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garethsjones.bsky.social
Welsh climate scientist mostly found buried in the pages of a good book, or wandering the footpaths of East Devon. Also on https://toot.wales/@garethsjones
124 posts 335 followers 199 following
Prolific Poster

Expecting to get a lot of use out of Hayao Miyazaki's response to his AI copycats.

"...apply pattern-based detection and attribution methods ... provide robust statistical and physical evidence that actions taken under the Montreal Protocol to reduce ozone-depleting substances are indeed resulting in the beginning of Antarctic ozone recovery" www.nature.com/articles/s41...

"Extremely early flowering dates, as in 2021, would be rare without human influence, but are now estimated to be 15 times more likely" iopscience.iop.org/article/10.1...

A nice article on a run-of-the-mill prediction grift. To amend the title, though: it's not that the predictions are "wrong", it's that they're useless. For example, did you know that anyone can monitor a property correlating with 71.4% of large earthquakes? 😱 🧪⚒️ Thread: www.bbc.com/news/article...

How to cure premature enumeration: on.ft.com/4hrVxkq

Not that we in the library wish to encourage profanity, but if you want to get rid of these AI-search summaries (which are often absolute nonsense), just swear in your search terms. It really works.

Very disappointed to see this graph, in the WMO State of the global climate 2024 report wmo.int/publication-..., with "Method 3 Human contribution to warming in 2024" shown. No details of the method used and how it was updated. Not something you can just turn a handle on!

Approaches like this are helpful for getting a general view about what causes global temperature changes, but not that helpful for understanding details, or for constraining our estimates of anthropogenic warming. It isn't a mystery that it produces a "mystery" from time to time ;-)

This morning's special edition of More Or Less tries to answer the question, five years on: how did lockdowns affect children and young people? www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...

I feel like I'm repeating the point that many already have. The view that dinosaurs are irrelevant to nature always comes from people who don't know what actually drives interest in prehistoric animals. Like, you DO know that most people into dinosaurs are massively pro-nature, pro-science?

This man is a thief. He stole my work.

I literally put this chapter in because I needed to tell people how AI works and why <it might really be useful for some stuff, for sure and also> it's not what they say it is. Just read about MENACE and then you'll understand about machine learning. en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Matchbo...

The trilobite king, and a hugely inspirational writer 💔

Would you like to hear a story about a woolly mouse…? 🐭🦣🧪

My very sensible friend @adamrutherford.bsky.social on the absolute NONSENSE of trying to “de-extinct” mammoths. www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...

Let's talk about this Nature piece in more detail. I've rarely read something so anti-scientific anywhere short of the National Review. www.nature.com/articles/d41...

Hi - I'd like to share this story of what is happening at NOAA GFDL, where some of my colleagues and I worked until the mass firings at NOAA last week. "...the birthplace of weather and climate forecasting"

Apropos of nothing: THERE WILL NEVER EVER EVER BE A CLONED MAMMOTH. <Message ends>

🚨 #NOAA is essential for weather forecasting, climate research, and public safety. AGU stands with the scientific community in urging Congress to protect and strengthen NOAA, not dismantle it. Our economy, environment, and safety depend on it.

I’ve been teaching our first-year undergrads this week about weather forecasting — how it is a tremendous, life-saving human achievement that is so important to modern society, underpinned by openness & a desire to cooperate… My thoughts are with everyone at NOAA/NWS who lost their job 😖

Two Weeks In The Death Spiral Of Cardiff University, by an anonymous academic. This is truly shocking read. The Cardiff executive board should hang their heads in shame. voice.cymru/two-weeks-in...

It shouldn't be possible to write an article about science, politics, climate change and Freeman Dyson without mentioning he was a climate sceptic. Yet, here we are. physicsworld.com/a/how-should...

‼️The US-based @ipcc.bsky.social technical support unit (TSU) for Working Group 3 Co-Chairs has been terminated, and the US won’t be attending next week’s IPCC meeting where the AR7 chapter outlines will be approved. More by @afreedma.bsky.social here:

The Jurassic Coast Trust is shutting up shop. This is sad news. I've worked a lot with the JC in their mission to promote the amazing geological heritage of Britain's south coast, hopefully Dorset and Devon councils will continue these efforts. www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

On this (Boxing) day of walks, some good walking/access news: c. 40,000 miles of historic rights-of-way in England & Wales have been reprieved from deletion from the “definitive map” of such paths. Great work @ramblers.org.uk & other campaigners on this. www.theguardian.com/environment/...

In my latest piece for @science.org, I ask how we should think about experiments that take place outside the lab. It begins here, in St Ives, Cornwall. www.science.org/doi/10.1126/...

Did you know that on Christmas Day, it is perfectly acceptable to raise a glass and remember the dinosaurs In the "Cosmic Calendar", a way to visualise the entire history of the universe by compressing it into a calendar year, the first dinosaur would appear on December 25th (at approx midday) 1/3

Authors "...commentaries can be a quick and easy way to amass publications and citations..." Journals "...opportunity for gaming the journal impact factor..." Institutions "easy way to inflate their output and citation numbers and therefore boost their rankings..." www.science.org/content/arti...

The study looks interesting, but the paper is theoretical and does not give "scientists the most robust way yet to link observed climate change to both human-made and natural causes" Shame that publicity for science often exaggerate these days. le.ac.uk/news/2024/de...

"More collaborators may make it easier for mistakes to fall through the cracks" - that surprises me. I wonder why they think that would be the case. www.nature.com/articles/d41...

More scientific nonsense and climate denial published on a London School of Economics blog. "combination of thermostatic mechanisms and M cycles acts in force to slow down the [global temperature] rise and send it into reverse" blogs.lse.ac.uk/internationa...

I'm sorry I haven't a clue in Exeter! www.bbc.co.uk/sounds/play/...

Since yesterday I was talking about Gates McFadden’s struggles to get behind the camera opportunities, it’s time for me to share a story about the Doctor and how she’s one of the reasons I’m a Professor. 🧵 (Here’s us at the 2024 #StarTrek convention #STLV)

Hey authors and readers , don’t forget that @bookshop-org-uk.bsky.social is the best alternative to buying direct from indie shops - you can choose which indie gets the cash too - today I’m going with Saltburn’s Book Corner uk.bookshop.org/shop/bookcor...

If you're wondering why there's a top-level Red weather warning in force for Wales and SW England, perhaps the forecast windspeeds for Holyhead might explain it.

Batten down the hatches / tie down your tampolines, it's going to blow a hooley out there on Saturday

Just wow, bendigedig Cymru! ⚽️⚽️⚽️

Surprised to see this published in Nature Communications (I think several of the 6 reviewers will be as well). Correlations of band-pass filtered timeseries do not mean causation. No mention of other factors that can influence climate (except GHG once in Supp Mat). www.nature.com/articles/s41...

"174 open-access journals ... vanished from the web in the first two decades of this millennium" www.nature.com/articles/d41...

This is both sad and infuriating. www.bbc.com/news/article...

With assisted dying dominating the news, please take a moment to consider your own wishes around the end of life. It's surprisingly quick & easy to plan ahead. This guide from @hospiceuk.bsky.social covers advance care plans, powers of attorney etc. So useful. www.hospiceuk.org/information-...

Storm Bert hits the UK today, on the bicentenary of the Great Storm of 22-23 Nov 1824 which caused widespread destruction along the S coast of England. #MaryAnning told a friend of the damage in Lyme Regis. Contrary to some later accounts, her house was not damaged, but her brother's premises were.