

Democracy researchers please take note, and tell relevant colleagues: The Dep. of Pol. Sci. in Gothenburg is hiring a new Director for the V-Dem Institute. The Director will also serve as permanent (tenured) member of the Dep., with reduced teaching responsibilities during their tenure as Director.

Die Forderungen, die Veranstaltung mit Dr. @franceskalbs.bsky.social und Dr. Eyal Weizmann @forensicarchi.bsky.social abzusagen, werden lauter und schriller. Sie werden von Personen artikuliert, die über die letzten Monate immer wieder mit Impulsen aufgefallen sind, ihnen unliebsame Veranstaltungen

www.foreignaffairs.com/united-state... This is by far the best, clearest and most realistic analysis of what we're in for that I've seen.

Master's and advanced BA students looking for a part-time dive into think tank work on futures analysis and Eastern/South-East Europe, take a look:

I was interviewed alongside Palestinian scholars in the west bank, Gaza, and the US about where Palestinians go from here www.nytimes.com/2025/02/08/o...

“An effective strategy would combine legal, institutional, and civil resistance methods to advance the pro-democratic agenda. It would spell out a positive and optimistic vision for the country, rather than a defensive strategy.”

NEW: Disinformation is fueling fear and division in Syria’s new political landscape. In a thorough analysis, @noura.bsky.social breaks down the emergent trends in disinformation in Syria as well as the actors and tactics shaping the narrative. Read more: timep.org/2025/01/30/t...

Big congratulations to Masanori Kikuchi!

The 2024 Best Visualization Award goes to Masanori Kikuchi (Washington University in St. Louis) for his article ‘How does war affect cultural tolerance? Evidence from concert programs, 1900-60’. Congratulations to the author!

🎉 Thrilled beyond words! As a master’s student, I dreamed of publishing in JPR. Never did I imagine winning the Best Article of the Year! 🏆✨ Even more surreal: it’s also the runner-up for Best Visualization! Huge thanks to everyone who made this possible! 🙌 doi.org/10.1177/0022...

As the EOs and orders keep coming, I keep thinking of the exhibit in the Berlin Jewish Museum that displays the 962 anti-Jewish laws and policies in order as they came down. These kinds of drumbeats are designed not just to oppress but to normalize oppression. www.jmberlin.de/en/jmb-journ...

Friedrich Merz, the leader of the German CDU, just claimed in parliament that gang rapes are committed on a daily basis by asylum seekers in Germany. It is pure far right propaganda. The mainstreaming of the far right is happening on steroids in Germany right now.

"Bei mir hat der Erfolg mit Stimmen der AfD Urängste ausgelöst." - Nach Annahme des Antrags zur Migrationspolitik im Bundestag gibt #AlbrechtWeinberg, Überlebender der KZ #Auschwitz, #MittelbauDora und #BergenBelsen, sein Bundesverdienstkreuz zurück. t1p.de/mbto0

How do autocrats stay in power? Our new research dives into the strategies of political control—repression, co-optation, and indoctrination—used across 229 autocracies from 1946 to 2010. What we found will change the way you think about authoritarian resilience. 🧵👇

Fascinating investigation of podcasts, which are woefully under-studied as a media platform.

The BJP came to power in India in 2014. With every election it has become harder to beat the BJP. It has consolidated money, media & muscle. While its 2024 electoral performance was weaker than 2019, it won despite horrible anti incumbency (something that governments elsewhere have faced).

📢 LAST CHANCE: Apply for @amnesty.org's Digital Forensic Fellowship! Working with our team at the Security Lab, you'll learn the tech and investigative skills needed to expose how governments abuse advanced spyware and other surveillance tech against activists and civil society.

Historian of fascism here. It was a Nazi salute and a very belligerent one too.

Pretty much exactly 80 years after the liberation of Auschwitz, the richest man in the world uses the Nazi salute at the inauguration of his close ally as US president. What should rationally not be surprising is still so deeply shocking and simply difficult to comprehend.

a whole new era

If every billionaire is a policy failure, what does that make trillionaires?

Don‘t miss this talk by one of the most prominent scholars in the study of #Ukraine #protests #democracy: Prof. Olga Onuch (@official-uom.bsky.social) is our guest @humboldtuni.bsky.social @kiu-network.bsky.social tonight at 6.15pm CET⬇️

Open office hours with Cas Mudde? This is such a gift, grab your time while you can! Cas is an absolute legend *and* one of the kindest & most authentic people in the field.