johnsug.bsky.social
Armchair analytics for ultramarathons I'll likely never run
48 posts
453 followers
13 following
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Are you giving Laz a copy to hide in Frozen Head next year? 😆
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*since at least 1995, @taka-does-stuff.bsky.social 's database only goes back that far
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Need to zoom in on the #bm100 fun run zone i.e. till 4am. The main issue will be the wind but temps and clouds should hold off for a bit.
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For anyone else, I'd say no, but I'm not ready to bet against Tomo and John
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Keith posted that four started loop 3, though Max quickly noped out
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I forgot Sébastien Raichon raced last year; it took him 13:29:13 to complete loop 3; he'd have to complete loop 3 again in 14:30:45 for a fun run this year
3/2 (oops, I guess people usually write out their multi-thread posts first)
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For John Kelly to go to Loop 4, he'd need to finish in 10:59:20. His prior loop 3 finishes (in likely better years) were 12:12:49, 12:24:25, 12:39:59, 15:52:08, 11:56:59, and 12:09:08. I'm skeptical about him completing an 11 hour loop, but he has lots of margin (14:59:20) to go for a fun run
2/2
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correct
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"Max seems relaxed"
30 minutes later "Max is out"
Lol
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ooops, that's what I get for commenting without reading the whole thread
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I'd love to be wrong, but I don't see either completing loop 3 in 11 hours, to make the 36 hour cutoff to start loop 4. That being said, both are capable to finish under the 40 hour fun run.
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Apologies for the grainy graphics, I still have yet to find a way to make compelling-looking visuals on Bluesky :/
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But could also be Domo
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Based on the limited entrants list, Aurélien (who finished in 2023 but only finished two loops last year)
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brutal
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Ask @taka-does-stuff.bsky.social
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I always have grand plans and great intentions to launch a website... but end up not even touching my code (let along writing new code) until right before the conch is blown. So no, not this year anyway
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and I thought I was being optimistic last night before going to bed 😬
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Going off the data I have, Keith is only naming them first, second, etc runner through each loop
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Totally agree, also not sure if JC is even running this year
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I feel only John Kelly or Jared Campbell could make that assessment
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Glad you're still doing this this year!
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ohh, fat fingers, yes I'll correct that
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The last few years have been relatively "easy" -- My hot take is that no one finishes this year
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The last few years have been "easy" -- my hot take is that no one finishes this year
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Forgot to cite my source, fedica.com/blog/social-...
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