cathalwalsh.bsky.social
Professor of Biostatistics, Trinity College Dublin. There’s more to counting than numbers. people.tcd.ie/walshc Born c. 335ppm. Small wheel cyclist. Biostatistician.
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Interesting. Differential coverage rates of vaccine? Different mixing (cautious) behaviour in 65+? Less cautious mixing in younger?
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2/11: I grew up in a small town in Southern Italy in the 80s. Even though the measles vaccine was available at the time (measles vaccine was recommended in Italy for children >15 months in 1979), this didn't trickle down to our local healthcare provider. I was not vaccinated.
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Yes! If you were 60 at the start of the pandemic and lived through the pandemic you are more likely to live longer than the average person in your cohort - because you are ‘hardier’.
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Yes - but some older people who would otherwise now be sick with flu didn’t survive the pandemic. Ergo a lower hospitalisation rate than expected otherwise?
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Another possibility is that older population is less frail / vulnerable now due to impact of pandemic?
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Will certainly be back anon - the shorter walk on the pap was very rewarding. Just have to sort out calendars and company for the trip across. Irish ‘hills’ have done well in the meantime!
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Go hálainn. Tá sé roinnt blianta ó bhí mé ann - Aonach Eagach was my most recent route nearby some years ago. Filled with caution since!
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I (eventually) voted - fair play to alumni resending once I’d updated my address! This could be part of the challenge. Surprised total electorate is so low - have we really only that number of graduates eligible?
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Will check for the Fisher paper (1925)! We celebrated at a one day meeting in middle of a Biometrics meeting in 2008 the Biometrika paper (page 11 and 12 of higherlogicdownload.s3.amazonaws.com/BIOMETRICSOC... )
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And can we call the extent and quality of evidence in this domain part of the demand of such ‘con’-soonerism?
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Great. What do you think about the quietening the mind bit? Does it work? Or have you overdone it?
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Random fluctuations are only downwards. Funny that.
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Congrats Colin - well deserved and an important area.
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Not an unreasonable take. Lots of challenges and the journey to there.
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Excellent to see a group like this working on this problem - barely past abstract - but work very much needing exploration. And substantial reading for myself and other colleagues ‘back to school’ next week!
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Amazing - and for those who haven’t heard it a ‘statistical’ take on why women exceed or equal in this terrain an interesting take by Tim Harford @timharford.bsky.social podcasts.apple.com/ie/podcast/c...
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number of fatalities. Almost a quarter (23%) of fatalities occurred between 4pm and 8pm.
Seven in ten fatal road collisions occurred on roads with a speed limit of 80km/h or greater."
Sadly headline data like this don't tell us about causes. Any replacement body must do a lot better.
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Goan de rebels!
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Awful Hetan. But not new - e.g. we had similar in 1921 in Ireland and also of course in Japan in 1940s - nowadays electronic trails are helpful.