calebjedwards.bsky.social
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i think the vote went orange -> red, red-> Blue. It's a double shift, but because the Liberal vote was propped up by NDP, it only looks like NDP and Cons changed. (just my 2 cents)
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i think a lot of former liberals went conservative. But that shift was masked by how many NDPers went Liberal.
My riding - Toronto Danforth, had a 66% vote for the Liberals. Those are NDP votes going lib.
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I don’t recall many union endorsements. And I bet if you checked union membership in those plants it would be much older than you expect. It’s certainly possible that some NDP voters went Con. But I think there’s a simpler explanation that fits the results better.
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to the extent we think things are a spectrum, it's likely the parties shifted along there. Former Liberal voters went rightward to cons, and NDP votes went rightward to Libs. That's a more simple explanation than NDP -> Con
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That's exactly my point. They DON'T show that. They show changes in %age of the vote. The NDP went down by 16% of the vote, Cons went up by 19, Libs up by 3, and PPC down by 8. Assuming PPC -> Cons, you need to explain 11% - well, 11% of the L -> C, and 16% of the NDP -> L gives you L+3 and C+19
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how do you know it's NDP -> Con, and not NDP -> Lib -> Con? Liberal switchers could be masked by NDP defection to the Liberals?
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You say in your article that in some ridings NDP vote went to the Cons. Do you have polling showing that, or is it also possible that the NPD vote went to the Liberals in that riding, while the LIBERAL vote (former Lib vote?) went to the Cons? That movement might be hidden by NDP voters going Lib
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Isn’t his whole family conservative-connected? I don’t know if he has explicit connections, but the circumstances suggest he leans that way
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I think we need to accept that the NDP isn't doing politics very well, whatever else is true about, say, the genuinely good policy they've advocated for and in some cases played a major role in delivering.
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Random stranger here, but 20 years ago when I was studying poli sci in Canada my profs noted the same effect - Canadian voters swing wildly from one party to another (even in QC). Has always been a difference with the US
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"Who knew tariffs would be such a big part of this election?"
YOU ALL DESERVE TO BE OBLITERATED OMG
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i think 'nation' plays a very similar role to 'race' in the world - their 'reality' is more due to how we treat them than to verifiable facts. If you look at either closely you see that differences far outweigh similarities, but they both matter in the world because we treat them as real.
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citizenship. I think the concept of 'nations' has caused a lot of violence (and obscures a lot of violence). "nations" - when you look at them closely, are all fake in the end. Canada should be a partnership among its citizens in making our lives better. That would be the best thing to aspire to.
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Sorry - if Ross Douthat said the sky was blue I would check outside. As for similarities, sure. We share lots because we are both colonial countries founded by white Europeans. It doesn’t mean that union would make sense. It’s a recipe for more economic stagnation in Canada than we already have.
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For basically the entire time that America has existed almost any resident of Canada who wanted to could become American. It’s 250 years of people who chose not to do so.
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Not really in my view. We’ve always been a collection of very different groups held together by not being American. There was an era where ONTARIO was dedicated to an Anglo Canadian culture. But that era was ushered out by Harris/Ford
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It seems like the entire party is focused on 'retaining their jobs', which does nothing for those of us that actually need them to do something helpful. My newly reelected NDP MPP is going to get an earful later.
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Absolutely! Would love to see any of these questions asked. I feel like, by analogy, we're in that situation where we find a leak in the house, but exploring the leak leads to the discovery that the entire foundation is collapsing.
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Oh - i absolutely agree with you. I just doubt that the Liberal party (or the Cons, or even the NDP) has the imagination to do it. Hopefully someone starts to get creative soon - i imagine it would be incredibly politically popular.
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i have wondered on this too, but two things occur: 1) it's not something you can really do in a month, 2) they can open some doors, but it's really on businesses to make changes? That said, it would have been nice to see some type of announcements of alternatives/attempts at least.
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FWIW, i think Lucas' genius with the first ones was to give a 'space fantasy' gloss to themes and action taken from other genre movies (WW2 dogfights, samurai stuff). The sin of the sequels (IMHO) was trying to do that to 'star wars' as a genre instead of finding another genre to steal from
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Isn't one of the issues that we don't think anyone would come to save us? It's not dissimilar to the situation after WW2 when Canadian diplomats produced a report that said, we either have to be with the Americans or the Russians... And we pick the Americans.
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Xenithal plus some black and white paint to punch it up