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baf611.bsky.social
Social scientist somewhere along the road to serfdom. ex HF macro strategist, ex tech entrepreneur, now in professional services working on AI. In the market for a bunker, I’ve seen too much.
95 posts 451 followers 8,128 following
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Dear Noah, You have a PhD in economics. Below is the probability distribution of at least one person flipping all heads among 8 billion people when flipping X times. Now, you tell me—what's the probability that this individual is an authoritarian scumbag with no particular talents? Sincerely, P

Reality check. Thank you, Financial Times.

WSJ editorial board: "But as with the war, Mr. Zelensky didn’t start this Oval Office exchange. Was he supposed to tolerate an extended public denigration of the Ukrainian people, who have been fighting a war for survival for three years?"

a zinger from Thomas Friedman. “I cannot believe he is a Russian agent, but he sure plays one on TV.​“ www.nytimes.com/2025/02/28/o...

Weren’t all these motherfuckers talking about the paradise of technology allowing us to work 10 hours a week like three years ago?

The numbers get worse for these guys if you create a fake GDP along these lines. What happened here is Elon and Trump crashed the economy in less than two months and Elon’s now whining about macro indicators to cover his ass like a little bitch.

🔴 BREAKING - PKK declares ceasefire with Turkey ending 40 years of armed struggle

Presidential pressure on the Fed isn’t new. It used to be through personal meetings. Now it’s through tweets. In either case it’s inflationary, as this new @econofact.bsky.social memo shows mailchi.mp/econofact/ho...

Kudos to Trump’s first national security advisor for “speaking out” publicly. But it’s only “impossible to understand” why Trump and Vance are supporting Putin if you refuse to acknowledge the abundant evidence that they are actively undermining the interests of the United States and its allies.

"We’re witnessing the self-sabotage of the United States" from @davidfrum.bsky.social www.theatlantic.com/politics/arc...

Someone from Russian state media just slips into the Oval Office?????

Exclusive: “Foreign adversaries including Russia and China have recently directed their intelligence services to ramp up recruiting of US federal employees working in national security, targeting those who have been fired or feel they could be soon…” www.cnn.com/2025/02/28/p...

Well, as America implodes from within, it’d be a *great* time for the EU to finally do official Eurobonds. It’d likely be very attractive as a safe haven given the destruction of US hegemony & spillover to US T-bills. Bonus: Eurobonds can finance a desperately needed European security build up! 🇪🇺💶 ‼️

This is not good.....also is self inflicted (if this comes to pass in the official estimates).

It was very very clearly an ambush

"Totalitarianism in power invariably replaces all first-rate talents, regardless of their sympathies, with those crackpots and fools whose lack of intelligence and creativity is still the best guarantee of their loyalty." - Hannah Arendt

THIS is why Democratic leaders must be replaced sooner rather than later. 9:42 AM: Amy Klobuchar posts a photo with Lindsey Graham bragging about her "bipartisan meeting" and how they "stand with Ukraine" 1:40 PM: Lindsey Graham is on Fox News "trashing Zelenskyy and praising Trump and Vance"

American statements in the Oval Office indistinguishable from Russian propaganda and celebrated by Russian propagandists.

The plaintiffs did file their response today in opposition to DOJ's SCOTUS request to vacate the State/USAID funding TRO. DOJ might reply, but, for now, we wait. Opposition brief: www.supremecourt.gov/DocketPDF/24...

Getting harder to say that this isnt an admin that is fulfilling the demands of a russian asset president

Zelensky is a wartime leader watching his people suffer and die under Russian attacks every day. To be lectured and lied to by Trump and Vance, as they defend the war criminal dictator committing these atrocities, is unimaginable agony. An everlasting shame for America.

Jesus, Trump and JD Vance playing bad cop-bad cop with Zelensky is stomach churning here.

And here comes Rubella 💔 news4sanantonio.com/news/local/c...

I don’t know the details, but I’m pretty* sure that if these visa holders live in the US, this would require legislative change. Maybe APA notices and comment regs, but that works fly in the face of statutes, so that doesn’t actually hold up. 1/

Oh hell yeah. Get all the Public pensions to divest in Musk, Bezos, all the little oligarch nazis. www.aft.org/press-releas...

That's not the only problem! Even if she did work for an organization that accepted funds from USAID that would most certainly not make them a "crime family"

How it started/How it's going

I finally read Lee et al., (2025) and despite media coverage and suggestions within the paper, the actual methods and findings reveal nothing close to evidence that AI atrophies human critical thinking. Quick 🧵: www.404media.co/microsoft-st...

One of the most common arguments you hear from fans of generative ‘AI’ is that it’s not plagiarizing people’s work, it’s just learning like a human learns. So I’m going to break down why that’s just not true, and why it can never be true, with the existing systems. 1/

NEW: Elon Musk’s Starlink is being used at scam compounds that have fleeced billions from people around the world, a @WIRED investigation shows Between November 2024 and Feb, hundreds of phones at eight scam compounds in Myanmar logged 40,000 uses of Starlink, mobile data shows

Dear God they are lost.

. @olbermann.bsky.social 🏆

🚨 LIVE NOW: Europe is looking to decouple from China, Russia and deepen its ties with India as global foreign policy shifts. Bloomberg reporters Sudhi Ranjan Sen, Dan Strumpf, Jorge Valero, Shruti Srivastava answer your questions in a Live Q&A bloom.bg/3D92pFk

Russia-linked Telegram channels ‘offering to pay for attacks on mosques’ www.theguardian.com/news/2025/fe...

After an impressive four-decade-long productivity convergence spell with the US in the second half of the 20th century, Europe’s hourly labour productivity gap vis-à-vis the US widened from the mid-1990s, and then again since the COVID crisis cepr.org/voxeu/column...

New data on how public sector employees use their time & which tasks they consider unimportant suggests significant scope for improving both their productivity & their job satisfaction using AI, writes Nghi Nguyen. Here's how ⬇️ www.bennettinstitute.cam.ac.uk/blog/working...

The issue isn't whether we are English or not. It depends how we feel, those feelings can be complex, and it's no-one else's business anyway. The real question is, are we prepared to treat everyone we share our society with as a legitimate member of that society? Can we rise to that basic level?

DOGE's new AI, built to scan federal workers' emails to see if they get to keep their jobs, is the latest in a number of AI schemes from Musk. We might scoff at how dumb these ideas are, but the truth is, they're not even supposed to work. They're built to eliminate accountability.

It's true, and what a lot of folk have been saying since the direction of travel became obvious. Without visibly improving the lives of voters after 14 years of Tory neglect and corruption, Labour are opening the door to Reform. People need to feel real change in their communities.

Trump has inadvertently achieved something truly spectacular in Canada. His anti-Canada obsession has caused a rapid resurrection in support for the Liberal Party - against the fortunes of his much favoured Conservatives, which had been on track to storm this year's election until his intervention.

What’d she do? Return a Tesla?

FT Editors almost calling BP a stranded asset "If all the big intl oil & gas producers, and national oil comps like Saudi Aramco, concentrate mainly on fossil fuels and demand declines, only some will survive. Higher-cost producers, such as BP, may not be among them" www.ft.com/content/c7fa...

That is correct, Mr. AI Overview.

🚨🚨 This is bloody fucking insane. I do generally desist using foul language but the spineless, shameless traitors of the Trump administration deserves a special place in hell for this action. US is no longer a supporter but (I thought I was never going this) rather a threat to the global order. 👇

Weird to have your boss tell you that you have to write about personal liberties

Musk’s hackers burglarized "a vast trove of information about the entire federal workforce” on OPM computers even as Trump was being sworn in — that is "hours before Musk’s Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, was officially created by an executive order.” www.wsj.com/politics/pol...

He's always been an awful trash-bag of a person.

Sure, Elon’s speaking at length at a cabinet meeting, but no, he’s not acting as a principal officer of the United States under Art. II, §2, cl. 2 of the Constitution because he’s just a lowly employee like the guy who gets Trump his Coca-Colas