economicsofwar.bsky.social
Working in some of the more entertaining economies around the World. I focus upon the economic aspects of current conflicts including: #Myanmar #Sahel #Ukraine #Russia #NorthKorea #Syria #Yemen #Sudan #Libya #Moldova #Belarus
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Essentially, yes.
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This is Europe's moment. Merz may be the one to seize it.
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Minerals deals with the USA that involve Donetsk and real estate deals that involve Mariupol may well be in Ukraine's interest.
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There needs to be strong European leadership if Russia is to be stopped.
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Good point. The KIA were supporting PDFs fighting the SNA in Homalin, so perhaps it is this that prompted the statement. I would assume as long as the NSCN-K accommodate the Tatmadaw the risk of a KIA supported action in Hkamti remains.
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I've yet to see it reported in any of the Kachin news
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The DKBA needs to be dismantled and its areas handed to the KNU if there is to be any realistic chance of removing such criminal syndicates from the border. It's in Thailand's interest to assist this.
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The question is what is Europe going to do about it? Europe has sufficient economic and military industrial capacity to support Ukraine in the absence of the US, but does it have the will?
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I haven't seen the law, however if it provides legal cover for armed foreigners killing Myanmar citizens then the implications are significant.
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The question being the definition of "Naga areas".
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Also foreigners were not allowed to carry weapons or act as guards; this has also changed
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Security companies have always operated, guards for houses and businesses etc, however they were never allowed to carry firearms or act as a PMC.
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This character tried once before with the "Palmer United Party". He's going nowhere.
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ASSK's stance can be guessed; the Rohingya had little succour regardless of who sat on the throne in Naypyidaw.
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Very interesting article
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That appears to be the primary point.
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They look like logging tracks. Given the symmetry, possibly a site for a timber plantation.
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That is false equivalence.
There is nothing wrong with the State Department using EVs in the correct settings, of which there are many.
If Tesla received such a contract without consideration of the heightened conflict of interest, then that would indeed be an issue.
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State Department, not Defense. I assume it is for the protection of diplomats and similar.
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Saw Chit Thu is belatedly realising international crimes have international repercussions.
#Myanmar #Thailand #DKBA
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Ask and ye shall receive! It appears Thailand may indeed be going after the DKBA's Colonel Saw Chit Thu, Lieutenant Colonel Mote Thone, and Major Tin Win.
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The economy has taken a hammering that will take decades to recover from. The questions now are ones of the Kremlin's fiscal capacity and the population's tolerance of increasingly high inflation. Neither are infinite.
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It is starting to appear that way. The fact the Arakan Army moved heavy artillery onto the Sittwe front would suggest things are heating up.
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Political pressure appears to outweigh economic logic.
That said, without a dramatic decrease in government spending an interest rate rise is a delaying action at best.
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They still can't connect the dots
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The Junta and the DKBA continue to throw a few smaller operators to the wolves. It may go someway to placate China, but probably only for the short-term.
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These attacks are have measurable impacts upon the Kremlin's fiscal position and the Russian economy as a whole (the latter being a little more difficult to observe due to the havoc wreaked by the Kremlin's profligate spending and warping of the broader economy).
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I've mentioned before, but food inflation is a better indicator of total inflation given headline inflation is manipulated by the government underreporting the value of its own production.
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They weren't happy; not at all. It was in the wake of the GFC and Russia had to partially float the Ruble and slash government spending. Same happened in 2014 with the invasion of Ukraine. Now they won't cut government spending because of the War. Result is high inflation and depleted reserves
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The economic damage is significant, resulting in structural issues within the fiscal framework that will take years, if not decades, to unravel.