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august-wraae.bsky.social
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Frontelligence Insight Special Report: AWOL Trends and Casualty Ratios in Russia and Ukraine In assessing overall manpower casualty ratios, we analyzed Russian AWOL figures alongside Ukrainian estimates, factoring in KIA, MIA, and recruitment rates to assess the war’s prospects 🧵Thread:

Be ready for anything with the new Arakawa mini Slingpack, created in collaboration between Saint Javelin and Donetsk-born, Kyiv-based brand keep®.

We’ve teamed up with Ukraine’s finest bag craftsmen for this special collaboration.

If you think that Europe is doomed, you’re not paying attention. Wrote a recap of the latest developments and call me a hopeless Europtimist but I think Europe+ (including Canada) isn’t doing too bad in terms of offering Ukraine an actual perspective for the future. With or without the US.

Sweden doesn’t rule out sending troops to Ukraine, says the foreign minister. Norway has said that no decisions have been made but also no clear no. I bet that Danes would be willing send their Viking Squad too. 🫡

As we move into the second month of the year, Frontelligence Insight has prepared an early assessment report covering recent developments on the frontlines and within both Ukrainian and Russian military forces. Below are some key highlights from the report. 1/ 🧵Thread:

🇪🇺 promises more defence spending, but orders are still missing. 🇫🇮 155mm artillery producer Patria has been waiting for contracts since last spring. Once contracts arrive, delivery will still take a year: www.euractiv.com/section/defe...

In an interview with the Kyiv Independent, Slavoj Zizek, a Slovenian philosopher, addressed the role of humor in wartime, the roots of the long-standing romanticization of Russia in the West, and the failure of the left in the face of Ukraine’s fight for survival.

DEVELOPING STORY: Berlin ad agency LURE used images of Ukrainian victims to promote Russian outlet @meduza_en, which relies on crowdfunding. @MFA_Ukraine called it “marketing cynicism” and demanded removal and an apology. We’ve also contacted them 👇 🧵1/5

The WaPo article getting some pushback from Finland. Leader of investigation from the National Bureau of Investigation says he hasn’t heard of such claims before. The NBI has the lead in grave crimes and investigates together with the Security and Intelligence Service.

Finally managed to get my first Substack post out ! It’s on Russia’s peacetime warfare and what it does to our understanding of war and peace. In the usual rambling style so respect to everyone who makes it through it 😊 Including fun anecdotes from Finland and Sweden…

If you are interested in sanctions and the Russian economy, this essay by Craig Kennedy is a must-read: navigatingrussia.substack.com/p/russias-hi...

For comparison the U.S. pays about 45 million dollars to Palau for the free association agreement in 2025, while Denmark pays about 700 million to Greenland.

Now that Ukraine has become very active in the Kursk region, we would like everyone that hasn't found us on BlueSky, to be aware of the latest updates. Therefore, we would like to ask you to share this post in order to reach as many people as possible. Let's aim for 75.000 followers 👍

Why is Ukraine losing ground? There are many explanations, ranging from a lack of aid to a lack of political will to win. The reality, however, is far more complex. This thread offers a brief excerpt from my recent analysis, with the full link provided at the end. 1/ 🧵Thread:

Trump har möjligheten att avsluta kriget i Ukraina på ett sätt som är fördelaktig för USA och Europa. Om han vill. Ny kolumn i DN idag. www.dn.se/ledare/oscar...

On the streets of Free Damascus, I asked Syrians if they had a message to send to the people of Ukraine. Here is what they said: www.youtube.com/watch?v=DcS1...

Merry Christmas. Time for rum.

S.T.A.L.K.E.R. 2 @stalker2.bsky.social + UNITED24 = holiday raffle to support the #BringLightBack fundraiser towards generators for Ukrainian schools💛 Together with @gscgameworld.bsky.social, we've prepared unique gifts for fans and everyone who loves doing good deeds: donorbox.org/stalker2-uni... 👇

In the past, a successful Ukrainian drone strike against Russian targets was seen as a major event. Today, it has become almost routine, weekly event. Good. It’s one of the clearest indicators that Ukraine is steadily enhancing its ability to increase the cost of war for Russia

🚨 New Popular Front documentary out now, reporting from inside Sednaya Prison. Also documenting the brutal aftermath as Syrians try desperately to search for their missing loved ones. Watch: youtube.com/watch?v=1DC0...

Super-talented graphic designer Rinetti's 'Landscape with Leviathan' is an absolutely stunning piece of Kenshi fanart, potent with psychedelic inspiration. We absolutely love this one!  https://steamcommunity.com/sharedfiles/filedetails/?id=3359629485 #Kenshi #FanArtFriday

Putin knows that hints of nuclear missile use and wonderweapons will get the Western media's attention and help amplify his status as a dangerous threat who needs to be placated. And the media duly oblige by taking his empty bombast seriously. Every. Damn. Time.

When Bashar al-Assad’s regime fell in Syria, a critical geopolitical question emerged: can Russia maintain its foothold in the MENA region, and if so, how? What does this mean for Ukraine? Below are the key points from the latest Frontelligence Insight report:

If you’re following Russia’s economy, tomorrow is your day: the Central Bank’s rate-setting meeting is set for December 20th at 15:00. Another rate hike is expected, along with more criticism of Nabiullina, as no one can openly admit the war is driving inflation

"– Kurderna befinner sig i en väldigt svår situation. Jag tror att de kommer att behöva förhandla." Jag svarade på några mycket insatta frågor från Dan Helenius på @yle.naamio.social om Turkiets roll i den närmaste tidens utveckling i Syrien. Både text och ljud finns i länken. yle.fi/a/7-10069237